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Professor Nikos Kourentzes

Visiting Professor, Professor

  1. 2021
  2. Published

    Elucidate structure in intermittent demand series

    Kourentzes, N. & Athanasopoulos, G., 1/01/2021, In : European Journal of Operational Research. 288, 1, p. 141-152 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  3. 2020
  4. Published

    Automatic robust estimation for exponential smoothing: Perspectives from statistics and machine learning

    Barrow, D., Kourentzes, N., Sandberg, R. & Niklewski, J., 1/12/2020, In : Expert Systems with Applications. 160, 14 p., 113637.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  5. Published

    Optimising forecasting models for inventory planning

    Kourentzes, N., Trapero, J. R. & Barrow, D., 1/07/2020, In : International Journal of Production Economics. 225, 9 p., 107597.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  6. Published

    Cross-temporal aggregation: Improving the forecast accuracy of hierarchical electricity consumption

    Spiliotis, E., Petropoulos, F., Kourentzes, N. & Assimakopoulos, V., 1/03/2020, In : Applied Energy. 261, 12 p., 114339.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  7. 2019
  8. Published

    Empirical safety stock estimation based on kernel and GARCH models

    Trapero Arenas, J. R., Cardos, M. & Kourentzes, N., 04/2019, In : Omega: The International Journal of Management Science. 84, p. 199-211 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  9. Published

    Cross-temporal coherent forecasts for Australian tourism

    Kourentzes, N. & Athanasopoulos, G., 31/03/2019, In : Annals of Tourism Research. 75, p. 393-409 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  10. Published

    Another look at forecast selection and combination: evidence from forecast pooling

    Kourentzes, N., Barrow, D. K. & Petropoulos, F., 1/03/2019, In : International Journal of Production Economics. 209, p. 226-235 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  11. Published

    Incorporating macroeconomic leading indicators in tactical capacity planning

    Sagaert, Y. R., Kourentzes, N., De Vuyst, S., Aghezzaf, E-H. & Desmet, B., 1/03/2019, In : International Journal of Production Economics. 209, p. 12-19 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  12. Unpublished

    Estimating the market potential with pre-release buzz

    Schaer, O., Kourentzes, N. & Fildes, R. A., 3/02/2019, (Unpublished) Department of Management Science, Lancaster University, p. 1-39, 39 p.

    Research output: Working paper

  13. Published

    Unconstraining methods for revenue management systems under small demand

    Kourentzes, N., Dong, L. & Strauss, A., 1/02/2019, In : Journal of Revenue and Pricing Management. 18, 1, p. 27-41 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  14. Published

    Demand forecasting with user-generated online information

    Schaer, O., Kourentzes, N. & Fildes, R. A., 01/2019, In : International Journal of Forecasting. 35, 1, p. 197-212 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  15. Published

    Quantile forecast optimal combination to enhance safety stock estimation

    Trapero Arenas, J. R., Cardos, M. & Kourentzes, N., 01/2019, In : International Journal of Forecasting. 35, 1, p. 239-250 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  16. 2018
  17. Unpublished

    Demand forecasting with user-generated online information

    Schaer, O., Kourentzes, N. & Fildes, R. A., 26/02/2018, (Unpublished) Lancaster: Lancaster University Management School, p. 1-41, 41 p.

    Research output: Working paper

  18. Published

    The impact of special days in call arrivals forecasting: a neural network approach to modelling special days

    Barrow, D. K. & Kourentzes, N., 1/02/2018, In : European Journal of Operational Research. 264, 3, p. 967-977 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  19. Published

    Tactical sales forecasting using a very large set of macroeconomic indicators

    Sagaert, Y. R., Aghezzaf, E-H., Kourentzes, N. & Desmet, B., 16/01/2018, In : European Journal of Operational Research. 264, 2, p. 558-569 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  20. Published

    Complex Exponential Smoothing for Seasonal Time Series

    Svetunkov, I. & Kourentzes, N., 01/2018, Lancaster: Department of Management Science, Lancaster University, p. 1-20, 20 p.

