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Climate Risk and Uncertainty Collective Intelligence Aggregation Laboratory

Project: Research

Description

Expert Prediction Market

Layperson's description

CRUCIAL’s mission is to deliver calibrated, high-quality climate-risk forecasts.

We employ expert prediction markets – hosted on the AGORA prediction-market platform – to elicit, aggregate, and summarise knowledge on future climate risks, drawing on expertise from diverse areas of physical, social, and policy science.
AcronymCRUCIAL
StatusActive
Effective start/end date1/01/21 → …