Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Forecasting industrial production using non-linear methods
AU - Byers, D.
AU - Peel, David
PY - 1995/7
Y1 - 1995/7
N2 - Numerous theoretical models suggests that business cycles involve nonlinear processes. In this paper we examine whether two parametric, nonlinear time-series models—the bilinear and threshold models—can exploit apparent non-linearity in industrial production to provide forecasts superior to those derived from the standard autoregressive models.
AB - Numerous theoretical models suggests that business cycles involve nonlinear processes. In this paper we examine whether two parametric, nonlinear time-series models—the bilinear and threshold models—can exploit apparent non-linearity in industrial production to provide forecasts superior to those derived from the standard autoregressive models.
KW - non-linear modeling
KW - bilinear model
KW - threshold model
KW - industrial production
U2 - 10.1002/for.3980140402
DO - 10.1002/for.3980140402
M3 - Journal article
VL - 14
SP - 325
EP - 336
JO - Journal of Forecasting
JF - Journal of Forecasting
SN - 0277-6693
IS - 4
ER -