    Research output: Working paper

  21. Published

    Judgmental Selection of Forecasting Models

    Petropoulos, F., Kourentzes, N., Nikolopoulos, K. & Siemsen, E., 2018, In : Journal of Operations Management. 60, p. 34-46 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  22. Published

    On the use of multi-step cost functions for generating forecasts

    Kourentzes, N. & Trapero, J. R., 2018, Department of Management Science, Lancaster University, p. 1-38, 38 p.

    Research output: Working paper

  23. Published

    Temporal big data for tire industry tactical sales forecasting

    Sagaert, Y. R., Aghezzaf, E-H., Kourentzes, N. & Desmet, B., 2018, In : Interfaces. 48, 2, p. 121-129 9 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  24. 2017
  25. Published

    Forecasting with temporal hierarchies

    Athanasopoulos, G., Hyndman, R. J., Kourentzes, N. & Petropoulos, F., 1/10/2017, In : European Journal of Operational Research. 262, 1, p. 60-74 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  26. Published

    Demand forecasting by temporal aggregation: using optimal or multiple aggregation levels?

    Kourentzes, N., Rostami-Tabar, B. & Barrow, D., 09/2017, In : Journal of Business Research. 78, p. 1-9 9 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  27. Published

    Principles of Business Forecasting

    Ord, K., Fildes, R. A. & Kourentzes, N., 1/07/2017, 2nd ed. New York: Wessex Press Publishing Co.

    Research output: Book/Report/ProceedingsBook

  28. Published

    Simplifying fitness games for users with learning disabilities, Hawaii International Conference on Systems and Sciences (HICSS) 2017

    Liu, L., Stacey, P., Tarafdar, M. & Kourentzes, N., 4/01/2017.

    Research output: Contribution to conference - Without ISBN/ISSN Conference paperpeer-review

  29. 2016
  30. Published

    Another look at estimators for intermittent demand

    Petropoulos, F., Kourentzes, N. & Nikolopoulos, K., 11/2016, In : International Journal of Production Economics. 181 , Part A, p. 154-161 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  31. Published

    Forecasting with multivariate temporal aggregation: the case of promotional modelling

    Kourentzes, N. & Petropoulos, F., 11/2016, In : International Journal of Production Economics. 181, Part A, p. 145-153 9 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  32. Published
  33. Published

    Distributions of forecasting errors of forecast combinations: implications for inventory management

    Barrow, D. K. & Kourentzes, N., 07/2016, In : International Journal of Production Economics. 177, p. 24-33 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  34. Published

    Commentary: two sides of the same coin

    Petropoulos, F. & Kourentzes, N., 1/06/2016, In : Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting. 42, p. 37-39 3 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  35. Published

    Complex exponential smoothing

    Svetunkov, I. & Kourentzes, N., 2/01/2016, Lancaster: Lancaster University Management School, p. 1-31, 31 p.

    Research output: Working paper

  36. 2015
  37. Published

    Forecast combinations for intermittent demand

    Petropoulos, F. & Kourentzes, N., 06/2015, In : Journal of the Operational Research Society. 66, 6, p. 914-924 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  38. Published

    Short-term solar irradiation forecasting based on dynamic harmonic regression

    Trapero, J. R., Kourentzes, N. & Martin, A., 1/05/2015, In : Energy. 84, p. 289-295 7 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  39. Unpublished

    Forecasting with Temporal Hierarchies

    Athanasopoulos, G., Hyndman, R. J., Kourentzes, N. & Petropoulos, F., 2015, (Unpublished) Lancaster: Department of Management Science, Lancaster University, 26 p.

