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Bayesian and Computational Statistics

  1. 2024
  2. Published

    A state-space perspective on modelling and inference for online skill rating

    Duffield, S., Power, S. & Rimella, L., 30/11/2024, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics). 73, 5, p. 1262-1282 21 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  3. Forthcoming

    Scalable couplings for the random walk Metropolis algorithm

    Papp, T. & Sherlock, C., 6/11/2024, (Accepted/In press) In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology).

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  4. Forthcoming

    Markovian Flow Matching: Accelerating MCMC with Continuous Normalizing Flows

    Cabezas Gonzalez, A., Sharrock, L. & Nemeth, C., 25/09/2024, (Accepted/In press) In: Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineConference articlepeer-review

  5. Published

    Sequential Neural Score Estimation: Likelihood-Free Inference with Conditional Score Based Diffusion Models

    Sharrock, L., Simons, J., Liu, S. & Beaumont, M., 29/07/2024, In: Proceedings of Machine Learning Research. 235, p. 44565-44602 38 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineConference articlepeer-review

  6. Published

    Tuning-Free Maximum Likelihood Training of Latent Variable Models via Coin Betting

    Sharrock, L., Dodd, D. & Nemeth, C., 19/07/2024, In: Proceedings of Machine Learning Research. 238, p. 1810-1818 9 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineConference articlepeer-review

  7. Published

    Robust Bayesian nonparametric variable selection for linear regression

    Cabezas, A., Battiston, M. & Nemeth, C., 27/05/2024, In: Stat. 13, 2, e696.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  8. Forthcoming

    Learning-Rate-Free Stochastic Optimization over Riemannian Manifolds

    Dodd, D., Sharrock, L. & Nemeth, C., 1/05/2024, (Accepted/In press) In: Proceedings of Machine Learning Research.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineConference articlepeer-review

  9. Published

    Big Data Epidemics

    Simon, B., 2024, Lancaster University. 309 p.

    Research output: ThesisDoctoral Thesis

  10. 2023
  11. Published

    SwISS: A Scalable Markov chain Monte Carlo Divide-and-Conquer Strategy

    Vyner, C., Nemeth, C. & Sherlock, C., 31/12/2023, In: Stat. 12, 1, 11 p., e523.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  12. Published

    Statistical Methods for Samples of Interaction Networks

    Bolt, G., 12/2023, Lancaster University. 255 p.

    Research output: ThesisDoctoral Thesis

  13. Published

    Inference on extended-spectrum beta-lactamase Escherichia coli and Klebsiella pneumoniae data through SMC2

    Rimella, L., Alderton, S., Sammarro, M., Rowlingson, B., Cocker, D., Feasey, N., Fearnhead, P. & Jewell, C., 30/11/2023, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics). 72, 5, p. 1435–1451

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  14. E-pub ahead of print

    Latent Space Modelling of Hypergraph Data

    Turnbull, K., Lunagomez, S., Nemeth, C. & Airoldi, E., 23/10/2023, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Journal of the American Statistical Association.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  15. Published

    Concave-Convex PDMP-based sampling

    Sutton, M. & Fearnhead, P., 2/10/2023, In: Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics. 32, 4, 22 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  16. Forthcoming

    Learning Rate Free Bayesian Inference in Constrained Domains

    Sharrock, L., Mackey, L. & Nemeth, C., 21/09/2023, (Accepted/In press) In: Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems. 37

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  17. Published

    Bayesian additive regression trees for genotype by environment interaction models

    Sarti, D., Batista Do Prado, E., Inglis, A., Lemos dos Santos, A., Hurley, C., de Andrade Moral, R. & Parnell, A. C., 1/09/2023, In: Annals of Applied Statistics. 17, 3, p. 1936-1957 22 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  18. Published

    Modelling the age-prevalence relationship in schistosomiasis: A secondary data analysis of school-aged-children in Mangochi District, Lake Malawi.

