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Professor Jonathan Tawn

Distinguished Professor of Statistics

  1. Chapter (peer-reviewed)
  2. Published

    Flood frequency estimation by continuous simulation (with uncertainty).

    Cameron, D., Beven, K. J., Tawn, J. A. & Naden, P., 01/2002, Continuous river flow simulation: methods, applications and uncertainties. Wallingford: British Hydrological Society, p. 53-58 6 p. (BHS Occasional Paper; no. 13).

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNChapter (peer-reviewed)peer-review

  3. Chapter
  4. Published

    Extreme risks of financial investments

    Liu, Y. & Tawn, J. A., 6/01/2016, Extreme Value Modeling and Risk Analysis: Methods and Applications. CRC Press, p. 399-418 20 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNChapter

  5. Published

    Spatial estimation of extremal trends in North Sea surge elevations.

    Butler, A., Heffernan, J. E., Flather, R. A. & Tawn, J. A., 2004, Proceedings of the IMA conference on flood risk assessment. Southend: IMA, p. 117-126 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNChapter

  6. Published

    A comparison of marginal and joint extremes predicted from synthesised wave and water level data.

    Hawkes, P., Gouldby, B. P., Sun, W., Tawn, J. A., Hames, D., Reeve, D., Blackman, D. L., Sproson, R. & Mavronasos, K., 2004, Proceedings of the IMA conference on flood risk assessment. Southend: IMA, p. 65-74 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNChapter

  7. Conference contribution/Paper
  8. Published

    Inference for an extreme value model accounting for inter-site dependence

    Gabd, D. & Tawn, J., 27/04/2017, 4th International Conference on Mathematical Sciences - Mathematical Sciences: Championing the Way in a Problem Based and Data Driven Society, ICMS 2016. Dzul-Kifli, S. C., Zamzuri, Z. H., Razak, F. A. & Zin, W. Z. W. (eds.). American Institute of Physics Inc., 080001. (AIP Conference Proceedings; vol. 1830).

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  9. Published

    How high is high enough? - The art of assessing extreme conditions for effective coastal management

    McMillan, A., Worth, D., Laeger, S., Hunt, T., Scott, A., Becker, M., Horsburgh, K., Lawless, M., Batstone, C. & Tawn, J., 2012, Innovative Coastal Zone Management: Sustainable Engineering for a Dynamic Coast - 7th International Coastal Management Conference. p. 12-21 10 p. (Innovative Coastal Zone Management: Sustainable Engineering for a Dynamic Coast - 7th International Coastal Management Conference).

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  10. Published

    Simulation of bedload transport of marine gravel

    Williams, J. J. & Tawn, J. A., 1991, Coastal Sediments '91. Publ by ASCE, p. 703-716 14 p. (Coastal Sediments '91).

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  11. Conference paper
  12. Published

    The extremal dependence of storm severity, wind speed and surface level pressure in the northern north sea

    Towe, R., Eastoe, E., Tawn, J., Jonathan, P. & Fournier, N., 4/06/2013.

    Research output: Contribution to conference - Without ISBN/ISSN Conference paperpeer-review

  13. Poster
  14. Published

    Modelling drought in Southern Africa with extreme value theory

    Winter, H. & Tawn, J., 18/03/2013.

    Research output: Contribution to conference - Without ISBN/ISSN Poster

  15. Published

    Modelling drought in Southern Africa with extreme value theory

    Winter, H. & Tawn, J., 18/12/2012.

    Research output: Contribution to conference - Without ISBN/ISSN Poster

  16. Journal article
  17. Forthcoming

    Inference for extreme spatial temperature events in a changing climate with application to Ireland

    Healy, D., Tawn, J., Thorne, P. & Parnell, A., 9/02/2024, (Accepted/In press) In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics).

