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  • Bennell PCL

    Rights statement: The final, definitive version of this article has been published in the Journal, Psychology, Crime and Law, 16 (6), 2010, © Informa Plc

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Linkage analysis in cases of serial burglary: comparing the performance of university students, police professionals, and a logistic regression model

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Linkage analysis in cases of serial burglary: comparing the performance of university students, police professionals, and a logistic regression model. / Bennell, Craig; Bloomfield, Sarah; Snook, Brent et al.
In: Psychology, Crime and Law, Vol. 16, No. 6, 2010, p. 507-524.

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Bennell C, Bloomfield S, Snook B, Taylor P, Barnes C. Linkage analysis in cases of serial burglary: comparing the performance of university students, police professionals, and a logistic regression model. Psychology, Crime and Law. 2010;16(6):507-524. doi: 10.1080/10683160902971030

Author

Bennell, Craig ; Bloomfield, Sarah ; Snook, Brent et al. / Linkage analysis in cases of serial burglary : comparing the performance of university students, police professionals, and a logistic regression model. In: Psychology, Crime and Law. 2010 ; Vol. 16, No. 6. pp. 507-524.

Bibtex

@article{ddc2765379b04ee197a8f5c3726ee8c4,
title = "Linkage analysis in cases of serial burglary: comparing the performance of university students, police professionals, and a logistic regression model",
abstract = "University students, police professionals, and a logistic regression model were provided with information on 38 pairs of burglaries, 20% of which were committed by the same offender, in order to examine their ability to accurately identify linked serial burglaries. For each offense pair, the information included: (1) the offense locations as points on a map, (2) the distance (in km) between the two offenses, (3) entry methods, (4) target characteristics, and (5) property stolen. Half of the participants received training informing them that the likelihood of two offenses being committed by the same offender increases as the distance between the offenses decreases. Results showed that students outperformed police professionals, that training increased decision accuracy, and that the logistic regression model achieved the highest rate of success. Potential explanations for these results are presented, focusing primarily on the participants' use of offense information, and their implications are discussed.",
keywords = "linkage analysis, comparative case analysis, serial burglary, criminal behavior, decision making, COGNITIVE INTERVIEW, DECISION-MAKING, MODUS-OPERANDI, LIE DETECTION, ACCURACY, LINKING, CRIME, JUDGMENT, FRUGAL, INFORMATION",
author = "Craig Bennell and Sarah Bloomfield and Brent Snook and Paul Taylor and Carolyn Barnes",
note = "The final, definitive version of this article has been published in the Journal, Psychology, Crime and Law, 16 (6), 2010, {\textcopyright} Informa Plc",
year = "2010",
doi = "10.1080/10683160902971030",
language = "English",
volume = "16",
pages = "507--524",
journal = "Psychology, Crime and Law",
issn = "1477-2744",
publisher = "Routledge",
number = "6",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Linkage analysis in cases of serial burglary

T2 - comparing the performance of university students, police professionals, and a logistic regression model

AU - Bennell, Craig

AU - Bloomfield, Sarah

AU - Snook, Brent

AU - Taylor, Paul

AU - Barnes, Carolyn

N1 - The final, definitive version of this article has been published in the Journal, Psychology, Crime and Law, 16 (6), 2010, © Informa Plc

PY - 2010

Y1 - 2010

N2 - University students, police professionals, and a logistic regression model were provided with information on 38 pairs of burglaries, 20% of which were committed by the same offender, in order to examine their ability to accurately identify linked serial burglaries. For each offense pair, the information included: (1) the offense locations as points on a map, (2) the distance (in km) between the two offenses, (3) entry methods, (4) target characteristics, and (5) property stolen. Half of the participants received training informing them that the likelihood of two offenses being committed by the same offender increases as the distance between the offenses decreases. Results showed that students outperformed police professionals, that training increased decision accuracy, and that the logistic regression model achieved the highest rate of success. Potential explanations for these results are presented, focusing primarily on the participants' use of offense information, and their implications are discussed.

AB - University students, police professionals, and a logistic regression model were provided with information on 38 pairs of burglaries, 20% of which were committed by the same offender, in order to examine their ability to accurately identify linked serial burglaries. For each offense pair, the information included: (1) the offense locations as points on a map, (2) the distance (in km) between the two offenses, (3) entry methods, (4) target characteristics, and (5) property stolen. Half of the participants received training informing them that the likelihood of two offenses being committed by the same offender increases as the distance between the offenses decreases. Results showed that students outperformed police professionals, that training increased decision accuracy, and that the logistic regression model achieved the highest rate of success. Potential explanations for these results are presented, focusing primarily on the participants' use of offense information, and their implications are discussed.

KW - linkage analysis

KW - comparative case analysis

KW - serial burglary

KW - criminal behavior

KW - decision making

KW - COGNITIVE INTERVIEW

KW - DECISION-MAKING

KW - MODUS-OPERANDI

KW - LIE DETECTION

KW - ACCURACY

KW - LINKING

KW - CRIME

KW - JUDGMENT

KW - FRUGAL

KW - INFORMATION

U2 - 10.1080/10683160902971030

DO - 10.1080/10683160902971030

M3 - Journal article

VL - 16

SP - 507

EP - 524

JO - Psychology, Crime and Law

JF - Psychology, Crime and Law

SN - 1477-2744

IS - 6

ER -