    Reed, A., O'Ferrall, A., Kayuni, S., Baxter, H., Stanton, M., Stothard, J. R. & Jewell, C., 31/08/2023, In: Parasite epidemiology and control. 22, e00303.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  19. Published

    Online parameter estimation for the McKean–Vlasov stochastic differential equation

    Sharrock, L., Kantas, N., Parpas, P. & Pavliotis, G. A., 31/08/2023, In: Stochastic Processes and their Applications. 162, p. 481-546 66 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  20. Published

    Investigating One Health risks for human colonisation with extended spectrum β-lactamase-producing Escherichia coli and Klebsiella pneumoniae in Malawian households: a longitudinal cohort study

    Cocker, D., Chidziwisano, K., Mphasa, M., Mwapasa, T., Lewis, J. M., Rowlingson, B., Sammarro, M., Bakali, W., Salifu, C., Zuza, A., Charles, M., Mandula, T., Maiden, V., Amos, S., Jacob, S. T., Kajumbula, H., Mugisha, L., Musoke, D., Byrne, R. & Edwards, T. & 7 others, Lester, R., Elviss, N., Roberts, A. P., Singer, A. C., Jewell, C., Morse, T. & Feasey, N. A., 31/07/2023, In: The Lancet. Microbe. 4, 7, p. e534-e543 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  21. Published

    Reversible Jump PDMP Samplers for Variable Selection

    Chevallier, A., Fearnhead, P. & Sutton, M., 31/07/2023, In: Journal of the American Statistical Association. 118, 544, p. 2915-2927

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  22. Published

    Coin Sampling: Gradient-Based Bayesian Inference without Learning Rates

    Sharrock, L. & Nemeth, C., 23/07/2023, In: Proceedings of Machine Learning Research. 202, p. 30850-30882 33 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  23. Published

    Risk Factors, Temporal Dependence, and Seasonality of Human extended-spectrum β-lactamases-producing<i>Escherichia coli</i>and<i>Klebsiella pneumoniae</i>Colonization in Malawi: A Longitudinal Model-based Approach

    Sammarro, M., Rowlingson, B., Cocker, D., Chidziwisano, K., Jacob, S. T., Kajumbula, H., Mugisha, L., Musoke, D., Lester, R., Morse, T., Feasey, N. & Jewell, C., 5/07/2023, In: Clinical Infectious Diseases. 77, 1, p. 1-8 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  24. Published

    Contact patterns of UK home delivery drivers and their use of protective measures during the COVID-19 pandemic: a cross-sectional study

    Bridgen, J. R. E., Wei, H., Whitfield, C., Han, Y., Hall, I., Jewell, C. P., van Tongeren, M. J. A. & Read, J. M., 30/06/2023, In: Occupational and Environmental Medicine. 80, 6, p. 333-338 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  25. Published

    Hug and Hop: a discrete-time, nonreversible Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm

    Ludkin, M. & Sherlock, C., 30/06/2023, In: Biometrika. 110, 2, p. 301-318 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  26. Published

    Individual and population level costs and health-related quality of life outcomes of third-generation cephalosporin resistant bloodstream infection in Blantyre, Malawi

    Lester, R., Mango, J., Mallewa, J., Jewell, C. P., Lalloo, D. A., Feasey, N. A., Maheswaran, H. & Muniyandi, M. (Editor), 22/06/2023, In: PLOS Global Public Health. 3, 6, e0001589.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  27. Forthcoming

    Stochastic Gradient MCMC for Nonlinear State Space Models

    Aicher, C., Putcha, S., Nemeth, C., Fearnhead, P. & Fox, E. B., 8/06/2023, (Accepted/In press) In: Bayesian Analysis.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  28. Published
  29. Published

    Learning Rate Free Bayesian Inference in Constrained Domains

    Sharrock, L., Mackey, L. & Nemeth, C., 24/05/2023.

