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Modelling war.

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Modelling war. / Bellany, Ian.
In: Journal of Peace Research, Vol. 36, No. 6, 11.1999, p. 729-739.

Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

Harvard

Bellany, I 1999, 'Modelling war.', Journal of Peace Research, vol. 36, no. 6, pp. 729-739. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022343399036006008

APA

Bellany, I. (1999). Modelling war. Journal of Peace Research, 36(6), 729-739. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022343399036006008

Vancouver

Bellany I. Modelling war. Journal of Peace Research. 1999 Nov;36(6):729-739. doi: 10.1177/0022343399036006008

Author

Bellany, Ian. / Modelling war. In: Journal of Peace Research. 1999 ; Vol. 36, No. 6. pp. 729-739.

Bibtex

@article{0c342f32710c427bbc2f08984631adc2,
title = "Modelling war.",
abstract = "A simple, general mathematical model for modern war is presented. The form of the model is Lanchester but its derivation owes approximately equal amounts to classical operational research and to later ideas associated with theoretical ecology - especially the concept of `carrying capacity'. Solutions to the equations corresponding to stalemated, steady-state outcomes in theatre are concentrated on, with empirical justification derived from the unduly neglected databased work of Voevodsky. Prolongation and stalemate are seen as the default state of modern war. War termination is discussed as a consequence of `mutually (but not equally) hurting stalemate'. Examples are given of how, in certain circumstances, stalemate may be pre-empted in theatre by striking at non-battlefield targets and light is cast on the late 20th-century strategic trend towards conducting war preponderantly from the air.",
author = "Ian Bellany",
year = "1999",
month = nov,
doi = "10.1177/0022343399036006008",
language = "English",
volume = "36",
pages = "729--739",
journal = "Journal of Peace Research",
issn = "1460-3578",
publisher = "SAGE Publications Ltd",
number = "6",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Modelling war.

AU - Bellany, Ian

PY - 1999/11

Y1 - 1999/11

N2 - A simple, general mathematical model for modern war is presented. The form of the model is Lanchester but its derivation owes approximately equal amounts to classical operational research and to later ideas associated with theoretical ecology - especially the concept of `carrying capacity'. Solutions to the equations corresponding to stalemated, steady-state outcomes in theatre are concentrated on, with empirical justification derived from the unduly neglected databased work of Voevodsky. Prolongation and stalemate are seen as the default state of modern war. War termination is discussed as a consequence of `mutually (but not equally) hurting stalemate'. Examples are given of how, in certain circumstances, stalemate may be pre-empted in theatre by striking at non-battlefield targets and light is cast on the late 20th-century strategic trend towards conducting war preponderantly from the air.

AB - A simple, general mathematical model for modern war is presented. The form of the model is Lanchester but its derivation owes approximately equal amounts to classical operational research and to later ideas associated with theoretical ecology - especially the concept of `carrying capacity'. Solutions to the equations corresponding to stalemated, steady-state outcomes in theatre are concentrated on, with empirical justification derived from the unduly neglected databased work of Voevodsky. Prolongation and stalemate are seen as the default state of modern war. War termination is discussed as a consequence of `mutually (but not equally) hurting stalemate'. Examples are given of how, in certain circumstances, stalemate may be pre-empted in theatre by striking at non-battlefield targets and light is cast on the late 20th-century strategic trend towards conducting war preponderantly from the air.

U2 - 10.1177/0022343399036006008

DO - 10.1177/0022343399036006008

M3 - Journal article

VL - 36

SP - 729

EP - 739

JO - Journal of Peace Research

JF - Journal of Peace Research

SN - 1460-3578

IS - 6

ER -