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Option theory and modeling under uncertainty

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<mark>Journal publication date</mark>08/1998
<mark>Journal</mark>Annals of Operations Research
Issue number1
Volume82
Number of pages24
Pages (from-to)59-82
Publication StatusPublished
<mark>Original language</mark>English

Abstract

Within the framework of some simple models, we explain how option theory can enhancethe understanding and teaching of modeling under uncertainty. We discuss some commonpitfalls in modeling and argue that these result from a failure to come to grips with optionsand flexibility. We examine a dynamic programming approach to evaluating options and avaluation by arbitrage approach and end by comparing the two approaches with respect tohow they treat time and risk.