    Research output: Working paperPreprint

  30. Published

    Air Pollution Exposure Among Adult Chronic Airway Disease Patients in the Gambia: A Pilot Case-control Study

    Awokola, B. I., Mohammed, N., Okello, G., Johnson, O., Jatta, M. L., Susso, M., Gibba, A., Ndow, P., Awokola, E., Amusa, G. A., Jewell, C. P., Devereux, G., Mortimer, K. J. & Erhart, A., 1/05/2023, In: American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine. 207, 1 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineMeeting abstractpeer-review

  31. Published

    Sequential Estimation of Temporally Evolving Latent Space Network Models

    Turnbull, K., Nemeth, C., Nunes, M. & McCormick, T., 31/03/2023, In: Computational Statistics and Data Analysis. 179, 107627.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  32. Published

    Exact Bayesian inference for discretely observed Markov Jump Processes using finite rate matrices

    Sherlock, C. & Golightly, A., 31/01/2023, In: Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics. 32, 1, p. 36-48 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  33. Published

    Contributions to Divide-and-Conquer MCMC

    Vyner, C., 2023, Lancaster University. 147 p.

    Research output: ThesisDoctoral Thesis

  34. Published

    Developments in Gaussian processes with applications to climate science and network problems.

    Pinder, T., 2023, Lancaster University. 224 p.

    Research output: ThesisDoctoral Thesis

  35. 2022
  36. Published

    Bayesian multi-species N-mixture models for unmarked animal communities

    Mimnagh, N., Parnell, A. C., Batista Do Prado, E. & de Andrade Moral, R., 31/12/2022, In: Environmental and Ecological Statistics. 29, p. 755-778 24 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  37. Published

    Effect of resistance to third-generation cephalosporins on morbidity and mortality from bloodstream infections in Blantyre, Malawi: a prospective cohort study

    Lester, R., Musicha, P., Kawaza, K., Langton, J., Mango, J., Mangochi, H., Bakali, W., Pearse, O., Mallewa, J., Denis, B., Bilima, S., Gordon, S. B., Lalloo, D. G., Jewell, C. P. & Feasey, N. A., 31/12/2022, In: The Lancet. Microbe. 3, 12, p. e922-e930 9 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  38. Published

    Social mixing patterns in the UK following the relaxation of COVID-19 pandemic restrictions, July to August 2020: a cross-sectional online survey

    Bridgen, J., Jewell, C. & Read, J., 13/12/2022, In: BMJ Open. 12, 12, 8 p., e059231.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  39. Published

    Colonization dynamics of extended-spectrum beta-lactamase-producing Enterobacterales in the gut of Malawian adults

    Lewis, J. M., Mphasa, M., Banda, R., Beale, M. A., Heinz, E., Mallewa, J., Jewell, C., Faragher, B., Thomson, N. R. & Feasey, N. A., 31/10/2022, In: Nature Microbiology. 7, 10, p. 1593-1604 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  40. Published

    Hospitalisation and mortality risk of SARS-COV-2 variant omicron sub-lineage BA.2 compared to BA.1 in England

    Webster, H. H., Nyberg, T., Sinnathamby, M. A., Aziz, N. A., Ferguson, N., Seghezzo, G., Blomquist, P. B., Bridgen, J., Chand, M., Groves, N., Myers, R., Hope, R., Ashano, E., Lopez-Bernal, J., De Angelis, D., Dabrera, G., Presanis, A. M. & Thelwall, S., 13/10/2022, In: Nature Communications. 13, 1, 6 p., 6053.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  41. Published

    Variance bounding of delayed-acceptance kernels

    Sherlock, C. & Lee, A., 30/09/2022, In: Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability. 24, 3, p. 2237-2260 24 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  42. E-pub ahead of print

    Longitudinal Ambient PM 2.5 Measurement at Fifteen Locations in Eight Sub-Saharan African Countries Using Low-Cost Sensors

    Awokola, B., Okello, G., Johnson, O., Dobson, R., Ouédraogo, A. R., Dibba, B., Ngahane, M., Ndukwu, C., Agunwa, C., Marangu, D., Lawin, H., Ogugua, I., Eze, J., Nwosu, N., Ofiaeli, O., Ubuane, P., Osman, R., Awokola, E., Erhart, A. & Mortimer, K. & 3 others, Jewell, C., Semple, S. & Suriano, D. (Editor), 29/09/2022, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Atmosphere. 13, 10, 16 p., 1593.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  43. Forthcoming

