Assessment of uncertainties in a long range atmospheric transport model : methodology, application and implications in a UK context.

Lancaster Environment Centre

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Assessment of uncertainties in a long range atmospheric transport model : methodology, application and implications in a UK context. / Page, T.; Whyatt, J. Duncan; Metcalfe, Sarah E. et al.
In: Environmental Pollution, Vol. 156, No. 3, 12.2008, p. 997-1006.

Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

Harvard

Page, T , Whyatt, JD, Metcalfe, SE, Derwent, RG & Curtis, C 2008, 'Assessment of uncertainties in a long range atmospheric transport model : methodology, application and implications in a UK context.', Environmental Pollution, vol. 156, no. 3, pp. 997-1006. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envpol.2008.05.015

APA

Page, T., Whyatt, J. D., Metcalfe, S. E., Derwent, R. G., & Curtis, C. (2008). Assessment of uncertainties in a long range atmospheric transport model : methodology, application and implications in a UK context. Environmental Pollution, 156(3), 997-1006. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envpol.2008.05.015

Vancouver

Page T , Whyatt JD, Metcalfe SE, Derwent RG, Curtis C. Assessment of uncertainties in a long range atmospheric transport model : methodology, application and implications in a UK context. Environmental Pollution. 2008 Dec;156(3):997-1006. doi: 10.1016/j.envpol.2008.05.015

Author

Page, T. ; Whyatt, J. Duncan ; Metcalfe, Sarah E. et al. / Assessment of uncertainties in a long range atmospheric transport model : methodology, application and implications in a UK context. In: Environmental Pollution. 2008 ; Vol. 156, No. 3. pp. 997-1006.

Bibtex

@article{9a1a8573c0c84faeb0c615622451297d,

title = "Assessment of uncertainties in a long range atmospheric transport model : methodology, application and implications in a UK context.",

abstract = "Acid deposition models are inherently simplified representations of real world behaviour and their performance is best evaluated by comparison with observations. National and international acid rain policy assessments handle observed and modelled deposition fields in different ways. Here, both the observed and modelled deposition fields are seen as uncertain and the Generalised Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation (GLUE) framework is used to choose acceptable sets of model input parameters that minimise the differences between them. These acceptable sets of model parameters are then used to estimate deposition budgets to the UK and to provide a probabilistic treatment of excess deposition over environmental quality standards (critical loads). Uncertainties in modelled depositions of S and N to the UK are quantified and their implications for planned emissions reductions considered.",

keywords = "HARM, GLUE, Uncertainty, Critical loads",

author = "T. Page and Whyatt, {J. Duncan} and Metcalfe, {Sarah E.} and Derwent, {R. G.} and C. Curtis",

year = "2008",

month = dec,

doi = "10.1016/j.envpol.2008.05.015",

language = "English",

volume = "156",

pages = "997--1006",

journal = "Environmental Pollution",

issn = "0269-7491",

publisher = "Elsevier Ltd",

number = "3",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Assessment of uncertainties in a long range atmospheric transport model : methodology, application and implications in a UK context.

AU - Page, T.

AU - Whyatt, J. Duncan

AU - Metcalfe, Sarah E.

AU - Derwent, R. G.

AU - Curtis, C.

PY - 2008/12

Y1 - 2008/12

N2 - Acid deposition models are inherently simplified representations of real world behaviour and their performance is best evaluated by comparison with observations. National and international acid rain policy assessments handle observed and modelled deposition fields in different ways. Here, both the observed and modelled deposition fields are seen as uncertain and the Generalised Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation (GLUE) framework is used to choose acceptable sets of model input parameters that minimise the differences between them. These acceptable sets of model parameters are then used to estimate deposition budgets to the UK and to provide a probabilistic treatment of excess deposition over environmental quality standards (critical loads). Uncertainties in modelled depositions of S and N to the UK are quantified and their implications for planned emissions reductions considered.

AB - Acid deposition models are inherently simplified representations of real world behaviour and their performance is best evaluated by comparison with observations. National and international acid rain policy assessments handle observed and modelled deposition fields in different ways. Here, both the observed and modelled deposition fields are seen as uncertain and the Generalised Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation (GLUE) framework is used to choose acceptable sets of model input parameters that minimise the differences between them. These acceptable sets of model parameters are then used to estimate deposition budgets to the UK and to provide a probabilistic treatment of excess deposition over environmental quality standards (critical loads). Uncertainties in modelled depositions of S and N to the UK are quantified and their implications for planned emissions reductions considered.

KW - HARM

KW - GLUE

KW - Uncertainty

KW - Critical loads

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=55649083735&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1016/j.envpol.2008.05.015

DO - 10.1016/j.envpol.2008.05.015

M3 - Journal article

VL - 156

SP - 997

EP - 1006

JO - Environmental Pollution

JF - Environmental Pollution

SN - 0269-7491

IS - 3

ER -

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