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  18. Published

    Modelling non-stationary flood frequency in England andWales using physical covariates

    Faulkner, D. S., Longfield, S., Warren, S. & Tawn, J. A., 1/02/2024, In: Hydrology Research. 55, 2, p. 205-220 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  19. Forthcoming

    Inference for new environmental contours using extreme value analysis

    Simpson, E. & Tawn, J., 23/01/2024, (Accepted/In press) In: Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  20. Published

    Some benefits of standardisation for conditional extremes

    Rohrbeck, C. & Tawn, J., 14/01/2024, In: Stat. 13, 1, e647.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  21. Forthcoming

    Modelling non-stationary flood frequency in England and Wales using physical covariates

    Faulkner, D., Longfield, S., Warren, S. & Tawn, J., 21/12/2023, (Accepted/In press) In: Hydrology Research.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  22. E-pub ahead of print

    Temporal evolution of the extreme excursions of multivariate k $$ k $$ th order Markov processes with application to oceanographic data

    Tendijck, S., Tawn, J., Randell, D. & Jonathan, P., 3/12/2023, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Environmetrics.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  23. Published

    Modeling Intransitivity in Pairwise Comparisons with Application to Baseball Data

    Spearing, H., Tawn, J., Irons, D. & Paulden, T., 2/10/2023, In: Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics. 32, 4, p. 1383-1392 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  24. Published

    Modeling the Extremes of Bivariate Mixture Distributions With Application to Oceanographic Data

    Tendijck, S., Eastoe, E., Tawn, J., Randell, D. & Jonathan, P., 30/06/2023, In: Journal of the American Statistical Association. 118, 542, p. 1373-1384 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  25. Forthcoming

    Accouting for seasonality in extreme sea level estimation

    D'Arcy, E., Tawn, J., Joly, A. & Sifnioti, D., 22/04/2023, (Accepted/In press) In: Annals of Applied Statistics.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  26. Published

    Extremal characteristics of conditional models

    Tendijck, S., Tawn, J. & Jonathan, P., 31/03/2023, In: Extremes. 26, 1, p. 139-156 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  27. Published

    Joint Estimation of Extreme Spatially Aggregated Precipitation at Different Scales through Mixture Modelling

    Richards, J., Tawn, J. & Brown, S., 31/03/2023, In: Spatial Statistics. 53, 21 p., 100725.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  28. E-pub ahead of print

    Modelling intransitivity in pairwise comparisons with application to baseball data

    Spearing, H., Tawn, J., Irons, D. & Paulden, T., 23/03/2023, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics. 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  29. Published

    MODELLING EXTREMES OF SPATIAL AGGREGATES OF PRECIPITATION USING CONDITIONAL METHODS

    Richards, J., Tawn, J. & Brown, S., 31/12/2022, In: Annals of Applied Statistics. 16, 4, p. 2693-2713 21 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  30. Published

    On the Tail Behaviour of Aggregated Random Variables

    Richards, J. & Tawn, J., 30/11/2022, In: Journal of Multivariate Analysis. 192, 16 p., 105065.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  31. E-pub ahead of print

    Limit theory and robust evaluation methods for the extremal properties of GARCH(p, q) processes

    Laurini, F., Fearnhead, P. & Tawn, J., 1/11/2022, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Statistics and Computing. 32, 6

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  32. Published

    Accounting for Climate Change in Extreme Sea Level Estimation

    D'Arcy, E., Tawn, J. & Sifnioti, D., 21/09/2022, In: Water.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  33. E-pub ahead of print

    Higher-dimensional spatial extremes via single-site conditioning

    Wadsworth, J. & Tawn, J., 30/06/2022, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Spatial Statistics. 51, 31 p., 100677.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  34. Published

    Sub-asymptotic motivation for new conditional multivariate extreme models

    Lugrin, T., Tawn, J. & Davison, A., 31/12/2021, In: Stat. 10, 1, e401.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  35. Published

    A geometric investigation into the tail dependence of vine copulas

    Simpson, E., Wadsworth, J. & Tawn, J., 1/07/2021, In: Journal of Multivariate Analysis. 184, 21 p., 104736.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  36. Published

    Basin-wide spatial conditional extremes for severe ocean storms

    Shooter, R., Tawn, J., Ross, E. & Jonathan, P., 30/06/2021, In: Extremes. 24, 2, p. 241-265 25 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  37. Published

    Bayesian spatial clustering of extremal behaviour for hydrological variables

    Rohrbeck, C. & Tawn, J., 31/03/2021, In: Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics. 30, 1, p. 91-105 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  38. Published