    Continuously-Tempered PDMP samplers

    Sutton, M., Salomone, R., Chevallier, A. & Fearnhead, P., 14/09/2022, (Accepted/In press) In: Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems. 35, 28293--28304

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  44. Published

    EpiBeds: Data informed modelling of the COVID-19 hospital burden in England

    Overton, C. E., Pellis, L., Stage, H. B., Scarabel, F., Burton, J., Fraser, C., Hall, I., House, T. A., Jewell, C., Nurtay, A., Pagani, F., Lythgoe, K. A. & Struchiner, C. J. (Editor), 6/09/2022, In: PLoS Computational Biology. 18, 9, 20 p., e1010406.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  45. Published

    Estimating quality-adjusted life-years: Assessing the bias induced for a terminal decline quality of life model

    Welsh, A., Costain, D. & Titman, A., 18/07/2022, Proceedings of the 36th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling: July 18-22, 2022 - Trieste, Italy. Torelli, N., Bellio, R. & Muggeo, V. (eds.). EUT Edizioni Università di Trieste, Trieste 2022, p. 354-359 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paper

  46. Published

    Impact of intensified control on visceral leishmaniasis in a highly-endemic district of Bihar, India: an interrupted time series analysis

    Kumar, V., Siddiqui, N. A., Pollington, T. M., Mandal, R., Das, S., Kesari, S., Das, V. R., Pandey, K., Hollingsworth, T. D., Chapman, L. A. C. & Das, P., 30/06/2022, In: Epidemics. 39, 8 p., 100562.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  47. Published

    Semi-Exact Control Functionals From Sard's Method

    South, L., Karvonen, T., Nemeth, C., Girolami, M. & Oates, C. J., 30/06/2022, In: Biometrika. 109, 2, p. 351-367 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  48. Published

    A discrete bouncy particle sampler

    Sherlock, C. & Thiery, A., 1/06/2022, In: Biometrika. 109, 2, p. 335-349 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  49. Published

    Measuring Air Quality for Advocacy in Africa (MA3): Ambient PM<sub>2.5</sub> Concentrations Over One-Year in 15 Locations in Eight Sub-Saharan African Countries Using Low-Cost Sensors

    Awokola, B. I., Okello, G., Dobson, R., Amusa, G. A., Johnson, O., Erhart, A., Mortimer, K., Jewell, C., Semple, S. & MA3 Study Group, 2/05/2022, In: American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine. 205, 2 p., A5170.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineConference articlepeer-review

  50. Published

    GaussianProcesses.jl: A Nonparametric Bayes package for the Julia Language

    Fairbrother, J., Nemeth, C., Pinder, T., Rischard, M. & Brea, J., 30/04/2022, In: Journal of Statistical Software. 102, 1, p. 1-36 36 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  51. Published

    Interim recruitment prediction for multi-centre clinical trials

    Urbas, S. & Sherlock, C., 30/04/2022, In: Biostatistics. 23, 2, p. 485-506 22 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  52. Published

    SGMCMCJax: a lightweight JAX library for stochastic gradient Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms

    Coullon, J. & Nemeth, C., 18/04/2022, In: Journal of Open Source Software. 7, 72, 2 p., 4113.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  53. Published

    Influence of sex, season and environmental air quality on experimental human pneumococcal carriage acquisition: a retrospective cohort analysis

    Cheliotis, K. S., Jewell, C. P., Solórzano, C., Urban, B., Collins, A. M., Mitsi, E., Pojar, S., Nikolaou, E., German, E. L., Reiné, J., Gordon, S. B., Jochems, S. P., Rylance, J. & Ferreira, D. M., 11/04/2022, In: ERJ open research. 8, 2, 10 p., 00586-2021.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  54. Published

    Understanding the effects of weighting on parameter estimation for multilevel models

    Ismail, O. A., 30/03/2022, Lancaster University. 206 p.

