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Dr Trevor Page

Formerly at Lancaster University

  1. 2023
  2. Published

    Technical note: The CREDIBLE Uncertainty Estimation (CURE) toolbox: facilitating the communication of epistemic uncertainty

    Page, T., Smith, P., Beven, K., Pianosi, F., Sarrazin, F., Almeida, S., Holcombe, L., Freer, J., Chappell, N. & Wagener, T., 11/07/2023, In: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 27, 13, p. 2523-2534 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  3. 2022
  4. Published

    Deciding on fitness‐for‐purpose ‐ of models and of natural flood management

    Beven, K., Page, T., Hankin, B., Smith, P., Kretzschmar, A., Mindham, D. & Chappell, N., 30/11/2022, In: Hydrological Processes. 36, 11, 40 p., e14752.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  5. Published

    Interpolation of rainfall observations during extreme rainfall events in complex mountainous terrain

    Page, T., Beven, K., Hankin, B. & Chappell, N., 30/11/2022, In: Hydrological Processes. 36, 11, 21 p., e14758.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  6. Published

    On (in)validating environmental models. 2. Implementation of a Turing‐like Test to modelling hydrological processes

    Beven, K., Lane, S., Page, T., Kretzschmar, A., Hankin, B., Smith, P. & Chappell, N., 31/10/2022, In: Hydrological Processes. 36, 10, 16 p., e14703.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  7. Forthcoming

    Floating solar panels on reservoirs impact phytoplankton populations: A modelling experiment

    Exley, G., Page, T., Thackeray, S. J., Folkard, A., Couture, R-M., Hernandez, R. R., Cagle, A., Salk, K., Clous, L., Whittaker, P., Chipps, M. & Armstrong, A., 27/09/2022, (Accepted/In press) In: Journal of Environmental Management.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  8. Published

    Floating solar interactions with water bodies under climate warming

    Exley, G., Page, T., Folkard, A. M., Thackeray, S. J., Hernandez, R. R. & Armstrong, A., 27/03/2022.

    Research output: Contribution to conference - Without ISBN/ISSN Speech

  9. 2021
  10. Published

    Scientific and stakeholder evidence-based assessment: Ecosystem response to floating solar photovoltaics and implications for sustainability

    Exley, G., Hernandez, R., Page, T., Chipps, M., Gambro, S., Hersey, M., Lake, R., Stella-Zoannou, K. & Armstrong, A., 31/12/2021, In: Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews. 152, 14 p., 111639.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  11. Published

    Floating Futures: Can Floating Solar Photovoltaics Deliver Clean Electricity And Enhance Water Quality?

    Exley, G., Hernandez, R. R., Page, T., Folkard, A., Thackeray, S. J. & Armstrong, A., 17/12/2021.

    Research output: Contribution to conference - Without ISBN/ISSN Poster

  12. Published

    Using micro-catchment experiments for multi-local scale modelling of nature-based solutions

    Hankin, B., Page, T. J. C., Chappell, N. A., Beven, K. J., Smith, P. J., Kretzschmar, A. & Lamb, R., 18/11/2021, In: Hydrol. Processes. 35, 11, 17 p., e14418.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  13. Published

    How can we plan resilient systems of nature-based mitigation measures in larger catchments for flood risk reduction now and in the future?

    Hankin, B., Page, T., McShane, G., Chappell, N., Spray, C., Black, A. & Comins, L., 31/08/2021, In: Water Security. 13, 8 p., 100091.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  14. Published

    Floating photovoltaics could mitigate climate change impacts on water body temperature and stratification

    Exley, G., Armstrong, A., Page, T. & Jones, I. D., 1/05/2021, In: Solar Energy. 219, p. 24-33 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  15. Published

    Prioritising ecosystem opportunities and threats of floating solar photovoltaics

    Exley, G., Hernandez, R. R., Page, T., Chipps, M., Gambro, S., Hersey, M., Lake, R., Zoannou, K-S. & Armstrong, A., 3/03/2021.

