TY - JOUR

T1 - Modelling trajectories through the educational system in North West England.

AU - Penn, Roger

AU - Berridge, Damon

PY - 2008/12

Y1 - 2008/12

N2 - The main aim of this paper is to identify those school-level and locality-level factors that significantly affect each of the three stages in a young adult's educational trajectory in North West England: GCSE results, track taken at age 16 and 'A'-level scores. By applying three-level models to data collected as part of the EFFNATIS project, we find no evidence of any locality-level effects. Overall, none of the explanatory variables conventionally considered to affect educational attainment had a consistent effect across all three stages. Rather, each explanatory variable had a contingent effect at specific points within the overall trajectory of educational outcomes.

AB - The main aim of this paper is to identify those school-level and locality-level factors that significantly affect each of the three stages in a young adult's educational trajectory in North West England: GCSE results, track taken at age 16 and 'A'-level scores. By applying three-level models to data collected as part of the EFFNATIS project, we find no evidence of any locality-level effects. Overall, none of the explanatory variables conventionally considered to affect educational attainment had a consistent effect across all three stages. Rather, each explanatory variable had a contingent effect at specific points within the overall trajectory of educational outcomes.

KW - GCSE scores

KW - track taken at age 16

KW - 'A'-level scores

KW - multi-level models

KW - linear regression

KW - multinomial logit

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=55949135248&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1080/09645290802024744

DO - 10.1080/09645290802024744

M3 - Journal article

VL - 16

SP - 411

EP - 431

JO - Education Economics

JF - Education Economics

SN - 0964-5292

IS - 4

ER -