    Research output: ThesisDoctoral Thesis

  55. Published

    Efficient computation of the volume of a polytope in high-dimensions using Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes

    Chevallier, A., Cazals, F. & Fearnhead, P., 28/03/2022, In: Proceedings of Machine Learning Research. 151, p. 10146-10160 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineConference articlepeer-review

  56. Published

    Enhancing epidemiological surveillance of the emergence of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant using spike gene target failure data, England, 15 November to 31 December 2021

    Blomquist, P. B., Bridgen, J., Bray, N., O’Connell, A. M., West, D., Groves, N., Gallagher, E., Utsi, L., Jarvis, C. I., Hardstaff, J. L., Byers, C., Metelmann, S., Simons, D., Zaidi, A., Twohig, K. A., Savagar, B., Løchen, A., Wrenn, K., Saavedra-Campos, M. & Abedin, Z. & 5 others, Florence, I., Cleary, P., Elson, R., Vivancos, R. & Lake, I. R., 17/03/2022, In: Eurosurveillance. 27, 11, 5 p., 2200143.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  57. Published

    Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in sub-Saharan Africa

    Awokola, B. I., Amusa, G. A., Jewell, C. P., Okello, G., Stobrink, M., Finney, L. J., Mohammed, N., Erhart, A. & Mortimer, K. J., 1/03/2022, In: International Journal of Tuberculosis and Lung Disease. 26, 3, p. 232-242 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  58. Published

    Risk factor targeting for vaccine prioritization during the COVID-19 pandemic

    Chapman, L. A. C., Shukla, P., Rodríguez-Barraquer, I., Shete, P. B., León, T. M., Bibbins-Domingo, K., Rutherford, G. W., Schechter, R. & Lo, N. C., 23/02/2022, In: Scientific Reports. 12, 12 p., 3055.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  59. Published

    Augmented pseudo-marginal Metropolis-Hastings for partially observed diffusion processes

    Golightly, A. & Sherlock, C., 15/02/2022, In: Statistics and Computing. 32, 18 p., 21.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  60. E-pub ahead of print

    Drivers of Resistance in Uganda and Malawi (DRUM): a protocol for the evaluation of One-Health drivers of Extended Spectrum Beta Lactamase (ESBL) resistance in Low-Middle Income Countries (LMICs)

    Cocker, D., Sammarro, M., Chidziwisano, K., Elviss, N., Jacob, S. T., Kajumbula, H., Mugisha, L., Musoke, D., Musicha, P., Roberts, A. P., Rowlingson, B., Singer, A. C., Byrne, R. L., Edwards, T., Lester, R., Wilson, C., Hollihead, B., Thomson, N., Jewell, C. P. & Morse, T. & 1 others, Feasey, N., 15/02/2022, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Wellcome Open Research. 7, 13 p., 55.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  61. Published

    Innovative and Additive Outlier Robust Kalman Filtering with a Robust Particle Filter

    Fisch, A., Eckley, I. & Fearnhead, P., 31/01/2022, In: IEEE Transactions on Signal Processing. 70, p. 47-56 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  62. Published

    Unexposed populations and potential COVID-19 hospitalisations and deaths in European countries as per data up to 21 November 2021

    Chapman, L. A. C., Barnard, R. C., Russell, T. W., Abbott, S., Zandvoort, K. V., Davies, N. G. & Kucharski, A. J., 6/01/2022, In: Eurosurveillance. 27, 1, 8 p., 2101038.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  63. Published

    Bayesian Modelling and Inference for Multiple Network Data

    Mantziou, A., 2022, Lancaster University. 253 p.

    Research output: ThesisDoctoral Thesis

  64. 2021
  65. Published

    Direct statistical inference for finite Markov jump processes via the matrix exponential

    Sherlock, C., 31/12/2021, In: Computational Statistics. 36, 4, p. 2863-2887 25 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  66. Published

    Trends, relationships and case attribution of antibiotic resistance between children and environmental sources in rural India

    Mitchell, J., Purohit, M., Jewell, C. P., Read, J. M., Marrone, G., Diwan, V. & Stålsby Lundborg, C., 19/11/2021, In: Scientific Reports. 11, 1, 11 p., 22599.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  67. Published

    Frequency of Routine Testing for Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in High-risk Healthcare Environments to Reduce Outbreaks

