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Diverse policy implications for future ozone and surface UV in a changing climate

Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

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Diverse policy implications for future ozone and surface UV in a changing climate. / Butler, Amy; Daniel, John S.; Portmann, Robert W et al.
In: Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 11, No. 6, 64017, 20.06.2016.

Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

Harvard

Butler, A, Daniel, JS, Portmann, RW, Ravishankara, AR, Young, PJ, Fahey, DW & Rosenlof, KH 2016, 'Diverse policy implications for future ozone and surface UV in a changing climate', Environmental Research Letters, vol. 11, no. 6, 64017. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064017

APA

Butler, A., Daniel, J. S., Portmann, R. W., Ravishankara, A. R., Young, P. J., Fahey, D. W., & Rosenlof, K. H. (2016). Diverse policy implications for future ozone and surface UV in a changing climate. Environmental Research Letters, 11(6), Article 64017. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064017

Vancouver

Butler A, Daniel JS, Portmann RW, Ravishankara AR, Young PJ, Fahey DW et al. Diverse policy implications for future ozone and surface UV in a changing climate. Environmental Research Letters. 2016 Jun 20;11(6):64017. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064017

Author

Butler, Amy ; Daniel, John S. ; Portmann, Robert W et al. / Diverse policy implications for future ozone and surface UV in a changing climate. In: Environmental Research Letters. 2016 ; Vol. 11, No. 6.

Bibtex

@article{b3769eb02dd64ee18475a23332f760f9,
title = "Diverse policy implications for future ozone and surface UV in a changing climate",
abstract = "Due to the success of the Montreal Protocol in limiting emissions of ozone-depleting substances, concentrations of atmospheric carbon dioxide, nitrous oxide, and methane will control the evolution of total column and stratospheric ozone by the latter half of the 21st century. As the world proceeds down the path of reducing climate forcing set forth by the 2015 Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (COP 21), a broad range of ozone changes are possible depending on future policies enacted. While decreases in tropical stratospheric ozone will likely persist regardless of the future emissions scenario, extratropical ozone could either remain weakly depleted or even increase well above historical levels, with diverse implication for ultraviolet (UV) radiation. The ozone layer's dependence on future emissions of these gases creates a complex policy decision space for protecting humans and ecosystems, which includes unexpected options such as accepting nitrous oxide emissions in order to maintain historical column ozone and surface UV levels.",
author = "Amy Butler and Daniel, {John S.} and Portmann, {Robert W} and Ravishankara, {A. R.} and Young, {Paul John} and Fahey, {David W.} and Rosenlof, {Karen H.}",
year = "2016",
month = jun,
day = "20",
doi = "10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064017",
language = "English",
volume = "11",
journal = "Environmental Research Letters",
issn = "1748-9326",
publisher = "IOP Publishing Ltd",
number = "6",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Diverse policy implications for future ozone and surface UV in a changing climate

AU - Butler, Amy

AU - Daniel, John S.

AU - Portmann, Robert W

AU - Ravishankara, A. R.

AU - Young, Paul John

AU - Fahey, David W.

AU - Rosenlof, Karen H.

PY - 2016/6/20

Y1 - 2016/6/20

N2 - Due to the success of the Montreal Protocol in limiting emissions of ozone-depleting substances, concentrations of atmospheric carbon dioxide, nitrous oxide, and methane will control the evolution of total column and stratospheric ozone by the latter half of the 21st century. As the world proceeds down the path of reducing climate forcing set forth by the 2015 Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (COP 21), a broad range of ozone changes are possible depending on future policies enacted. While decreases in tropical stratospheric ozone will likely persist regardless of the future emissions scenario, extratropical ozone could either remain weakly depleted or even increase well above historical levels, with diverse implication for ultraviolet (UV) radiation. The ozone layer's dependence on future emissions of these gases creates a complex policy decision space for protecting humans and ecosystems, which includes unexpected options such as accepting nitrous oxide emissions in order to maintain historical column ozone and surface UV levels.

AB - Due to the success of the Montreal Protocol in limiting emissions of ozone-depleting substances, concentrations of atmospheric carbon dioxide, nitrous oxide, and methane will control the evolution of total column and stratospheric ozone by the latter half of the 21st century. As the world proceeds down the path of reducing climate forcing set forth by the 2015 Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (COP 21), a broad range of ozone changes are possible depending on future policies enacted. While decreases in tropical stratospheric ozone will likely persist regardless of the future emissions scenario, extratropical ozone could either remain weakly depleted or even increase well above historical levels, with diverse implication for ultraviolet (UV) radiation. The ozone layer's dependence on future emissions of these gases creates a complex policy decision space for protecting humans and ecosystems, which includes unexpected options such as accepting nitrous oxide emissions in order to maintain historical column ozone and surface UV levels.

U2 - 10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064017

DO - 10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064017

M3 - Journal article

VL - 11

JO - Environmental Research Letters

JF - Environmental Research Letters

SN - 1748-9326

IS - 6

M1 - 64017

ER -