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Predictions and observations of HF radio propagation in the northerly ionosphere: the effect of the solar flares and a weak CME in early January 2014

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Predictions and observations of HF radio propagation in the northerly ionosphere: the effect of the solar flares and a weak CME in early January 2014. / Hallam, Jonathan; Stocker, A. J.; Warrington, Michael et al.
Geophysical Research Abstracts. Vol. 16 Copernicus GmbH (Copernicus Publications) on behalf of the European Geosciences Union (EGU), 2014. p. EGU2014-15087.

Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

Harvard

Hallam, J, Stocker, AJ, Warrington, M, Siddle, D, Zaalov, N, Honary, F, Rogers, N, Boteler, D & Danskin, DW 2014, Predictions and observations of HF radio propagation in the northerly ionosphere: the effect of the solar flares and a weak CME in early January 2014. in Geophysical Research Abstracts. vol. 16, Copernicus GmbH (Copernicus Publications) on behalf of the European Geosciences Union (EGU), pp. EGU2014-15087, EGU General Assembly 2014, Vienna, Austria, 26/04/14. <http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2014/EGU2014-15087.pdf>

APA

Hallam, J., Stocker, A. J., Warrington, M., Siddle, D., Zaalov, N., Honary, F., Rogers, N., Boteler, D., & Danskin, D. W. (2014). Predictions and observations of HF radio propagation in the northerly ionosphere: the effect of the solar flares and a weak CME in early January 2014. In Geophysical Research Abstracts (Vol. 16, pp. EGU2014-15087). Copernicus GmbH (Copernicus Publications) on behalf of the European Geosciences Union (EGU). http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2014/EGU2014-15087.pdf

Vancouver

Hallam J, Stocker AJ, Warrington M, Siddle D, Zaalov N, Honary F et al. Predictions and observations of HF radio propagation in the northerly ionosphere: the effect of the solar flares and a weak CME in early January 2014. In Geophysical Research Abstracts. Vol. 16. Copernicus GmbH (Copernicus Publications) on behalf of the European Geosciences Union (EGU). 2014. p. EGU2014-15087

Author

Hallam, Jonathan ; Stocker, A. J. ; Warrington, Michael et al. / Predictions and observations of HF radio propagation in the northerly ionosphere : the effect of the solar flares and a weak CME in early January 2014. Geophysical Research Abstracts. Vol. 16 Copernicus GmbH (Copernicus Publications) on behalf of the European Geosciences Union (EGU), 2014. pp. EGU2014-15087

Bibtex

@inproceedings{b46ff6cb59774182b42242cbc3855184,
title = "Predictions and observations of HF radio propagation in the northerly ionosphere: the effect of the solar flares and a weak CME in early January 2014",
abstract = "We have previously reported on a significant new multi-national project to provide improved predictions and forecasts of HF radio propagation for commercial aircraft operating on trans-polar routes. In these regions, there are limited or no VHF air-traffic control facilities and geostationary satellites are below the horizon. Therefore HF radio remains important in maintaining communications with the aircraft at all times. Space weather disturbances can have a range of effects on the ionosphere and hence HF radio propagation - particularly in the polar cap. While severe space weather effects can lead to a total loss of communications (i.e. radio blackout), less intense events can still cause significant disruption. In this paper we will present the effect of a series of M and X class solar flares and a relatively weak CME on HF radio performance from 6 to 13 January 2014. This is an interesting interval from the point of view of HF radio propagation because while the solar effects on the ionosphere are significant, except for an interval of approximately 12 hours duration, they are not so intense as to produce a complete radio blackout on all paths. Observations of the signal-to-noise ratio, direction of arrival, and time of flight of HF radio signals on six paths (one entirely within the polar cap, three trans-auroral, and two sub-auroral) will be presented together with riometer measurements of the ionospheric absorption. Global maps of D-region absorption (D-region absorption prediction, DRAP) inferred from satellite measurements of the solar wind parameters will be compared with the HF and riometer observations. In addition, a ray-tracing model using a realistic background ionosphere and including localised features found in the ionospheric polar cap (e.g. polar patches and arcs) will be used to model the expected and observed HF radio propagation characteristics.",
author = "Jonathan Hallam and Stocker, {A. J.} and Michael Warrington and D. Siddle and Nikolay Zaalov and Farideh Honary and Neil Rogers and D. Boteler and D.W. Danskin",
note = "{\textcopyright} Author(s) 2014. CC Attribution 3.0 License.; EGU General Assembly 2014 ; Conference date: 26-04-2014 Through 02-05-2014",
year = "2014",
language = "English",
volume = "16",
pages = "EGU2014--15087",
booktitle = "Geophysical Research Abstracts",
publisher = "Copernicus GmbH (Copernicus Publications) on behalf of the European Geosciences Union (EGU)",