    Chin, E. T., Huynh, B. Q., Chapman, L. A. C., Murrill, M., Basu, S. & Lo, N. C., 1/11/2021, In: Clinical Infectious Diseases. 73, 9, p. E3127-E3129 3 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  68. Published

    Synergistic interventions to control COVID-19: Mass testing and isolation mitigates reliance on distancing

    Howerton, E., Ferrari, M. J., Bjørnstad, O. N., Bogich, T. L., Borchering, R. K., Jewell, C. P., Nichols, J. D., Probert, W. J. M., Runge, M. C., Tildesley, M. J., Viboud, C. & Shea, K., 28/10/2021, In: PLoS Computational Biology. 17, 10, 19 p., e1009518.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  69. Published

    Tuberculosis in badgers where the bovine tuberculosis epidemic is expanding in cattle in England

    Swift, B. M. C., Barron, E. S., Christley, R., Corbetta, D., Grau-Roma, L., Jewell, C., O’Cathail, C., Mitchell, A., Phoenix, J., Prosser, A., Rees, C., Sorley, M., Verin, R. & Bennett, M., 25/10/2021, In: Scientific Reports. 11, 1, 10 p., 20995.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  70. Published

    Efficiency of delayed-acceptance random walk Metropolis algorithms

    Sherlock, C., Thiery, A. & Golightly, A., 15/10/2021, In: Annals of Statistics. 49, 5, p. 2972-2990 19 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  71. Published

    Routine asymptomatic testing strategies for airline travel during the COVID-19 pandemic: a simulation study

    Kiang, M. V., Chin, E. T., Huynh, B. Q., Chapman, L. A. C., Rodríguez-Barraquer, I., Greenhouse, B., Rutherford, G. W., Bibbins-Domingo, K., Havlir, D., Basu, S. & Lo, N. C., 31/07/2021, In: The Lancet Infectious Diseases. 21, 7, p. 929-938 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  72. Published

    Novel coronavirus 2019-nCoV (COVID-19): Early estimation of epidemiological parameters and epidemic size estimates

    Read, J. M., Bridgen, J. R. E., Cummings, D. A. T., Ho, A. & Jewell, C. P., 19/07/2021, In: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. 376, 1829, 9 p., 20200265.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  73. Published

    Modelling the impact of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccine and immunoprophylaxis strategies in New Zealand

    Prasad, N., Read, J. M., Jewell, C., Waite, B., Trenholme, A. A., Huang, Q. S., Grant, C. C., Newbern, E. C. & Hogan, A. B., 13/07/2021, In: Vaccine. 39, 31, p. 4383-4390 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  74. Published

    Pan-African evolution of within- And between-country COVID-19 dynamics

    Ssentongo, P., Fronterre, C., Geronimo, A., Greybush, S. J., Mbabazi, P. K., Muvawala, J., Nahalamba, S. B., Omadi, P. O., Opar, B. T., Sinnar, S. A., Wang, Y., Whalen, A. J., Held, L., Jewell, C., Muwanguzi, A. J. B., Greatrex, H., Norton, M. M., Diggle, P. J. & Schiff, S. J., 13/07/2021, In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 118, 28, 10 p., e2026664118.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  75. Published

    Strategic testing approaches for targeted disease monitoring can be used to inform pandemic decision-making

    Nichols, J. D., Bogich, T. L., Howerton, E., Bjørnstad, O. N., Borchering, R. K., Ferrari, M., Haran, M., Jewell, C., Pepin, K. M., Probert, W. J. M., Pulliam, J. R. C., Runge, M. C., Tildesley, M., Viboud, C. & Shea, K., 17/06/2021, In: Plos Biology. 19, 6, 9 p., e3001307.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  76. Published

    An enhanced care package to improve asthma management in Malawian children: A randomised controlled trial

    Rylance, S., Chinoko, B., Mnesa, B., Jewell, C., Grigg, J. & Mortimer, K., 31/05/2021, In: Thorax. 76, 5, p. 434-440 7 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  77. Published

    Comparison of infection control strategies to reduce COVID-19 outbreaks in homeless shelters in the United States: a simulation study

