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Working towards integrated environmental models of everywhere : uncertainty, data, and modelling as a learning process.

Research output: Contribution to journalJournal article

Published

Journal publication date2007
JournalHydrology and Earth System Sciences and Discussions
Journal number1
Volume11
Number of pages8
Pages460-467
Original languageEnglish

Abstract

Developing integrated environmental models of everywhere such as are demanded by the requirements of, for example, implementing the Water Framework Directive in Europe, is constrained by the limitations of current understanding and data availability. The possibility of such models raises questions about system design requirements to allow modelling as a learning and data assimilation process in the representation of places, which might well be treated as active objects in such a system. Uncertainty in model predictions not only poses issues about the value of different types of data in characterising places and constraining predictive uncertainty but also about how best to present the pedigree of such uncertain predictions to users and decision-makers.