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Modeling co-occurrence between toxic prey and naïve predators in an incipient invasion

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Modeling co-occurrence between toxic prey and naïve predators in an incipient invasion. / Brown, Kerry; Farris, Zach J. ; Yesuf, Gabriel et al.
In: Biodiversity and Conservation, Vol. 25, No. 13, 01.12.2016, p. 2723–2741.

Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

Harvard

Brown, K, Farris, ZJ, Yesuf, G, Gerber, BD, Rasambainarivo, F, Karpanty, S, Kelly, MJ, Razafimahaimodison, JC, Larney, E, Wright, PC & Johnson, SE 2016, 'Modeling co-occurrence between toxic prey and naïve predators in an incipient invasion', Biodiversity and Conservation, vol. 25, no. 13, pp. 2723–2741. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10531-016-1198-3

APA

Brown, K., Farris, Z. J., Yesuf, G., Gerber, B. D., Rasambainarivo, F., Karpanty, S., Kelly, M. J., Razafimahaimodison, J. C., Larney, E., Wright, P. C., & Johnson, S. E. (2016). Modeling co-occurrence between toxic prey and naïve predators in an incipient invasion. Biodiversity and Conservation, 25(13), 2723–2741. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10531-016-1198-3

Vancouver

Brown K, Farris ZJ, Yesuf G, Gerber BD, Rasambainarivo F, Karpanty S et al. Modeling co-occurrence between toxic prey and naïve predators in an incipient invasion. Biodiversity and Conservation. 2016 Dec 1;25(13):2723–2741. Epub 2016 Aug 23. doi: 10.1007/s10531-016-1198-3

Author

Brown, Kerry ; Farris, Zach J. ; Yesuf, Gabriel et al. / Modeling co-occurrence between toxic prey and naïve predators in an incipient invasion. In: Biodiversity and Conservation. 2016 ; Vol. 25, No. 13. pp. 2723–2741.

Bibtex

@article{a9a66c85db0744739e36532b8be43fef,
title = "Modeling co-occurrence between toxic prey and na{\"i}ve predators in an incipient invasion",
abstract = "Biological invasions can represent important threats to endemic species, including those within the invaders{\textquoteright} food webs. The Asian common toad (Duttaphrynus melanostictus) was introduced to Madagascar in 2011. This introduction presents a potentially dangerous prey item to a relatively na{\"i}ve, highly diverse endemic carnivore fauna. Using a multivariate niche modeling approach (background test), we assessed the predicted niche overlap between D. melanostictus and six endemic carnivores in eastern Madagascar. The overlap between this potential prey and predators was assessed on four environmental niche axes: temperature, precipitation, vegetation cover and elevation. Our results showed a mixture of niche overlap and divergence between D. melanostictus and the six carnivores for environmental axes tested. There was significant overlap with five of the carnivores on temperature and NDVI axes. On the precipitation axis, there was significant overlap between D. melanostictus with two species. Our results suggested that wide-ranging, locally rare carnivores may overlap extensively with D. melanostictus. The six carnivores that inhabit the eastern rainforest of Madagascar will likely share multiple, niche axes with this novel potential prey item. Species that eat the non-native common toad and are susceptible to its toxins are at conservation risk because their populations may not be robust enough to adapt quickly to this threat. We advocate closely monitoring these emerging interactions and suggest a preemptive conservation strategy for carnivores potentially at risk.",
keywords = "Asian common toad, Background test, Carnivores, Ecological niche models, Invasive alien species, Madagascar",
author = "Kerry Brown and Farris, {Zach J.} and Gabriel Yesuf and Gerber, {Brian D.} and Fidisoa Rasambainarivo and Sarah Karpanty and Kelly, {Marcella J.} and Razafimahaimodison, {Jean Claude} and Eileen Larney and Wright, {Patricia C.} and Johnson, {Steig E.}",
year = "2016",
month = dec,
day = "1",
doi = "10.1007/s10531-016-1198-3",
language = "English",
volume = "25",
pages = "2723–2741",
journal = "Biodiversity and Conservation",
issn = "0960-3115",
publisher = "Springer Netherlands",
number = "13",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Modeling co-occurrence between toxic prey and naïve predators in an incipient invasion

AU - Brown, Kerry

AU - Farris, Zach J.

AU - Yesuf, Gabriel

AU - Gerber, Brian D.

AU - Rasambainarivo, Fidisoa

AU - Karpanty, Sarah

AU - Kelly, Marcella J.

AU - Razafimahaimodison, Jean Claude

AU - Larney, Eileen

AU - Wright, Patricia C.

AU - Johnson, Steig E.

PY - 2016/12/1

Y1 - 2016/12/1

N2 - Biological invasions can represent important threats to endemic species, including those within the invaders’ food webs. The Asian common toad (Duttaphrynus melanostictus) was introduced to Madagascar in 2011. This introduction presents a potentially dangerous prey item to a relatively naïve, highly diverse endemic carnivore fauna. Using a multivariate niche modeling approach (background test), we assessed the predicted niche overlap between D. melanostictus and six endemic carnivores in eastern Madagascar. The overlap between this potential prey and predators was assessed on four environmental niche axes: temperature, precipitation, vegetation cover and elevation. Our results showed a mixture of niche overlap and divergence between D. melanostictus and the six carnivores for environmental axes tested. There was significant overlap with five of the carnivores on temperature and NDVI axes. On the precipitation axis, there was significant overlap between D. melanostictus with two species. Our results suggested that wide-ranging, locally rare carnivores may overlap extensively with D. melanostictus. The six carnivores that inhabit the eastern rainforest of Madagascar will likely share multiple, niche axes with this novel potential prey item. Species that eat the non-native common toad and are susceptible to its toxins are at conservation risk because their populations may not be robust enough to adapt quickly to this threat. We advocate closely monitoring these emerging interactions and suggest a preemptive conservation strategy for carnivores potentially at risk.

AB - Biological invasions can represent important threats to endemic species, including those within the invaders’ food webs. The Asian common toad (Duttaphrynus melanostictus) was introduced to Madagascar in 2011. This introduction presents a potentially dangerous prey item to a relatively naïve, highly diverse endemic carnivore fauna. Using a multivariate niche modeling approach (background test), we assessed the predicted niche overlap between D. melanostictus and six endemic carnivores in eastern Madagascar. The overlap between this potential prey and predators was assessed on four environmental niche axes: temperature, precipitation, vegetation cover and elevation. Our results showed a mixture of niche overlap and divergence between D. melanostictus and the six carnivores for environmental axes tested. There was significant overlap with five of the carnivores on temperature and NDVI axes. On the precipitation axis, there was significant overlap between D. melanostictus with two species. Our results suggested that wide-ranging, locally rare carnivores may overlap extensively with D. melanostictus. The six carnivores that inhabit the eastern rainforest of Madagascar will likely share multiple, niche axes with this novel potential prey item. Species that eat the non-native common toad and are susceptible to its toxins are at conservation risk because their populations may not be robust enough to adapt quickly to this threat. We advocate closely monitoring these emerging interactions and suggest a preemptive conservation strategy for carnivores potentially at risk.

KW - Asian common toad

KW - Background test

KW - Carnivores

KW - Ecological niche models

KW - Invasive alien species

KW - Madagascar

U2 - 10.1007/s10531-016-1198-3

DO - 10.1007/s10531-016-1198-3

M3 - Journal article

VL - 25

SP - 2723

EP - 2741

JO - Biodiversity and Conservation

JF - Biodiversity and Conservation

SN - 0960-3115

IS - 13

ER -