    Research output: Contribution to conference - Without ISBN/ISSN Abstractpeer-review

  16. 2020
  17. Published

    Assessing the significance of wet-canopy evaporation from forests during extreme rainfall events for flood mitigation in mountainous regions of the United Kingdom

    Page, T., Chappell, N. A., Beven, K. J., Hankin, B. & Kretzschmar, A., 30/11/2020, In: Hydrological Processes. 34, 24, p. 4740-4754 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  18. Published

    Integrating environmental understanding into freshwater floatovoltaic deployment using an effects hierarchy and decision trees

    Armstrong, A., Page, T., Thackeray, S. J., Hernandez, R. R. & Jones, I., 20/11/2020, In: Environmental Research Letters. 15, 11, 14 p., 114055.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  19. 2018
  20. Published

    Epistemic uncertainties and natural hazard risk assessment - Part 2: What should constitute good practice?

    Beven, K. J., Aspinall, W. P., Bates, P. D., Borgomeo, E., Goda, K., Hall, J. W., Page, T., Phillips, J. C., Simpson, M., Smith, P. J., Wagener, T. & Watson, M., 24/10/2018, In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 18, 10, p. 2769-2783 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  21. Published

    Adaptive forecasting of phytoplankton communities

    Page, T., Smith, P. J., Beven, K. J., Jones, I. D., Elliott, J. A., Maberly, S. C., Mackay, E. B., De Ville, M. & Feuchtmayr, H., 1/05/2018, In: Water Research. 134, p. 74-85 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  22. Published

    Mapping the potential for Working with Natural Processes – technical report. SC150005/R6

    Hankin, B., Chappell, N. A., Page, T. J. C., Kipling, K., Whitling, M. & Burgess-Gamble, L., 01/2018, Environment Agency. 77 p.

    Research output: Book/Report/ProceedingsCommissioned report

  23. 2017
  24. Published

    Strategies for testing the impact of natural flood risk management measures

    Hankin, B., Metcalfe, P. W., Johnson, D., Chappell, N. A., Page, T. J. C., Craigen, I., Lamb, R. & Beven, K. J., 30/08/2017, Flood Risk Management. Hromadka, T. & Rao, P. (eds.). InTech, p. 1-39 39 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNChapter (peer-reviewed)peer-review

  25. Published

    Constraining uncertainty and process-representation in an algal community lake model using high frequency in-lake observations

    Page, T., Smith, P. J., Beven, K. J., Jones, I. D., Elliott, J. A., Maberly, S. C., Mackay, E. B., De Ville, M. & Feuchtmayr, H., 10/08/2017, In: Ecological Modelling. 357, p. 1-13 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  26. Published

    An analysis of the likely success of policy actions under uncertainty: recovery from acidification across Great Britain

    Whyatt, J. D., Metcalfe, S., Derwent, R. & Page, T. J. C., 07/2017, In: Environmental Science and Policy. 73, p. 124-132 9 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  27. 2016
  28. Published

    Effects of seasonal meteorological variables on E. coli persistence in livestock faeces and implications for environmental and human health

    Oliver, D. M. & Page, T., 15/11/2016, In: Scientific Reports. 6, 10 p., 37101.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  29. Published

    Predicting microbial water quality with models: over-arching questions for managing risk in agricultural catchments

    Oliver, D. M., Porter, K. D. H., Pachepsky, Y. A., Muirhead, R. W., Reaney, S. M., Coffey, R., Kay, D., Milledge, D. G., Hong, E., Anthony, S. G., Page, T. J. C., Bloodworth, J. W., Mellander, P-E., Carbonneau, P. E., McGrane, S. J. & Quilliam, R. S., 15/02/2016, In: Science of the Total Environment. 544, p. 39-47 9 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  30. Published
  31. 2014
  32. Published

    The influence of different environmental conditions upon the initial development and ecological dynamics of phytobenthic communities

    Law, R. J., Elliott, J. A., Jones, I. D. & Page, T., 1/10/2014, In: Fundamental and Applied Limnology. 185, 2, p. 139-153 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  33. 2013
  34. Published

    Uncertainty assessment of phosphorus risk to surface waters

    Anthony, S. G., Beven, K., Carvalho, L., Elliott, A., Freer, J. E., Gooddy, D. C., Green, H., Haygarth, P., Heathwaite, L., Hilton, J., Jarvie, H. P., Jennings, E., Maberly, S., Mainstone, C. P., May, L., Moss, B., Nash, D. M., Neal, C., Page, T., Pope, T., & 8 othersQuinton, J., Reynolds, C., Sharpley, A. N., Smith, J. W. N., Thompson, L. J., Wade, A. J., Willows, R. & Withers, P. J. A., 05/2013, Bristol: Environment Agency.

