Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Implications of model uncertainty for the mapping of hillslope-scale soil erosion predictions.
AU - Brazier, Richard E.
AU - Beven, Keith J.
AU - Anthony, Steven G.
AU - Rowan, John S.
PY - 2001/11
Y1 - 2001/11
N2 - An integrated modelling approach (MIRSED) which utilizes the process-based soil erosion model WEPP (Water Erosion Prediction Project) is presented for the assessment of hillslope-scale soil erosion at five sites throughout England and Wales. The methodology draws upon previous uncertainty analysis of the WEPP hillslope soil erosion model by the authors to qualify model results within an uncertainty framework. A method for incorporating model uncertainty from a range of sources is discussed as a first step towards using and learning from results produced through the GLUE (Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation) technique. Results are presented and compared to available observed data, which illustrate that levels of uncertainty are significant and must be taken into account if a meaningful understanding of output from models such as WEPP is to be achieved. Furthermore, the collection of quality, observed data is underlined for two reasons: as an essential tool in the development of soil erosion modelling and also to allow further constraint of model uncertainty.
AB - An integrated modelling approach (MIRSED) which utilizes the process-based soil erosion model WEPP (Water Erosion Prediction Project) is presented for the assessment of hillslope-scale soil erosion at five sites throughout England and Wales. The methodology draws upon previous uncertainty analysis of the WEPP hillslope soil erosion model by the authors to qualify model results within an uncertainty framework. A method for incorporating model uncertainty from a range of sources is discussed as a first step towards using and learning from results produced through the GLUE (Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation) technique. Results are presented and compared to available observed data, which illustrate that levels of uncertainty are significant and must be taken into account if a meaningful understanding of output from models such as WEPP is to be achieved. Furthermore, the collection of quality, observed data is underlined for two reasons: as an essential tool in the development of soil erosion modelling and also to allow further constraint of model uncertainty.
KW - soil erosion
KW - erosion modelling
KW - uncertainty estimation
KW - GLUE
KW - WEPP
U2 - 10.1002/esp.266
DO - 10.1002/esp.266
M3 - Journal article
VL - 26
SP - 1333
EP - 1352
JO - Earth Surface Processes and Landforms
JF - Earth Surface Processes and Landforms
SN - 0197-9337
IS - 12
ER -