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  • Staples et al., JGR, 2020

    Rights statement: Accepted for publication in Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics. Copyright 2020 American Geophysical Union. Further reproduction or electronic distribution is not permitted.

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Do statistical models capture the dynamics of the magnetopause during sudden magnetospheric compressions?

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Do statistical models capture the dynamics of the magnetopause during sudden magnetospheric compressions? / Staples, Frances; Rae, I.J.; Forsyth, Colin et al.
In: Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, Vol. 125, No. 4, e2019JA027289, 13.04.2020.

Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

Harvard

Staples, F, Rae, IJ, Forsyth, C, Smith, A, Murphy, KR, Raymer, K, Plaschke, F, Case, N, Roger, C, Wild, J, Milan, S & Imber, S 2020, 'Do statistical models capture the dynamics of the magnetopause during sudden magnetospheric compressions?', Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, vol. 125, no. 4, e2019JA027289. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JA027289

APA

Staples, F., Rae, I. J., Forsyth, C., Smith, A., Murphy, K. R., Raymer, K., Plaschke, F., Case, N., Roger, C., Wild, J., Milan, S., & Imber, S. (2020). Do statistical models capture the dynamics of the magnetopause during sudden magnetospheric compressions? Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 125(4), Article e2019JA027289. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JA027289

Vancouver

Staples F, Rae IJ, Forsyth C, Smith A, Murphy KR, Raymer K et al. Do statistical models capture the dynamics of the magnetopause during sudden magnetospheric compressions? Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics. 2020 Apr 13;125(4):e2019JA027289. doi: 10.1029/2019JA027289

Author

Staples, Frances ; Rae, I.J. ; Forsyth, Colin et al. / Do statistical models capture the dynamics of the magnetopause during sudden magnetospheric compressions?. In: Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics. 2020 ; Vol. 125, No. 4.

Bibtex

@article{4a40e67336114875a5e7261f3a2bc0ce,
title = "Do statistical models capture the dynamics of the magnetopause during sudden magnetospheric compressions?",
abstract = "Under periods of strong solar wind driving, the magnetopause can become compressed, playing a significant role in draining electrons from the outer radiation belt. Also termed “magnetopause shadowing,” this loss process has traditionally been attributed to a combination of magnetospheric compression and outward radial diffusion of electrons. However, the drift paths of relativistic electrons and the location of the magnetopause are usually calculated from statistical models and, as such, may not represent the time‐varying nature of this highly dynamic process. In this study, we construct a database ∼20,000 spacecraft crossings of the dayside magnetopause to quantify the accuracy of the commonly used Shue et al. (1998, https://doi.org/10.1029/98JA01103) model. We find that, for the majority of events (74%), the magnetopause model can be used to estimate magnetopause location to within ±1 RE. However, if the magnetopause is compressed below 8 RE, the observed magnetopause is greater than 1 RE inside of the model location on average. The observed magnetopause is also significantly displaced from the model location during storm sudden commencements, when measurements are on average 6% closer to the radiation belts, with a maximum of 42%. We find that the magnetopause is rarely close enough to the outer radiation belt to cause direct magnetopause shadowing, and hence rapid outward radial transport of electrons is also required. We conclude that statistical magnetopause parameterizations may not be appropriate during dynamic compressions. We suggest that statistical models should only be used during quiescent solar wind conditions and supplemented by magnetopause observations wherever possible.",
keywords = "magnetopause, radiation belts, THEMIS, magnetopause shadowing, statistical model, sudden storm commencement",
author = "Frances Staples and I.J. Rae and Colin Forsyth and Ashley Smith and Murphy, {Kyle R.} and Katie Raymer and Ferdinand Plaschke and Nathan Case and Craig Roger and Jim Wild and Steve Milan and Susie Imber",
note = "Accepted for publication in Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics. Copyright 2020 American Geophysical Union. Further reproduction or electronic distribution is not permitted.",
year = "2020",
month = apr,
day = "13",
doi = "10.1029/2019JA027289",
language = "English",
volume = "125",
journal = "Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics",
issn = "2169-9402",
publisher = "Blackwell Publishing Ltd",
number = "4",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Do statistical models capture the dynamics of the magnetopause during sudden magnetospheric compressions?