    Research output: Book/Report/ProceedingsCommissioned report

  35. Published

    Estimating phosphorus delivery with its mitigation measures from soil to stream using fuzzy rules

    Zhang, T., Page, T., Heathwaite, L., Beven, K., Oliver, D. & Haygarth, P., 03/2013, In: Soil Use and Management. 29, Suppl. s1, p. 187-198 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineSpecial issuepeer-review

  36. 2012
  37. Published

    A guide to expert opinion in environmental modelling and management

    Krueger, T., Page, T., Smith, L. & Voinov, A., 1/10/2012, In: Environmental Modelling and Software. 36, p. 1-3 3 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineEditorialpeer-review

  38. Published

    The role of expert opinion in environmental modelling

    Krueger, T., Page, T., Hubacek, K., Smith, L. & Hiscock, K., 1/10/2012, In: Environmental Modelling and Software. 36, p. 4-18 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  39. Published

    Eliciting fuzzy distributions from experts for ranking conceptual risk model components

    Page, T., Heathwaite, A. L., Thompson, L. J., Pope, L. & Willows, R., 10/2012, In: Environmental Modelling and Software. 36, p. 19-34 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  40. Published

    Determining E. coli burden on pasture in a headwater catchment: combined field and modelling approach

    Oliver, D., Page, T., Zhang, T., Heathwaite, L., Beven, K., Carter, H., McShane, G., Keenan, P. & Haygarth, P., 08/2012, In: Environment International. 43, p. 6-12 7 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  41. Published

    Managing the impacts of nutrient enrichment on river systems: dealing with complex uncertainties in risk analyses

    Page, T., Heathwaite, A. L., Reynolds, C., Beven, K. J., Pope, L., Willows, R. & Moss, B., 07/2012, In: Freshwater Biology. 57, s1, p. 108-123 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineLiterature reviewpeer-review

  42. Published

    Scaling up the phosphorus signal from soil hillslopes to headwater catchments

    Haygarth, P. M., Page, T. J. C., Beven, K. J., Freer, J., Joynes, A., Butler, P., Wood, G. A. & Owens, P. N., 07/2012, In: Freshwater Biology. 57, s1, p. 7-25 19 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  43. Published

    Estimating phosphorus delivery from land to water in headwater catchments using a fuzzy decision tree approach

    Scholefield, P., Heathwaite, L., Brazier, R., Page, T., Beven, K., Hodgkinson, R., Schaerer, M., Withers, P., Walling, D. E. & Haygarth, P., 03/2012, In: Soil Use and Management. 29, Suppl. s1, p. 175-186 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineSpecial issuepeer-review

  44. 2011
  45. Published

    Increases in lake phytoplankton biomass caused by future climate-driven changes to seasonal river flow

    Jones, I. D., Page, T., Elliott, J. A., Thackeray, S. J. & Heathwaite, A. L., 05/2011, In: Global Change Biology. 17, 5, p. 1809-1820 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  46. 2010
  47. Published

    Development and testing of a risk indexing framework to determine field-scale critical source areas of faecal bacteria on grassland.

    Oliver, D. M., Page, T., Hodgson, C. J., Heathwaite, A. L., Chadwick, D. R., Fish, R. D. & Winter, M., 04/2010, In: Environmental Modelling and Software. 25, 4, p. 503-512 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  48. Published

    Re-shaping models of E. coli population dynamics in livestock faeces: increased bacterial risk to humans?

