Submitted manuscript, 714 KB, PDF document
Research output: Working paper
Research output: Working paper
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TY - UNPB
T1 - Target price accuracy
T2 - international evidence
AU - Bilinski, Pawel
AU - Lyssimachou, Danielle
AU - Walker, Martin
PY - 2012
Y1 - 2012
N2 - This paper shows that analysts exhibit differential and persistent ability to issue accurate target prices (TPs) and that institutional and regulatory differences across countries affect TP accuracy. Using a sample of 16 countries, we find that better past TP forecasters, analysts with higher forecasting experience, following more firms, country-specialized, and employed by a large broker issue more accurate TPs. With respect to the country’s institutional and regulatory setting, we find that factors such as the quality of financial reporting, the enforcement of accounting standards, and ownership concentration explain cross-country differences in TP forecast accuracy. Also, we show that the mandatory adoption of the International Financial Reporting Standards has improved TP accuracy.
AB - This paper shows that analysts exhibit differential and persistent ability to issue accurate target prices (TPs) and that institutional and regulatory differences across countries affect TP accuracy. Using a sample of 16 countries, we find that better past TP forecasters, analysts with higher forecasting experience, following more firms, country-specialized, and employed by a large broker issue more accurate TPs. With respect to the country’s institutional and regulatory setting, we find that factors such as the quality of financial reporting, the enforcement of accounting standards, and ownership concentration explain cross-country differences in TP forecast accuracy. Also, we show that the mandatory adoption of the International Financial Reporting Standards has improved TP accuracy.
KW - target prices
KW - forecast accuracy
KW - analyst characteristics
KW - institutional and regulatory differences across countries
M3 - Working paper
BT - Target price accuracy
PB - Lancaster University
CY - Lancaster
ER -