Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Comments on generalised likelihood uncertainty estimation.
AU - Romanowicz, Renata
AU - Beven, Keith J.
PY - 2006
Y1 - 2006
N2 - The paper presents an application of the generalised likelihood uncertainty estimation methodology to the problem of estimating the uncertainty of predictions produced by environmental models. The methodology is placed in a wider context of different approaches to inverse modelling and, in particular, a comparison is made with Bayesian estimation techniques based on explicit structural assumptions about model error. Using a simple example of a rainfall-flow model, different evaluation measures and their influence on the prediction uncertainty and credibility intervals are demonstrated.
AB - The paper presents an application of the generalised likelihood uncertainty estimation methodology to the problem of estimating the uncertainty of predictions produced by environmental models. The methodology is placed in a wider context of different approaches to inverse modelling and, in particular, a comparison is made with Bayesian estimation techniques based on explicit structural assumptions about model error. Using a simple example of a rainfall-flow model, different evaluation measures and their influence on the prediction uncertainty and credibility intervals are demonstrated.
KW - Bayesian inference
KW - Deterministic environmental models
KW - Generalised likelihood uncertainty estimation (GLUE)
KW - Model determination
U2 - 10.1016/j.ress.2005.11.030
DO - 10.1016/j.ress.2005.11.030
M3 - Journal article
VL - 91
SP - 1315
EP - 1321
JO - Reliability Engineering and System Safety
JF - Reliability Engineering and System Safety
SN - 0951-8320
IS - 10-11
ER -