    Oliver, D. M., Page, T., Heathwaite, A. L. & Haygarth, P. M., 01/2010, In: Environmental International. 36, 1, p. 1-7 7 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  49. Published

    Impacts of pollution and climate change on ombrotrophic Sphagnum species in the UK: analysis of uncertainties in two empirical niche models

    Smart, S., Henrys, P. A., Scott, W. A., Hall, J., Evans, C., Rowe, E., Page, T., Whyatt, D., Sowerby, A. & Clark, J., 2010, In: Climate Research. 45, CR Special 24, p. 163-177 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  50. 2009
  51. Published

    The importance of nutrient source in determining the influence of retention time on phytoplankton: An explorative modelling study of a naturally well-flushed lake

    Elliott, J. A., Jones, I. D. & Page, T., 1/07/2009, In: Hydrobiologia. 627, 1, p. 129-142 14 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  52. 2008
  53. Published

    Assessment of uncertainties in a long range atmospheric transport model : methodology, application and implications in a UK context.

    Page, T., Whyatt, J. D., Metcalfe, S. E., Derwent, R. G. & Curtis, C., 12/2008, In: Environmental Pollution. 156, 3, p. 997-1006 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  54. 2007
  55. Published

    Regional Scale Modelling of Particulate Matter in the UK: Source Attribution and Assessment of Uncertainties.

    Whyatt, J. D., Metcalfe, S. E., Nicholson, J. P. G., Derwent, R. G., Page, T. & Stedman, J. R., 05/2007, In: Atmospheric Environment. 41, 16, p. 3315-3327 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  56. Published

    Modelling the Chloride Signal at the Plynlimon Catchments, Wales Using a Modified Dynamic TOPMODEL.

    Page, T., Beven, K. J., Freer, J. & Neal, C., 30/01/2007, In: Hydrological Processes. 21, 3, p. 292-307 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  57. Published

    Uncertainty estimation in phosphorus models.

    Beven, K. J., Page, T. & McGechan, M., 2007, Modeling phosphorus in the environment. Radcliffe, D. E. & Cabrera, M. L. (eds.). Boca Ranton: CRC Press, p. 131-160 30 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNChapter

  58. 2006
  59. Published

    A fuzzy decision tree to predict phosphorus export at the catchment scale.

    Scharer, M., Page, T. & Beven, K., 15/12/2006, In: Journal of Hydrology. 331, 3-4, p. 484-494 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  60. Published

    Presentation of the Influence of Deposition Uncertainties on Acidity Critical Load Exceedance across Wales.

    Heywood, E., Whyatt, J. D., Hall, J., Wadsworth, R. A. & Page, T., 02/2006, In: Environmental Science and Policy. 9, 1, p. 32-45 14 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  61. 2005
  62. Published

    Spatial Variability of Soil Phosphorus in Relation to the Topographic Index and Critical Source Areas : Sampling for Assessing Risk to Water Quality

    Page, T., Haygarth, P. M., Beven, K. J., Joynes, A., Butler, P. J., Keeler, C., Freer, J. E., Owens, P. & Woods, G., 11/2005, In: Journal of Environmental Quality. 34, 6, p. 2263-2277 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  63. 2004
  64. Published

    Uncertainty in Modelled Estimates of Acid Deposition Across Wales: A GLUE Approach.

    Page, T., Whyatt, J. D., Beven, K. J. & Metcalfe, S. E., 05/2004, In: Atmospheric Environment. 38, 14, p. 2079-2090 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  65. Published

    Predictive Capability in Estimating Changes in Water Quality: Long-Term Responses to Atmospheric Deposition.

    Page, T., Beven, K. J. & Whyatt, J. D., 01/2004, In: Water, Air, and Soil Pollution. 151, 1-4, p. 215-244 30 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  66. Published

    Temporal variability in phosphorus transfers: classifying concentration-discharge event dynamics.

    Haygarth, P., Turner, B., Fraser, A., Jarvis, S., Harrod, T., Nash, D., Halliwell, D., Page, T. & Beven, K. J., 2004, In: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 8, 1, p. 88-97 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal article

  67. 2003
  68. Published

    Investigating the uncertainty in predicting responses to atmospheric deposition using the model of acidification of groundwater in catchments (MAGIC) within a generalised likelihood uncertainty estimation (GLUE) framework.

    Page, T., Beven, K. J., Freer, J. E. & Jenkins, A., 01/2003, In: Water, Air, and Soil Pollution. 142, 1-4, p. 71-94 24 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal article

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