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Professor Jonathan Tawn

Distinguished Professor of Statistics

  1. Published

    A statistical analysis of eruptive activity on Mount Etna, Sicily

    Smethurst, L., James, M. R., Pinkerton, H. & Tawn, J. A., 10/2009, In: Geophysical Journal International. 179, 1, p. 655-666 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  2. Published

    Markov chain models for threshold exceedances.

    Smith, R. L., Tawn, J. A. & Coles, S. G., 1997, In: Biometrika. 84, 2, p. 249-268 20 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  3. Published

    A seasonal-Markov model for extremely low temperatures.

    Smith, R. L., Tawn, J. A. & Coles, S. G., 1994, In: Environmetrics. 5, 3, p. 221-239 19 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  4. Published

    Detection of structural inadequacy in process-based hydrological models : a particle-filtering approach.

    Smith, P., Beven, K. J. & Tawn, J. A., 8/01/2008, In: Water Resources Research. 44, 1, p. W01410

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  5. Published

    Informal likelihood measures in model assessment: Theoretic development and investigation

    Smith, P., Beven, K. J. & Tawn, J. A., 08/2008, In: Advances in Water Resources. 31, 8, p. 1087-1100 14 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  6. Published

    Discharge dependent pollutant dispersion in rivers : estimation of aggregated dead zone parameters with surrogate data.

    Smith, P., Beven, K., Tawn, J., Blazkova, S. & Merta, L., 20/04/2006, In: Water Resources Research. 42, W04412

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  7. Published

    Discussion on the paper by Heffernan and Tawn

    Smith, R. L., Heggernam, J. E., Tawn, J. A., Coles, S., Ferro, C., Butler, A., Anderson, C., Sahu, S. K., Mardia, K. V., Dupuis, D. J., Drees, H., Atkinson, A. C., Beirlant, J., Goegebeur, Y., Boldi, M. O., Davison, A. C., Chatfield, C., Ledford, A., Peng, L., Qi, Y., & 1 othersSegers, J., 31/08/2004, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B: Statistical Methodology. 66, 3, p. 530-546 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  8. Published

    Ranking, and other properties, of elite swimmers using extreme value theory

    Spearing, H., Tawn, J., Paulden, T., Irons, D. & Bennett, G., 1/01/2021, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A Statistics in Society. 184, 1, p. 368-395 28 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  9. E-pub ahead of print

    Modelling intransitivity in pairwise comparisons with application to baseball data

    Spearing, H., Tawn, J., Irons, D. & Paulden, T., 23/03/2023, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics. 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  10. Published

    Modeling Intransitivity in Pairwise Comparisons with Application to Baseball Data

    Spearing, H., Tawn, J., Irons, D. & Paulden, T., 2/10/2023, In: Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics. 32, 4, p. 1383-1392 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  11. Published

    Inference for extremes: accounting for the three extremal types.

    Stephenson, A. & Tawn, J. A., 12/2004, In: Extremes. 7, 4, p. 291-307 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  12. Published

    Determining the best track performances of all time using a conceptual population model for athletics records

    Stephenson, A. & Tawn, J. A., 03/2013, In: Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports. 9, 1, p. 67-76 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  13. Published

    A Bayesian analysis of extreme rainfall data.

    Tawn, J. A. & Coles, S. G., 1996, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics). 45, p. 463-478 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  14. Published

    Modelling extremes of the areal rainfall process.

    Tawn, J. A. & Coles, S. G., 1996, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology). 58, p. 329-347 19 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  15. Published

    Estimating probabilities of extreme sea-levels

    Tawn, J. A., 1992, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics). 41, p. 77-93 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  16. Published

    A dependence measure for multivariate and spatial extreme values: properties and inference.

    Tawn, J. A. & Schlather, M., 03/2003, In: Biometrika. 90, 1, p. 139-156 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  17. Published

    Diagnostics for dependence within time series extremes.

    Tawn, J. A. & Ledford, A. W., 05/2003, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology). 65, 2, p. 521-543 23 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  18. Published

    A conditional approach to modelling multivariate extreme values (with discussion).

    Tawn, J. A. & Heffernan, J. E., 08/2004, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology). 66, 3, p. 497-547 51 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  19. Published

    Exploiting occurrence times in likelihood inference for componentwise maxima.

    Tawn, J. A. & Stephenson, A., 1/03/2005, In: Biometrika. 92, 1, p. 213-227 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  20. Published

    Modelling spatial extreme events with environmental applications

    Tawn, J. A., Shooter, R., Towe, R. P. & Lamb, R., 12/2018, In: Spatial Statistics. 28, p. 39-58 20 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  21. Published

    A step towards efficient inference for trends in UK extreme temperatures through distributional linkage between observations and climate model data

    Tawn, J. A., Gabda, D. & Brown, S., 1/09/2019, In: Natural Hazards. 98, 3, p. 1135–1154 20 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  22. Published

    Spatial transfer of extreme sea level data for use in the revised joint probability method

    Tawn, J. A. & Vassie, J. M., 09/1990, In: Proceedings - Institution of Civil Engineers. Part 2. Research and theory. 89, p. 433-438 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  23. Published

    Extreme sea levels: the joint probabilities method revisited and revised

    Tawn, J. A. & Vassie, J. M., 08/1989, In: Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers (London). Part 1 - Design & Construction. 87, p. 429-442 14 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  24. Published

    Bivariate extreme value theory: Models and estimation

    Tawn, J. A., 1/09/1988, In: Biometrika. 75, 3, p. 397-415 19 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  25. Published

    An extreme-value theory model for dependent observations

    Tawn, J. A., 30/06/1988, In: Journal of Hydrology. 101, 1-4, p. 227-250 24 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  26. Published

