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Estimating changes in Scottish soil carbon stocks using ECOSSE. I. Model description and uncertainties

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Estimating changes in Scottish soil carbon stocks using ECOSSE. I. Model description and uncertainties. / Smith, Jo ; Gottschalk, Pia ; Bellarby, Jessica et al.
In: Climate Research, Vol. 45, 2010, p. 179-192.

Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

Harvard

Smith, J, Gottschalk, P, Bellarby, J, Chapman, S, Lilly, A, Towers, W, Bell, J, Coleman, K, Nayak, D, Richards, M, Hillier, J, Flynn, H, Wattenbach, M, Aitkenhead, M, Yeluripurti, J, Farmer, J, Milne, R, Thomson, A, Evans, C, Whitmore, A, Falloon, P & Smith, P 2010, 'Estimating changes in Scottish soil carbon stocks using ECOSSE. I. Model description and uncertainties', Climate Research, vol. 45, pp. 179-192. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr00899

APA

Smith, J., Gottschalk, P., Bellarby, J., Chapman, S., Lilly, A., Towers, W., Bell, J., Coleman, K., Nayak, D., Richards, M., Hillier, J., Flynn, H., Wattenbach, M., Aitkenhead, M., Yeluripurti, J., Farmer, J., Milne, R., Thomson, A., Evans, C., ... Smith, P. (2010). Estimating changes in Scottish soil carbon stocks using ECOSSE. I. Model description and uncertainties. Climate Research, 45, 179-192. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr00899

Vancouver

Smith J, Gottschalk P, Bellarby J, Chapman S, Lilly A, Towers W et al. Estimating changes in Scottish soil carbon stocks using ECOSSE. I. Model description and uncertainties. Climate Research. 2010;45:179-192. doi: 10.3354/cr00899

Author

Smith, Jo ; Gottschalk, Pia ; Bellarby, Jessica et al. / Estimating changes in Scottish soil carbon stocks using ECOSSE. I. Model description and uncertainties. In: Climate Research. 2010 ; Vol. 45. pp. 179-192.

Bibtex

@article{ee7c0c7fe9c747c4be7846ce43866683,
title = "Estimating changes in Scottish soil carbon stocks using ECOSSE. I. Model description and uncertainties",
abstract = "To predict the response of C-rich soils to external change, models are needed that accurately reflect the conditions of these soils. Estimation of Carbon in Organic Soils—Sequestration and Emissions (ECOSSE) is a model that allows simulations of soil C and N turnover in both mineral and organic soils using only the limited meteorological, land-use and soil data that is available at the national scale. Because it is able to function at field as well as national scales if appropriate input data are used, field-scale evaluations can be used to determine uncertainty in national simulations. Here we present an evaluation of the uncertainty expected in national-scale simulations of Scotland, using data from the National Soil Inventory of Scotland. This data set provides measurements of C change for the range of soils, climates and land-use types found across Scotland. The simulated values show a high degree of association with the measurements in both total C and change in C content of the soil. Over all sites where land-use change occurred, the average deviation between the simulated and measured values of percentage change in soil C was less than the experimental error (11% simulation error, 53% measurement error). This suggests that the uncertainty in the national-scale simulations will be ~11%. Only a small bias in the simulations was observed compared to the measured values, suggesting that a small underestimate of the change in soil C should be expected at the national scale (–4%). ",
author = "Jo Smith and Pia Gottschalk and Jessica Bellarby and Stephen Chapman and Allan Lilly and Willie Towers and John Bell and Kevin Coleman and Dali Nayak and Mark Richards and Jon Hillier and Helen Flynn and Martin Wattenbach and Matt Aitkenhead and Jagadeesh Yeluripurti and Jenny Farmer and Ronnie Milne and Amanda Thomson and Chris Evans and Andy Whitmore and Pete Falloon and Pete Smith",
year = "2010",
doi = "10.3354/cr00899",
language = "English",
volume = "45",
pages = "179--192",
journal = "Climate Research",
issn = "0936-577X",
publisher = "Inter-Research",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Estimating changes in Scottish soil carbon stocks using ECOSSE. I. Model description and uncertainties

AU - Smith, Jo

AU - Gottschalk, Pia

AU - Bellarby, Jessica

AU - Chapman, Stephen

AU - Lilly, Allan

AU - Towers, Willie

AU - Bell, John

AU - Coleman, Kevin

AU - Nayak, Dali

AU - Richards, Mark

AU - Hillier, Jon

AU - Flynn, Helen

AU - Wattenbach, Martin

AU - Aitkenhead, Matt

AU - Yeluripurti, Jagadeesh

AU - Farmer, Jenny

AU - Milne, Ronnie

AU - Thomson, Amanda

AU - Evans, Chris

AU - Whitmore, Andy

AU - Falloon, Pete

AU - Smith, Pete

PY - 2010

Y1 - 2010

N2 - To predict the response of C-rich soils to external change, models are needed that accurately reflect the conditions of these soils. Estimation of Carbon in Organic Soils—Sequestration and Emissions (ECOSSE) is a model that allows simulations of soil C and N turnover in both mineral and organic soils using only the limited meteorological, land-use and soil data that is available at the national scale. Because it is able to function at field as well as national scales if appropriate input data are used, field-scale evaluations can be used to determine uncertainty in national simulations. Here we present an evaluation of the uncertainty expected in national-scale simulations of Scotland, using data from the National Soil Inventory of Scotland. This data set provides measurements of C change for the range of soils, climates and land-use types found across Scotland. The simulated values show a high degree of association with the measurements in both total C and change in C content of the soil. Over all sites where land-use change occurred, the average deviation between the simulated and measured values of percentage change in soil C was less than the experimental error (11% simulation error, 53% measurement error). This suggests that the uncertainty in the national-scale simulations will be ~11%. Only a small bias in the simulations was observed compared to the measured values, suggesting that a small underestimate of the change in soil C should be expected at the national scale (–4%).

AB - To predict the response of C-rich soils to external change, models are needed that accurately reflect the conditions of these soils. Estimation of Carbon in Organic Soils—Sequestration and Emissions (ECOSSE) is a model that allows simulations of soil C and N turnover in both mineral and organic soils using only the limited meteorological, land-use and soil data that is available at the national scale. Because it is able to function at field as well as national scales if appropriate input data are used, field-scale evaluations can be used to determine uncertainty in national simulations. Here we present an evaluation of the uncertainty expected in national-scale simulations of Scotland, using data from the National Soil Inventory of Scotland. This data set provides measurements of C change for the range of soils, climates and land-use types found across Scotland. The simulated values show a high degree of association with the measurements in both total C and change in C content of the soil. Over all sites where land-use change occurred, the average deviation between the simulated and measured values of percentage change in soil C was less than the experimental error (11% simulation error, 53% measurement error). This suggests that the uncertainty in the national-scale simulations will be ~11%. Only a small bias in the simulations was observed compared to the measured values, suggesting that a small underestimate of the change in soil C should be expected at the national scale (–4%).

U2 - 10.3354/cr00899

DO - 10.3354/cr00899

M3 - Journal article

VL - 45

SP - 179

EP - 192

JO - Climate Research

JF - Climate Research

SN - 0936-577X

ER -