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Future scenarios as a research tool: investigating climate change impacts, adaptation options and outcomes for the Great Barrier Reef, Australia

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Future scenarios as a research tool : investigating climate change impacts, adaptation options and outcomes for the Great Barrier Reef, Australia. / Evans, Louisa S.; Hicks, Christina C.; Fidelman, Pedro; Tobin, Renae C.; Perry, Allison L.

In: Human Ecology, Vol. 41, No. 6, 12.2013, p. 841-857.

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Evans, Louisa S. ; Hicks, Christina C. ; Fidelman, Pedro ; Tobin, Renae C. ; Perry, Allison L. / Future scenarios as a research tool : investigating climate change impacts, adaptation options and outcomes for the Great Barrier Reef, Australia. In: Human Ecology. 2013 ; Vol. 41, No. 6. pp. 841-857.

Bibtex

@article{5c40ade9ce4b41efb4bfea46e1e731bf,
title = "Future scenarios as a research tool: investigating climate change impacts, adaptation options and outcomes for the Great Barrier Reef, Australia",
abstract = "Climate change is a significant future driver of change in coastal social-ecological systems. Our knowledge of impacts, adaptation options, and possible outcomes for marine environments and coastal industries is expanding, but remains limited and uncertain. Alternative scenarios are a way to explore potential futures under a range of conditions. We developed four alternative future scenarios for the Great Barrier Reef and its fishing and tourism industries positing moderate and more extreme (2-3 A degrees C above pre-industrial temperatures) warming for 2050 and contrasting 'limited' and 'ideal' ecological and social adaptation. We presented these scenarios to representatives of key stakeholder groups to assess the perceived viability of different social adaptation options to deliver desirable outcomes under varied contexts.",
keywords = "Adaptation, Futurescenarios, Coastal ecosystems, Governance, Fishing, Tourism, Great Barrier Reef, Australia, FRESH-WATER-FLOW, CORAL-REEFS, OCEAN ACIDIFICATION, COASTAL COMMUNITIES, CARBON-DIOXIDE, ECOSYSTEMS, FISHERIES, FISH, VULNERABILITY, CONSERVATION",
author = "Evans, {Louisa S.} and Hicks, {Christina C.} and Pedro Fidelman and Tobin, {Renae C.} and Perry, {Allison L.}",
year = "2013",
month = dec
doi = "10.1007/s10745-013-9601-0",
language = "English",
volume = "41",
pages = "841--857",
journal = "Human Ecology",
issn = "0300-7839",
publisher = "SPRINGER/PLENUM PUBLISHERS",
number = "6",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Future scenarios as a research tool

T2 - investigating climate change impacts, adaptation options and outcomes for the Great Barrier Reef, Australia

AU - Evans, Louisa S.

AU - Hicks, Christina C.

AU - Fidelman, Pedro

AU - Tobin, Renae C.

AU - Perry, Allison L.

PY - 2013/12

Y1 - 2013/12

N2 - Climate change is a significant future driver of change in coastal social-ecological systems. Our knowledge of impacts, adaptation options, and possible outcomes for marine environments and coastal industries is expanding, but remains limited and uncertain. Alternative scenarios are a way to explore potential futures under a range of conditions. We developed four alternative future scenarios for the Great Barrier Reef and its fishing and tourism industries positing moderate and more extreme (2-3 A degrees C above pre-industrial temperatures) warming for 2050 and contrasting 'limited' and 'ideal' ecological and social adaptation. We presented these scenarios to representatives of key stakeholder groups to assess the perceived viability of different social adaptation options to deliver desirable outcomes under varied contexts.

AB - Climate change is a significant future driver of change in coastal social-ecological systems. Our knowledge of impacts, adaptation options, and possible outcomes for marine environments and coastal industries is expanding, but remains limited and uncertain. Alternative scenarios are a way to explore potential futures under a range of conditions. We developed four alternative future scenarios for the Great Barrier Reef and its fishing and tourism industries positing moderate and more extreme (2-3 A degrees C above pre-industrial temperatures) warming for 2050 and contrasting 'limited' and 'ideal' ecological and social adaptation. We presented these scenarios to representatives of key stakeholder groups to assess the perceived viability of different social adaptation options to deliver desirable outcomes under varied contexts.

KW - Adaptation

KW - Futurescenarios

KW - Coastal ecosystems

KW - Governance

KW - Fishing

KW - Tourism

KW - Great Barrier Reef

KW - Australia

KW - FRESH-WATER-FLOW

KW - CORAL-REEFS

KW - OCEAN ACIDIFICATION

KW - COASTAL COMMUNITIES

KW - CARBON-DIOXIDE

KW - ECOSYSTEMS

KW - FISHERIES

KW - FISH

KW - VULNERABILITY

KW - CONSERVATION

U2 - 10.1007/s10745-013-9601-0

DO - 10.1007/s10745-013-9601-0

M3 - Journal article

VL - 41

SP - 841

EP - 857

JO - Human Ecology

JF - Human Ecology

SN - 0300-7839

IS - 6

ER -