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Forecasting hot water consumption in dwellings using artificial neural networks

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Published
Publication date13/05/2015
Host publication2015 IEEE 5th International Conference on Power Engineering, Energy and Electrical Drives (POWERENG2015)
PublisherIEEE
Pages410-415
Number of pages6
ISBN (print)9781467372039
<mark>Original language</mark>English
EventThe 5th International Conference on Power Engineering, Energy and Electrical Drives (POWERENG2015) - Riga, Latvia
Duration: 11/05/201513/05/2015

Conference

ConferenceThe 5th International Conference on Power Engineering, Energy and Electrical Drives (POWERENG2015)
Country/TerritoryLatvia
CityRiga
Period11/05/1513/05/15

Conference

ConferenceThe 5th International Conference on Power Engineering, Energy and Electrical Drives (POWERENG2015)
Country/TerritoryLatvia
CityRiga
Period11/05/1513/05/15

Abstract

The electricity grid is currently transforming and becoming more and more decentralised. Green energy generation has many incentives throughout the world thus small renewable generation units become popular. Intermittent generation units pose threat to system stability so new balancing techniques like Demand Side Management must be researched. Residential hot water heaters are perfect candidates to be used for shifting electricity consumption in time. This paper investigates the ability on Artificial Neural Networks to predict individual hot water heater energy demand profile. Data from about a hundred dwellings are analysed using autocorrelation technique. The most appropriate lags were chosen and different Neural Network model topologies were tested and compared. The results are positive and show that water heaters have could potentially shift electric energy.