Home > Research > Publications & Outputs > The relationship between betting and lottery pl...
View graph of relations

The relationship between betting and lottery play: a high frequency time-series analysis

Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

Published
Close
<mark>Journal publication date</mark>2010
<mark>Journal</mark>Economic Inquiry
Issue number1
Volume48
Number of pages13
Pages (from-to)26-38
Publication StatusPublished
<mark>Original language</mark>English

Abstract

We apply a novel daily time series data set of daily turnover from one of Britain’s leading bookmakers to analyze potential substitution between lottery play and bookmaker betting. We find some evidence that bettors do substitute away from horse race, soccer and numbers betting when the effective price of lottery tickets is unusually low, that is, when there is a rollover or other special draw. This substitution has a highly specific pattern of timing that varies by sector. Our results further suggest that bettors rationally engage in forward-looking substitution within their betting portfolios