TY - JOUR

T1 - Spatial modelling of extreme sea-levels.

AU - Dixon, M. J.

AU - Tawn, J. A.

AU - Vassie, J. M.

PY - 1998

Y1 - 1998

N2 - The problem of estimating the probability of extreme sea-levels along a coastline has received little attention. Most of the existing analyses are univariate approaches that are applied independently to data from individual sites. We present a spatial extension of the methods that integrates information from the data sites and exploits knowledge of the spatial variation of the tidal and surge constituents of the sea-level along a coastline, to produce estimates at any coastal location. We illustrate the method by application to the UK east coast providing a set of design level estimates along the entire coastline.

AB - The problem of estimating the probability of extreme sea-levels along a coastline has received little attention. Most of the existing analyses are univariate approaches that are applied independently to data from individual sites. We present a spatial extension of the methods that integrates information from the data sites and exploits knowledge of the spatial variation of the tidal and surge constituents of the sea-level along a coastline, to produce estimates at any coastal location. We illustrate the method by application to the UK east coast providing a set of design level estimates along the entire coastline.

KW - coastal flooding • extreme sea-levels • extreme value theory • joint probabilities method • kernel regression smoothing • spatial estimation

U2 - 10.1002/(SICI)1099-095X(199805/06)9:3<283::AID-ENV304>3.0.CO;2-#

DO - 10.1002/(SICI)1099-095X(199805/06)9:3<283::AID-ENV304>3.0.CO;2-#

M3 - Journal article

VL - 9

SP - 283

EP - 301

JO - Environmetrics

JF - Environmetrics

SN - 1099-095X

IS - 3

ER -