AU - Staples, Frances

AU - Rae, I.J.

AU - Forsyth, Colin

AU - Smith, Ashley

AU - Murphy, Kyle R.

AU - Raymer, Katie

AU - Plaschke, Ferdinand

AU - Case, Nathan

AU - Roger, Craig

AU - Wild, Jim

AU - Milan, Steve

AU - Imber, Susie

N1 - Accepted for publication in Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics. Copyright 2020 American Geophysical Union. Further reproduction or electronic distribution is not permitted.

PY - 2020/4/13

Y1 - 2020/4/13

N2 - Under periods of strong solar wind driving, the magnetopause can become compressed, playing a significant role in draining electrons from the outer radiation belt. Also termed “magnetopause shadowing,” this loss process has traditionally been attributed to a combination of magnetospheric compression and outward radial diffusion of electrons. However, the drift paths of relativistic electrons and the location of the magnetopause are usually calculated from statistical models and, as such, may not represent the time‐varying nature of this highly dynamic process. In this study, we construct a database ∼20,000 spacecraft crossings of the dayside magnetopause to quantify the accuracy of the commonly used Shue et al. (1998, https://doi.org/10.1029/98JA01103) model. We find that, for the majority of events (74%), the magnetopause model can be used to estimate magnetopause location to within ±1 RE. However, if the magnetopause is compressed below 8 RE, the observed magnetopause is greater than 1 RE inside of the model location on average. The observed magnetopause is also significantly displaced from the model location during storm sudden commencements, when measurements are on average 6% closer to the radiation belts, with a maximum of 42%. We find that the magnetopause is rarely close enough to the outer radiation belt to cause direct magnetopause shadowing, and hence rapid outward radial transport of electrons is also required. We conclude that statistical magnetopause parameterizations may not be appropriate during dynamic compressions. We suggest that statistical models should only be used during quiescent solar wind conditions and supplemented by magnetopause observations wherever possible.

AB - Under periods of strong solar wind driving, the magnetopause can become compressed, playing a significant role in draining electrons from the outer radiation belt. Also termed “magnetopause shadowing,” this loss process has traditionally been attributed to a combination of magnetospheric compression and outward radial diffusion of electrons. However, the drift paths of relativistic electrons and the location of the magnetopause are usually calculated from statistical models and, as such, may not represent the time‐varying nature of this highly dynamic process. In this study, we construct a database ∼20,000 spacecraft crossings of the dayside magnetopause to quantify the accuracy of the commonly used Shue et al. (1998, https://doi.org/10.1029/98JA01103) model. We find that, for the majority of events (74%), the magnetopause model can be used to estimate magnetopause location to within ±1 RE. However, if the magnetopause is compressed below 8 RE, the observed magnetopause is greater than 1 RE inside of the model location on average. The observed magnetopause is also significantly displaced from the model location during storm sudden commencements, when measurements are on average 6% closer to the radiation belts, with a maximum of 42%. We find that the magnetopause is rarely close enough to the outer radiation belt to cause direct magnetopause shadowing, and hence rapid outward radial transport of electrons is also required. We conclude that statistical magnetopause parameterizations may not be appropriate during dynamic compressions. We suggest that statistical models should only be used during quiescent solar wind conditions and supplemented by magnetopause observations wherever possible.

KW - magnetopause

KW - radiation belts

KW - THEMIS

KW - magnetopause shadowing

KW - statistical model

KW - sudden storm commencement

U2 - 10.1029/2019JA027289

DO - 10.1029/2019JA027289

M3 - Journal article

VL - 125

JO - Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics

JF - Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics

SN - 2169-9402

IS - 4

M1 - e2019JA027289

ER -