    Research output: Working paper

  40. 2014
  41. Published

    On intermittent demand model optimisation and selection

    Kourentzes, N., 10/2014, In : International Journal of Production Economics. 156, p. 180-190 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  42. Published

    Neural network ensemble operators for time series forecasting

    Kourentzes, N., Barrow, D. & Crone, S., 07/2014, In : Expert Systems with Applications. 41, 9, p. 4235-4244 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  43. Published

    Improving forecasting by estimating time series structural components across multiple frequencies

    Kourentzes, N., Petropoulos, F. & Trapero, J. R., 04/2014, In : International Journal of Forecasting. 30, 2, p. 291-302 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  44. Published

    Impact of demand nature on the bullwhip effect: bridging the gap between theoretical and empirical research

    Trapero, J. R., Garcia, F. P. & Kourentzes, N., 2014, Proceedings of the Seventh International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management.. Xu, J., Fry, J. A., Lev, B. & Hajiyev, A. (eds.). Berlin: Springer Verlag, p. 1127-1137 11 p. (Lecture Notes in Electrical Engineering; vol. 242).

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNChapter (peer-reviewed)

  45. Published

    Improving forecasting via multiple temporal aggregation

    Petropoulos, F. & Kourentzes, N., 2014, In : Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting. 2014, 34, p. 12-17 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  46. Published

    On the identification of sales forecasting models in the presence of promotions

    Trapero, J. R., Kourentzes, N. & Fildes, R., 2014, In : Journal of the Operational Research Society. 66, p. 299-307 9 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  47. 2013
  48. Published

    Intermittent demand forecasts with neural networks

    Kourentzes, N., 05/2013, In : International Journal of Production Economics. 143, 1, p. 198-206 9 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  49. Published

    Analysis of judgmental adjustments in the presence of promotions

    Trapero Arenas, J., Pedregal, D. J., Fildes, R. & Kourentzes, N., 04/2013, In : International Journal of Forecasting. 29, 2, p. 234-243 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  50. 2012
  51. Published

    Impact of Information Exchange on Supplier Forecasting Performance

    Trapero Arenas, J., Kourentzes, N. & Fildes, R., 12/2012, In : Omega: The International Journal of Management Science. 40, 6, p. 738-747 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  52. Published

    Data driven fitting sample selection for time series forecasting with neural networks

    Kourentzes, N., 2012, The 2012 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IJCNN). IEEE, 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  53. 2011
  54. Published

    Validation and forecasting accuracy in models of climate change

    Fildes, R. & Kourentzes, N., 10/2011, In : International Journal of Forecasting. 27, 4, p. 968-995 28 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  55. Published

    Validation and forecasting accuracy in models of climate change: Postscript

    Fildes, R. & Kourentzes, N., 10/2011, In : International Journal of Forecasting. 27, 4, p. 1004-1005 2 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalEditorialpeer-review

  56. Published

    Modelling functional outliers for high frequency time series forecasting with neural networks: an empirical evaluation for electricity load data

    Kourentzes, N., 2011, Proceedings of the 2011 International Conference on Data Mining. Stahlbock, R. (ed.). CSREA Press, p. 313-319 7 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  57. Published

    Semi-supervised monitoring of electric load time series for unusual patterns

    Kourentzes, N. & Crone, S. F., 2011, The 2011 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IJCNN). New York: IEEE, p. 2852-2859 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  58. Published

    The impact of preprocessing on forecasting electrical load: an empirical evaluation of segmenting time series into subseries

    Crone, S. F. & Kourentzes, N., 2011, The 2011 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IJCNN). New York: IEEE, p. 3285-3292 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  59. Published

    The value of corporate risk management: Is predictive modelling possible?

    Panaretou, A. & Kourentzes, N., 2011, 34th Annual Congress of European Accounting Association, EAA 2011.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  60. 2010
  61. Published

    Feature selection for time series prediction - A combined filter and wrapper approach for neural networks

    Crone, S. F. & Kourentzes, N., 06/2010, In : Neurocomputing. 73, 10-12, p. 1923-1936 14 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  62. Published

    Advances in forecasting with artificial neural networks

    Kourentzes, N. & Crone, S., 2010, Lancaster University: The Department of Management Science, (Management Science Working Paper Series).

