Rights statement: This is an Accepted Manuscript of an article published by Taylor & Francis in Hydrological Sciences Journal on 01/08/2017, available online: https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/02626667.2017.1356926
Accepted author manuscript, 505 KB, PDF document
Available under license: CC BY-NC: Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License
Final published version
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
| <mark>Journal publication date</mark> | 18/08/2017 |
|---|---|
| <mark>Journal</mark> | Hydrological Sciences Journal |
| Issue number | 11 |
| Volume | 62 |
| Number of pages | 9 |
| Pages (from-to) | 1705-1713 |
| Publication Status | Published |
| Early online date | 1/08/17 |
| <mark>Original language</mark> | English |
Characterizing, understanding and better estimating uncertainties are key concerns for drawing robust conclusions when analyzing changing socio-hydrological systems. Here we suggest developing a perceptual model of uncertainty that is complementary to the perceptual model of the socio-hydrological system and we provide an example application to flood risk change analysis. Such a perceptual model aims to make all relevant uncertainty sources–and different perceptions thereof–explicit in a structured way. It is a first step to assessing uncertainty in system outcomes that can help to prioritize research efforts and to structure dialogue and communication about uncertainty in interdisciplinary work.