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Flood frequency estimation by continuous simulation for gauged upland catchment (with uncertainty).

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Flood frequency estimation by continuous simulation for gauged upland catchment (with uncertainty). / Cameron, D. S.; Beven, Keith J.; Tawn, Jonathan A. et al.
In: Journal of Hydrology, Vol. 219, No. 3-4, 08.07.1999, p. 169-187.

Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

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Cameron DS, Beven KJ, Tawn JA, Blazkova S, Nadan P. Flood frequency estimation by continuous simulation for gauged upland catchment (with uncertainty). Journal of Hydrology. 1999 Jul 8;219(3-4):169-187. doi: 10.1016/S0022-1694(99)00057-8

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Bibtex

@article{2aeaea57f3754fc6bd1babef8be75ab7,
title = "Flood frequency estimation by continuous simulation for gauged upland catchment (with uncertainty).",
abstract = "This paper explores the possibility of deriving frequency distributions of extreme discharges by continuous simulation. The rainfall-runoff model TOPMODEL is applied within the Generalised Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation (GLUE) framework to the River Wye catchment, Plynlimon, Wales, using a 21-year period of rainfall and discharge observations. Rejection of non-behavioural parameter sets is achieved through an evaluation of both annual maximum discharge and continuous hydrograph simulation. Annual maximum peak timings and rankings are also considered. It is demonstrated that, within the prescribed limits, TOPMODEL can adequately achieve both flood frequency and continuous simulation modelling goals. Extension of the flood frequency estimations beyond the upper limit of the observed series is attained through the coupling of behavioural TOPMODEL sets with those of a stochastic rainfall generator for 1000-year simulation periods using hourly time steps. The rainfall model is conditioned on the observed rainfall frequency statistics for different storm duration classes, also within the GLUE framework.",
keywords = "Floods, Frequency, TOPMODEL, Rainfall-runoff modelling",
author = "Cameron, {D. S.} and Beven, {Keith J.} and Tawn, {Jonathan A.} and S. Blazkova and P. Nadan",
year = "1999",
month = jul,
day = "8",
doi = "10.1016/S0022-1694(99)00057-8",
language = "English",
volume = "219",
pages = "169--187",
journal = "Journal of Hydrology",
publisher = "Elsevier Science B.V.",
number = "3-4",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Flood frequency estimation by continuous simulation for gauged upland catchment (with uncertainty).

AU - Cameron, D. S.

AU - Beven, Keith J.

AU - Tawn, Jonathan A.

AU - Blazkova, S.

AU - Nadan, P.

PY - 1999/7/8

Y1 - 1999/7/8

N2 - This paper explores the possibility of deriving frequency distributions of extreme discharges by continuous simulation. The rainfall-runoff model TOPMODEL is applied within the Generalised Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation (GLUE) framework to the River Wye catchment, Plynlimon, Wales, using a 21-year period of rainfall and discharge observations. Rejection of non-behavioural parameter sets is achieved through an evaluation of both annual maximum discharge and continuous hydrograph simulation. Annual maximum peak timings and rankings are also considered. It is demonstrated that, within the prescribed limits, TOPMODEL can adequately achieve both flood frequency and continuous simulation modelling goals. Extension of the flood frequency estimations beyond the upper limit of the observed series is attained through the coupling of behavioural TOPMODEL sets with those of a stochastic rainfall generator for 1000-year simulation periods using hourly time steps. The rainfall model is conditioned on the observed rainfall frequency statistics for different storm duration classes, also within the GLUE framework.

AB - This paper explores the possibility of deriving frequency distributions of extreme discharges by continuous simulation. The rainfall-runoff model TOPMODEL is applied within the Generalised Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation (GLUE) framework to the River Wye catchment, Plynlimon, Wales, using a 21-year period of rainfall and discharge observations. Rejection of non-behavioural parameter sets is achieved through an evaluation of both annual maximum discharge and continuous hydrograph simulation. Annual maximum peak timings and rankings are also considered. It is demonstrated that, within the prescribed limits, TOPMODEL can adequately achieve both flood frequency and continuous simulation modelling goals. Extension of the flood frequency estimations beyond the upper limit of the observed series is attained through the coupling of behavioural TOPMODEL sets with those of a stochastic rainfall generator for 1000-year simulation periods using hourly time steps. The rainfall model is conditioned on the observed rainfall frequency statistics for different storm duration classes, also within the GLUE framework.

KW - Floods

KW - Frequency

KW - TOPMODEL

KW - Rainfall-runoff modelling

U2 - 10.1016/S0022-1694(99)00057-8

DO - 10.1016/S0022-1694(99)00057-8

M3 - Journal article

VL - 219

SP - 169

EP - 187

JO - Journal of Hydrology

JF - Journal of Hydrology

IS - 3-4

ER -