Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Discharge dependent pollutant dispersion in rivers : estimation of aggregated dead zone parameters with surrogate data.
AU - Smith, Paul
AU - Beven, Keith
AU - Tawn, Jon
AU - Blazkova, Sarka
AU - Merta, Ladislav
PY - 2006/4/20
Y1 - 2006/4/20
N2 - Much has been done to mitigate the effects of intermittent discharges of pollutants; however, pollution incidents still occur, and the downstream transport and dispersion of pollutants must be predicted. The application of transient storage models based on the advection dispersion equation is often limited by the strong dependence of the parameters on changes in discharge. In this paper a methodology is outlined for estimating the parameters of the simple aggregated dead zone model using surrogate data derived from continuous water quality measurements such as conductivity, including a full treatment of the errors and prediction uncertainties within a Bayesian framework. This methodology is demonstrated in the prediction of a tracer experiment on a reach of the river Elbe in the Czech Republic.
AB - Much has been done to mitigate the effects of intermittent discharges of pollutants; however, pollution incidents still occur, and the downstream transport and dispersion of pollutants must be predicted. The application of transient storage models based on the advection dispersion equation is often limited by the strong dependence of the parameters on changes in discharge. In this paper a methodology is outlined for estimating the parameters of the simple aggregated dead zone model using surrogate data derived from continuous water quality measurements such as conductivity, including a full treatment of the errors and prediction uncertainties within a Bayesian framework. This methodology is demonstrated in the prediction of a tracer experiment on a reach of the river Elbe in the Czech Republic.
KW - Keywords
KW - aggregated dead zone model
KW - pollution prediction
KW - river pollution.
U2 - 10.1029/2005WR004008
DO - 10.1029/2005WR004008
M3 - Journal article
VL - 42
JO - Water Resources Research
JF - Water Resources Research
SN - 1944-7973
IS - W04412
ER -