Rights statement: The final, definitive version of this article has been published in the Journal, Psychology, Crime and Law, 16 (6), 2010, © Informa Plc
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Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Linkage analysis in cases of serial burglary
T2 - comparing the performance of university students, police professionals, and a logistic regression model
AU - Bennell, Craig
AU - Bloomfield, Sarah
AU - Snook, Brent
AU - Taylor, Paul
AU - Barnes, Carolyn
N1 - The final, definitive version of this article has been published in the Journal, Psychology, Crime and Law, 16 (6), 2010, © Informa Plc
PY - 2010
Y1 - 2010
N2 - University students, police professionals, and a logistic regression model were provided with information on 38 pairs of burglaries, 20% of which were committed by the same offender, in order to examine their ability to accurately identify linked serial burglaries. For each offense pair, the information included: (1) the offense locations as points on a map, (2) the distance (in km) between the two offenses, (3) entry methods, (4) target characteristics, and (5) property stolen. Half of the participants received training informing them that the likelihood of two offenses being committed by the same offender increases as the distance between the offenses decreases. Results showed that students outperformed police professionals, that training increased decision accuracy, and that the logistic regression model achieved the highest rate of success. Potential explanations for these results are presented, focusing primarily on the participants' use of offense information, and their implications are discussed.
AB - University students, police professionals, and a logistic regression model were provided with information on 38 pairs of burglaries, 20% of which were committed by the same offender, in order to examine their ability to accurately identify linked serial burglaries. For each offense pair, the information included: (1) the offense locations as points on a map, (2) the distance (in km) between the two offenses, (3) entry methods, (4) target characteristics, and (5) property stolen. Half of the participants received training informing them that the likelihood of two offenses being committed by the same offender increases as the distance between the offenses decreases. Results showed that students outperformed police professionals, that training increased decision accuracy, and that the logistic regression model achieved the highest rate of success. Potential explanations for these results are presented, focusing primarily on the participants' use of offense information, and their implications are discussed.
KW - linkage analysis
KW - comparative case analysis
KW - serial burglary
KW - criminal behavior
KW - decision making
KW - COGNITIVE INTERVIEW
KW - DECISION-MAKING
KW - MODUS-OPERANDI
KW - LIE DETECTION
KW - ACCURACY
KW - LINKING
KW - CRIME
KW - JUDGMENT
KW - FRUGAL
KW - INFORMATION
U2 - 10.1080/10683160902971030
DO - 10.1080/10683160902971030
M3 - Journal article
VL - 16
SP - 507
EP - 524
JO - Psychology, Crime and Law
JF - Psychology, Crime and Law
SN - 1477-2744
IS - 6
ER -