Final published version
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
}
TY - JOUR
T1 - Simulation-based key performance indicators for evaluating the quality of airline demand forecasting
AU - Cleophas, Catherine
AU - Frank, Michael
AU - Kliewer, Natalia
PY - 2009/8
Y1 - 2009/8
N2 - This article describes an approach to evaluating the quality of airline demand forecasting. It presents a a simulation framework that includes a detailed model for generating artificial demand. In this system forecasting methods can be compared in a stable, controllable environment. Their performance may be rated based on the overall system output in terms of revenue and bookings as well as through common error measurements. In addition, the use of a psychic forecast as a benchmark is proposed and illustrated by first results.
AB - This article describes an approach to evaluating the quality of airline demand forecasting. It presents a a simulation framework that includes a detailed model for generating artificial demand. In this system forecasting methods can be compared in a stable, controllable environment. Their performance may be rated based on the overall system output in terms of revenue and bookings as well as through common error measurements. In addition, the use of a psychic forecast as a benchmark is proposed and illustrated by first results.
KW - forecasting
KW - revenue management
KW - simulation
U2 - 10.1057/rpm.2009.17
DO - 10.1057/rpm.2009.17
M3 - Journal article
VL - 8
SP - 330
EP - 342
JO - Journal of Revenue and Pricing Management
JF - Journal of Revenue and Pricing Management
SN - 1476-6930
IS - 4
ER -