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Uncertainty analysis in environmental modeling made easy.

Research output: Contribution to journalJournal article

Published

Journal publication date16/01/2007
JournalEOS, Transactions of the American Geophysical Union
Journal number3
Volume88
Pages26
Original languageEnglish

Abstract

Uncertainty analysis assesses the uncertainty in numerical model outputs that arises from ambiguity in model structures, parameters, boundary conditions, and evaluation data. An analysis of the impact of uncertainties should be undertaken in every environmental modeling exercise. Many techniques exist, however, and each requires an investment of time and resources to learn. The potential analyst is faced with the difficult question of which technique is best to use and which may be put off.