Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
}
TY - JOUR
T1 - Clinical versus actuarial geographic profiling approaches
T2 - a review of the research
AU - Bennell, Craig
AU - Taylor, Paul
AU - Snook, Brent
PY - 2007
Y1 - 2007
N2 - Geographic profiling predictions can be produced using a variety of strategies. Some predictions are made using an equation or mechanical aid (actuarial strategy) while others are made by human judges drawing on experience or heuristic principles (clinical strategy). We review research that bears directly on the issue of whether clinical strategies can produce geographic predictions that rival those produced by actuarial strategies. Although there are certain advantages associated with actuarial strategies, we argue that clinical predictions based on fast and frugal heuristics are useful. We support this argument with results from a meta‐analysis of existing geographic profiling research. We conclude by outlining our position on the relative merits of clinical and actuarial strategies, and by proposing an agenda for future research that involves examining the relative performance of profiling strategies in operational settings.
AB - Geographic profiling predictions can be produced using a variety of strategies. Some predictions are made using an equation or mechanical aid (actuarial strategy) while others are made by human judges drawing on experience or heuristic principles (clinical strategy). We review research that bears directly on the issue of whether clinical strategies can produce geographic predictions that rival those produced by actuarial strategies. Although there are certain advantages associated with actuarial strategies, we argue that clinical predictions based on fast and frugal heuristics are useful. We support this argument with results from a meta‐analysis of existing geographic profiling research. We conclude by outlining our position on the relative merits of clinical and actuarial strategies, and by proposing an agenda for future research that involves examining the relative performance of profiling strategies in operational settings.
KW - Actuarial
KW - Decision Aids
KW - Geographic Profiling
KW - Heuristics
KW - Meta‐analysis
KW - Serial Crime
U2 - 10.1080/15614260701615037
DO - 10.1080/15614260701615037
M3 - Journal article
VL - 8
SP - 335
EP - 345
JO - Police Practice and Research
JF - Police Practice and Research
SN - 1477-271X
IS - 4
ER -