Home > Research > Publications & Outputs > The great trade collapse and Indian firms

Links

Text available via DOI:

View graph of relations

The great trade collapse and Indian firms

Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

Published
<mark>Journal publication date</mark>01/2018
<mark>Journal</mark>The World Economy
Issue number1
Volume41
Number of pages26
Pages (from-to)100-125
Publication StatusPublished
Early online date27/06/17
<mark>Original language</mark>English

Abstract

The collapse in global trade during the 2008–09 crisis has been widely studied using the developed nation(s) data. I use firm-level data from Indian manufacturers to show that: (a) Indian firms experience strong negative demand shocks concerning their exports to the USA and the EU, the effect being significantly higher in case of the USA. Results assert that 1% increase in the exposure towards the crisis-affected zones (the USA and the EU combined) reduces an average Indian manufacturing firm's export earnings by 1.17%–1.36%; (b) trade in consumer non-durables and durables are the two most affected sectors, impact being higher for the latter; (c) evidence in support of similar effects throughout the size distribution of firms, with the effect being highest for small or the most vulnerable firms; (d) drop in demand, as a result of the 2008–09 crisis, only affects the high-exposure industries. My results are robust to IV analysis and a variety of checks.