Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Modelling everything everywhere
T2 - a new approach to decision-making for water management under uncertainty
AU - Beven, Keith J.
AU - Alcock, Ruth E.
PY - 2012
Y1 - 2012
N2 - 1. There are increasing demands to predict ecohydrological responses to future changes in catchments but such predictions will be inevitably uncertain because of natural variability and different sources of knowledge (epistemic) uncertainty. 2. Policy setting and decision-making should therefore reflect these inherent uncertainties in both model predictions and potential consequences. 3. This is the focus of a U.K. Natural Environment Research Council knowledge exchange project called the Catchment Change Network (CCN). The aim is to bring academics and practitioners together to define Guidelines for Good Practice in incorporating risk and uncertainty into assessments of the impacts of change. 4. Here, we assess the development of such Guidelines in the context of having catchment models of everywhere.
AB - 1. There are increasing demands to predict ecohydrological responses to future changes in catchments but such predictions will be inevitably uncertain because of natural variability and different sources of knowledge (epistemic) uncertainty. 2. Policy setting and decision-making should therefore reflect these inherent uncertainties in both model predictions and potential consequences. 3. This is the focus of a U.K. Natural Environment Research Council knowledge exchange project called the Catchment Change Network (CCN). The aim is to bring academics and practitioners together to define Guidelines for Good Practice in incorporating risk and uncertainty into assessments of the impacts of change. 4. Here, we assess the development of such Guidelines in the context of having catchment models of everywhere.
KW - models
KW - catchments
KW - Guidelines
KW - CLIMATE-CHANGE
KW - CALIBRATION
KW - COMMUNICATION TOOL
KW - ecohydrology
KW - uncertainty
U2 - 10.1111/j.1365-2427.2011.02592.x
DO - 10.1111/j.1365-2427.2011.02592.x
M3 - Journal article
VL - 57
SP - 124
EP - 132
JO - Freshwater Biology
JF - Freshwater Biology
SN - 0046-5070
IS - s1
ER -