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Use of spatially distributed water table observations to constrain uncertainty in a rainfall-runoff model.

Research output: Contribution to journalJournal article

Published

Journal publication date12/1998
JournalAdvances in Water Resources
Journal number4
Volume22
Number of pages13
Pages305-317
Original languageEnglish

Abstract

The Generalised Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation (GLUE) methodology is used to investigate how distributed water table observations modify simulation and parameter uncertainty for the hydrological model TOPMODEL, applied to the Sæternbekken Minifelt catchment in Norway. Errors in simulating observed flows, continuously-logged borehole water levels and more extensive, spatially distributed water table depths are combined using Bayes' equation within a ‘likelihood measure' L. It is shown how the distributions of L for the TOPMODEL parameters change as the different types of observed data are considered. These distributions are also used to construct corresponding simulation uncertainty bounds for flows, borehole water levels, and water table depths within the spatially-extensive piezometer network. Qualitatively wide uncertainty bounds for water table simulations are thought to be consistent with the simplified nature of the distributed model.