    Modelling multivariate extreme value distributions

    Tawn, J. A., 30/06/1990, In: Biometrika. 77, 2, p. 245-253 9 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  27. Published

    Modeling the Extremes of Bivariate Mixture Distributions With Application to Oceanographic Data

    Tendijck, S., Eastoe, E., Tawn, J., Randell, D. & Jonathan, P., 30/06/2023, In: Journal of the American Statistical Association. 118, 542, p. 1373-1384 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  28. Published

    Extremal characteristics of conditional models

    Tendijck, S., Tawn, J. & Jonathan, P., 31/03/2023, In: Extremes. 26, 1, p. 139-156 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  29. E-pub ahead of print

    Temporal evolution of the extreme excursions of multivariate k $$ k $$ th order Markov processes with application to oceanographic data

    Tendijck, S., Tawn, J., Randell, D. & Jonathan, P., 3/12/2023, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Environmetrics.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  30. Published

    The extremal dependence of storm severity, wind speed and surface level pressure in the northern north sea

    Towe, R., Eastoe, E., Tawn, J., Jonathan, P. & Fournier, N., 4/06/2013.

    Research output: Contribution to conference - Without ISBN/ISSN Conference paperpeer-review

  31. Published

    Improving statistical models for flood risk assessment

    Towe, R., Tawn, J., Lamb, R., Sherlock, C. & Liu, Y., 20/10/2016, In: E3S Web of Conferences. 7, 12 p., 01011.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  32. Published

    Statistical downscaling for future extreme wave heights in the North Sea

    Towe, R. P., Eastoe, E. F., Tawn, J. A. & Jonathan, P., 1/09/2017, In: Annals of Applied Statistics. 11, 4, p. 2375–2403 33 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  33. Published

    Why extreme floods are more common than you might think

    Towe, R. P., Tawn, J. A. & Lamb, R., 12/2018, In: Significance. 15, 6, p. 16-21 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  34. Published

    Model-based inference of conditional extreme value distributions with hydrological applications

    Towe, R. P., Tawn, J. A., Lamb, R. & Sherlock, C. G., 1/12/2019, In: Environmetrics. 30, 8, 20 p., e2575.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  35. Published

    Modelling the clustering of extreme events for short-term risk assessment

    Towe, R., Tawn, J., Eastoe, E. & Lamb, R., 31/03/2020, In: Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics. 25, 1, p. 32-53 22 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  36. Published

    Dependence modelling for spatial extremes

    Wadsworth, J. & Tawn, J., 06/2012, In: Biometrika. 99, 2, p. 253-272 20 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  37. Published

    Likelihood-based procedures for threshold diagnostics and uncertainty in extreme value modelling

    Wadsworth, J. & Tawn, J., 06/2012, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology). 74, 3, p. 543-567 25 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  38. Published

    Accounting for choice of measurement scale in extreme value modeling

    Wadsworth, J., Tawn, J. & Jonathan, P., 2010, In: Annals of Applied Statistics. 4, 3, p. 1558-1578 21 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  39. Published

    A new representation for multivariate tail probabilities

    Wadsworth, J. & Tawn, J., 2013, In: Bernoulli. 19, 5B, p. 2689-2714 26 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  40. Published

    Efficient inference for spatial extreme value processes associated to log-Gaussian random functions

    Wadsworth, J. & Tawn, J., 03/2014, In: Biometrika. 101, 1, p. 1-15 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  41. Published

    Modelling across extremal dependence classes

    Wadsworth, J., Tawn, J. A., Davison, A. & Elton, D. M., 01/2017, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology). 79, 1, p. 149-175 27 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  42. E-pub ahead of print

    Higher-dimensional spatial extremes via single-site conditioning

    Wadsworth, J. & Tawn, J., 30/06/2022, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Spatial Statistics. 51, 31 p., 100677.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  43. Published

    Simulation of bedload transport of marine gravel

    Williams, J. J. & Tawn, J. A., 1991, Coastal Sediments '91. Publ by ASCE, p. 703-716 14 p. (Coastal Sediments '91).

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  44. Published

    Modelling drought in Southern Africa with extreme value theory

    Winter, H. & Tawn, J., 18/03/2013.

    Research output: Contribution to conference - Without ISBN/ISSN Poster

  45. Published

    Modelling drought in Southern Africa with extreme value theory

    Winter, H. & Tawn, J., 18/12/2012.

    Research output: Contribution to conference - Without ISBN/ISSN Poster

  46. Published

    Modelling heatwaves in central France: a case-study in extremal dependence

    Winter, H. & Tawn, J. A., 04/2016, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics). 65, 3, p. 345-365 21 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  47. Published

    Modelling the effect of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation on extreme spatial temperature events over Australia

    Winter, H., Tawn, J. A. & Brown, S., 1/12/2016, In: Annals of Applied Statistics. 10, 4, p. 2075-2101 27 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  48. Published

    kth-order Markov extremal models for assessing heatwave risks

    Winter, H. & Tawn, J. A., 06/2017, In: Extremes. 20, 2, p. 393-415 23 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  49. Published

    Characterising the changing behaviour of heatwaves with climate change

    Winter, H., Brown, S. & Tawn, J. A., 17/01/2017, In: Dynamics and Statistics of the Climate System. 1, 1, 17 p., dzw006.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  50. Published

    Development of large scale inland flood scenarios for disaster response planning based on spatial/temporal conditional probability analysis

    Wood, E., Lamb, R., Warren, S., Hunter, N., Tawn, J., Allan, R. & Laeger, S., 20/10/2016, In: E3S Web of Conferences. 7, 6 p., 01003.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

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