}

RIS

TY - GEN

T1 - Predictions and observations of HF radio propagation in the northerly ionosphere

T2 - EGU General Assembly 2014

AU - Hallam, Jonathan

AU - Stocker, A. J.

AU - Warrington, Michael

AU - Siddle, D.

AU - Zaalov, Nikolay

AU - Honary, Farideh

AU - Rogers, Neil

AU - Boteler, D.

AU - Danskin, D.W.

N1 - © Author(s) 2014. CC Attribution 3.0 License.

PY - 2014

Y1 - 2014

N2 - We have previously reported on a significant new multi-national project to provide improved predictions and forecasts of HF radio propagation for commercial aircraft operating on trans-polar routes. In these regions, there are limited or no VHF air-traffic control facilities and geostationary satellites are below the horizon. Therefore HF radio remains important in maintaining communications with the aircraft at all times. Space weather disturbances can have a range of effects on the ionosphere and hence HF radio propagation - particularly in the polar cap. While severe space weather effects can lead to a total loss of communications (i.e. radio blackout), less intense events can still cause significant disruption. In this paper we will present the effect of a series of M and X class solar flares and a relatively weak CME on HF radio performance from 6 to 13 January 2014. This is an interesting interval from the point of view of HF radio propagation because while the solar effects on the ionosphere are significant, except for an interval of approximately 12 hours duration, they are not so intense as to produce a complete radio blackout on all paths. Observations of the signal-to-noise ratio, direction of arrival, and time of flight of HF radio signals on six paths (one entirely within the polar cap, three trans-auroral, and two sub-auroral) will be presented together with riometer measurements of the ionospheric absorption. Global maps of D-region absorption (D-region absorption prediction, DRAP) inferred from satellite measurements of the solar wind parameters will be compared with the HF and riometer observations. In addition, a ray-tracing model using a realistic background ionosphere and including localised features found in the ionospheric polar cap (e.g. polar patches and arcs) will be used to model the expected and observed HF radio propagation characteristics.

AB - We have previously reported on a significant new multi-national project to provide improved predictions and forecasts of HF radio propagation for commercial aircraft operating on trans-polar routes. In these regions, there are limited or no VHF air-traffic control facilities and geostationary satellites are below the horizon. Therefore HF radio remains important in maintaining communications with the aircraft at all times. Space weather disturbances can have a range of effects on the ionosphere and hence HF radio propagation - particularly in the polar cap. While severe space weather effects can lead to a total loss of communications (i.e. radio blackout), less intense events can still cause significant disruption. In this paper we will present the effect of a series of M and X class solar flares and a relatively weak CME on HF radio performance from 6 to 13 January 2014. This is an interesting interval from the point of view of HF radio propagation because while the solar effects on the ionosphere are significant, except for an interval of approximately 12 hours duration, they are not so intense as to produce a complete radio blackout on all paths. Observations of the signal-to-noise ratio, direction of arrival, and time of flight of HF radio signals on six paths (one entirely within the polar cap, three trans-auroral, and two sub-auroral) will be presented together with riometer measurements of the ionospheric absorption. Global maps of D-region absorption (D-region absorption prediction, DRAP) inferred from satellite measurements of the solar wind parameters will be compared with the HF and riometer observations. In addition, a ray-tracing model using a realistic background ionosphere and including localised features found in the ionospheric polar cap (e.g. polar patches and arcs) will be used to model the expected and observed HF radio propagation characteristics.

M3 - Conference contribution/Paper

VL - 16

SP - EGU2014-15087

BT - Geophysical Research Abstracts

PB - Copernicus GmbH (Copernicus Publications) on behalf of the European Geosciences Union (EGU)

Y2 - 26 April 2014 through 2 May 2014

ER -