    Research output: Working paper

  63. Published

    An Evaluation of Neural Network Ensembles and Model Selection for Time Series Prediction

    Barrow, D. K., Crone, S. F. & Kourentzes, N., 2010, The 2010 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IJCNN). New York: IEEE, p. 1-8 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  64. Published

    Frequency independent automatic input variable selection for neural networks for forecasting

    Kourentzes, N. & Crone, S. F., 2010, The 2010 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IJCNN) . New York: IEEE, p. - 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  65. Published

    Impact of Information Exchange on Supplier Forecasting Performance

    Trapero Arenas, J. R., Kourentzes, N. & Fildes, R. A., 2010, Lancaster University: The Department of Management Science, (Management Science Working Paper Series).

    Research output: Working paper

  66. Published

    Inference for Neural Network Predictive Models with Impulse Interventions

    Kourentzes, N. & Crone, S., 2010, International Conference on Data Mining (Las Vegas) - 2010. Stahlbock, R., Crone, S. F., Abou-Nasr, M., Arabnia, H. R., Kourentzes, N., Lenca, P., Lippe, W-M. & Weiss, G. M. (eds.). CSREA Press, p. 273-279 7 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  67. Published

    Modelling Deterministic Seasonality with Artificial Neural Networks for Time Series Forecasting

    Kourentzes, N. & Crone, S., 2010, Lancaster University: The Department of Management Science, (Management Science Working Paper Series).

    Research output: Working paper

  68. Published

    Naive Support Vector Regression and Multilayer Perceptron Benchmarks for the 2010 Neural Network Grand Competition (NNGC) on Time Series Prediction

    Crone, S. F. & Kourentzes, N., 2010, The 2010 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IJCNN). New York: IEEE, p. - 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  69. Published

    Proceedings of the 2010 International Conference on Data Mining

    Stahlbock, R. (ed.), Crone, S. (ed.), Abou-Nasr, M. (ed.), Arabnia, H. R. (ed.), Kourentzes, N. (ed.), Lenca, P. (ed.), Lippe, W-M. (ed.) & Weiss, G. M. (ed.), 2010, CSREA Press.

    Research output: Book/Report/ProceedingsProceedings

  70. Published

    Validation in models of climate change and forecasting accuracy

    Fildes, R. A. & Kourentzes, N., 2010, Lancaster University: The Department of Management Science, (Management Science Working Paper Series).

    Research output: Working paper

  71. 2009
  72. Unpublished
  73. Published

    Forecasting seasonal time series with multilayer perceptrons - an empirical evaluation of input vector specifications for deterministic seasonality

    Crone, S. & Kourentzes, N., 2009, Proceedings of The 2009 International Conference on Data Mining, DMIN 2009, July 13-16, 2009, Las Vegas, USA. . Stahlbock, R., Crone, S. F. & Lessmann, S. (eds.). CSREA Press, p. 232-238 7 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  74. Published

    Input-variable Specification for Neural Networks - an Analysis of Forecasting low and high Time Series Frequency

    Crone, S. F. & Kourentzes, N., 2009, International Joint Conference on Neural Networks, 2009. IJCNN 2009.. New York: IEEE, p. 3221-3228 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  75. 2008
  76. Published

    Automatic modelling of neural networks for time series prediction - in search of a uniform methodology across varying time frequencies

    Kourentzes, N. & Crone, S., 2008, 2nd European Symposium on Time Series Prediction (Helsinki) - 2008. N/A: unknown

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  77. Published

    Forecasting high-frequency time series with neural networks - an analysis of modelling challenges from increasing data frequency

    Crone, S. & Kourentzes, N., 2008, International Conference on Data Mining (Las Vegas) - 2008. Stahlbock, R., Crone, S. F. & Lessmann, S. (eds.). CSREA Press

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  78. 2007
  79. Published

    Input variable selection for time series prediction with neural networks- an evaluation of visual, autocorrelation and spectral analysis for varying seasonality

    Crone, S. & Kourentzes, N., 2007, The 1st European Symposium on Time Series Prediction, ESTSP'07 (Helsinki, Finland) - 2007. N/A: unknown

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

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