    Ranking, and other properties, of elite swimmers using extreme value theory

    Spearing, H., Tawn, J., Paulden, T., Irons, D. & Bennett, G., 1/01/2021, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A Statistics in Society. 184, 1, p. 368-395 28 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  39. Published

    Determining the dependence structure of multivariate extremes

    Simpson, E., Wadsworth, J. & Tawn, J., 1/09/2020, In: Biometrika. 107, 3, p. 513-532 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  40. Published

    Inference for extreme values under threshold-based stopping rules

    Barlow, A., Sherlock, C. & Tawn, J., 1/08/2020, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics). 69, 4, p. 765-789 25 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  41. E-pub ahead of print

    Bayesian Spatial Clustering of Extremal Behavior for Hydrological Variables

    Rohrbeck, C. & Tawn, J. A., 9/07/2020, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  42. Published

    Modelling the spatial extent and severity of extreme European windstorms

    Sharkey, P., Tawn, J. & Brown, S., 1/04/2020, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics). 69, 2, p. 223-250 28 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  43. Published

    Modelling the clustering of extreme events for short-term risk assessment

    Towe, R., Tawn, J., Eastoe, E. & Lamb, R., 31/03/2020, In: Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics. 25, 1, p. 32-53 22 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  44. Published

    Model-based inference of conditional extreme value distributions with hydrological applications

    Towe, R. P., Tawn, J. A., Lamb, R. & Sherlock, C. G., 1/12/2019, In: Environmetrics. 30, 8, 20 p., e2575.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  45. Published

    A step towards efficient inference for trends in UK extreme temperatures through distributional linkage between observations and climate model data

    Tawn, J. A., Gabda, D. & Brown, S., 1/09/2019, In: Natural Hazards. 98, 3, p. 1135–1154 20 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  46. Published

    On spatial conditional extremes for ocean storm severity

    Shooter, R., Tawn, J. A., Jonathan, P. & Ross, E., 1/09/2019, In: Environmetrics. 30, 6, 18 p., e2562.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  47. Published

    Evaluation of extremal properties of GARCH(p,q) processes

    Laurini, F., Fearnhead, P. & Tawn, J. A., 19/08/2019, In: arxiv.org.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal article

  48. Published

    Modelling spatial extreme events with environmental applications

    Tawn, J. A., Shooter, R., Towe, R. P. & Lamb, R., 12/2018, In: Spatial Statistics. 28, p. 39-58 20 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  49. Published

    Why extreme floods are more common than you might think

    Towe, R. P., Tawn, J. A. & Lamb, R., 12/2018, In: Significance. 15, 6, p. 16-21 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  50. Published

    Extreme value modelling of water-related insurance claims

    Rohrbeck, C., Eastoe, E. F., Frigessi, A. & Tawn, J. A., 1/03/2018, In: Annals of Applied Statistics. 12, 1, p. 246-282 37 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  51. Published

    Statistical downscaling for future extreme wave heights in the North Sea

    Towe, R. P., Eastoe, E. F., Tawn, J. A. & Jonathan, P., 1/09/2017, In: Annals of Applied Statistics. 11, 4, p. 2375–2403 33 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  52. Published

    A Poisson process reparameterisation for Bayesian inference for extremes

    Sharkey, P. & Tawn, J. A., 06/2017, In: Extremes. 20, 2, p. 239-263 25 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  53. Published

    kth-order Markov extremal models for assessing heatwave risks

    Winter, H. & Tawn, J. A., 06/2017, In: Extremes. 20, 2, p. 393-415 23 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  54. Published

    Properties of extremal dependence models built on bivariate max-linearity

    Kereszturi, M. & Tawn, J., 03/2017, In: Journal of Multivariate Analysis. 155, p. 52-71 20 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  55. Published

    Extreme events of Markov Chains

    Papastathopoulos, I., Strokorb, K., Tawn, J. A. & Butler, A., 03/2017, In: Advances in Applied Probability. 49, 1, p. 134-161 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  56. Published

    Characterising the changing behaviour of heatwaves with climate change

    Winter, H., Brown, S. & Tawn, J. A., 17/01/2017, In: Dynamics and Statistics of the Climate System. 1, 1, 17 p., dzw006.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

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