Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Mineral resources and conflicts in DRC
T2 - a case of ecological fallacy?
AU - Maystadt, Jean-Francois
AU - De Luca, Giacomo
AU - Sekeris, Petros
AU - Ulimwengu, John
PY - 2014
Y1 - 2014
N2 - We estimate the impact of geo-located mining concessions on the number of conflict events recorded in the Democratic Republic of the Congo between 1997 and 2007. Instrumenting the variable of interest with historical concessions interacted with changes in international prices of minerals, we unveil an ecological fallacy: Whereas concessions have no effect on the number of conflicts at the territory level (lowest administrative unit), they do foster violence at the district level (higher administrative unit). We develop and validate empirically a theoretical model where the incentives of armed groups to exploit and protect mineral resources explain our empirical findings.
AB - We estimate the impact of geo-located mining concessions on the number of conflict events recorded in the Democratic Republic of the Congo between 1997 and 2007. Instrumenting the variable of interest with historical concessions interacted with changes in international prices of minerals, we unveil an ecological fallacy: Whereas concessions have no effect on the number of conflicts at the territory level (lowest administrative unit), they do foster violence at the district level (higher administrative unit). We develop and validate empirically a theoretical model where the incentives of armed groups to exploit and protect mineral resources explain our empirical findings.
U2 - 10.1093/oep/gpt037
DO - 10.1093/oep/gpt037
M3 - Journal article
VL - 66
SP - 721
EP - 749
JO - Oxford Economic Papers
JF - Oxford Economic Papers
SN - 0030-7653
IS - 3
ER -