Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Unbiasedness, Efficiency and the Combination of Forecasts
AU - Holden, K.
AU - Peel, David
PY - 1989/7
Y1 - 1989/7
N2 - This paper considers the problem of determining whether forecasts are unbiased and examines the implications this has for combining different forecasts. The practical issues of how economic forecasts might be combined are discussed. There is an empirical illustration of the procedures in which the properties of UK forecasts from the London Business School, the National Institute, the Henley Centre for Forecasting, Phillips and Drew and the OECD are examined.
AB - This paper considers the problem of determining whether forecasts are unbiased and examines the implications this has for combining different forecasts. The practical issues of how economic forecasts might be combined are discussed. There is an empirical illustration of the procedures in which the properties of UK forecasts from the London Business School, the National Institute, the Henley Centre for Forecasting, Phillips and Drew and the OECD are examined.
KW - Combining forecasts
KW - Economic forecasting
KW - Unbiased forecasts
KW - Efficient forecasts
U2 - 10.1002/for.3980080304
DO - 10.1002/for.3980080304
M3 - Journal article
VL - 8
SP - 175
EP - 188
JO - Journal of Forecasting
JF - Journal of Forecasting
SN - 0277-6693
IS - 3
ER -