    Chapman, L. A. C., Kushel, M., Cox, S. N., Scarborough, A., Cawley, C., Nguyen, T. Q., Rodriguez-Barraquer, I., Greenhouse, B., Imbert, E. & Lo, N. C., 7/05/2021, In: BMC Medicine. 19, 13 p., 116.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  78. Published

    Developments in statistical inference when assessing spatiotemporal disease clustering with the tau statistic

    Pollington, T. M., Tildesley, M. J., Hollingsworth, T. D. & Chapman, L. A. C., 30/04/2021, In: Spatial Statistics. 42, 15 p., 100438.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  79. Published

    Stochastic gradient Markov chain Monte Carlo

    Nemeth, C. & Fearnhead, P., 30/03/2021, In: Journal of the American Statistical Association. 1116, 533, p. 433-450 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  80. Published

    Bayesian additive regression trees with model trees

    Batista Do Prado, E., Parnell, A. C. & de Andrade Moral, R., 3/03/2021, In: Statistics and Computing. 31, 3, p. 1-13 13 p., 20.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  81. Published

    Outbreak of severe vomiting in dogs associated with a canine enteric coronavirus, United Kingdom

    Radford, A. D., Singleton, D. A., Jewell, C., Appleton, C., Rowlingson, B., Hale, A. C., Cuartero, C. T., Newton, R., Sánchez-Vizcaíno, F., Greenberg, D., Brant, B., Bentley, E. G., Stewart, J. P., Smith, S., Haldenby, S., Noble, P.-J. & Pinchbeck, G. L., 1/02/2021, In: Emerging Infectious Diseases. 27, 2, p. 517-528 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  82. Published

    Examination of risk factors for stroke survival in the presence of missing data and non-proportional hazards

    France, A., 4/01/2021, Lancaster University. 281 p.

    Research output: ThesisDoctoral Thesis

  83. 2020
  84. Published

    Anticipating future learning affects current control decisions: A comparison between passive and active adaptive management in an epidemiological setting

    Atkins, B. D., Jewell, C. P., Runge, M. C., Ferrari, M. J., Shea, K., Probert, W. J. M. & Tildesley, M. J., 7/12/2020, In: Journal of Theoretical Biology. 506, 23 p., 110380.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  85. Published

    Quasi-stationary Monte Carlo and the ScaLE Algorithm

    Pollock, M., Fearnhead, P., Johansen, A. M. & Roberts, G. O., 1/12/2020, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology). 82, 5, p. 1167-1221 55 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  86. Published

    Inferring transmission trees to guide targeting of interventions against visceral leishmaniasis and post-kala-azar dermal leishmaniasis

    Chapman, L. A. C., Spencer, S. E. F., Pollington, T. M., Jewell, C. P., Mondal, D., Alvar, J., Hollingsworth, T. D., Cameron, M. M., Bern, C. & Medley, G. F., 13/10/2020, In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 117, 41, p. 25742-25750 9 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  87. Published

    Measuring air quality for advocacy in Africa (MA3): Feasibility and practicality of longitudinal ambient PM2.5 measurement using low-cost sensors

    Awokola, B. I., Okello, G., Mortimer, K. J., Jewell, C. P., Erhart, A. & Semple, S., 3/10/2020, In: International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. 17, 19, 17 p., 7243.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  88. Published

    Discussion of "Bayesian Regression Tree Models for Causal Inference: Regularization, Confounding, and Heterogeneous Effects"

    Batista Do Prado, E., O'Neill, E., Hernandez, B., Parnell, A. C. & de Andrade Moral, R., 1/09/2020, In: Bayesian Analysis. 15, 3, p. 965-1056

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  89. Published

    Bias induced during the estimation of quality-adjusted life-years

    Welsh, A., 08/2020. 5 p.

    Research output: Contribution to conference - Without ISBN/ISSN Conference paper

  90. Published

    Bias induced during the estimation of quality-adjusted life-years

    Welsh, A., Costain, D. & Titman, A., 20/07/2020, Proceedings of the 35th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling. 5 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paper

  91. Published

    A spatio-temporal approach to short-term prediction of visceral leishmaniasis diagnoses in India

    Nightingale, E. S., Chapman, L. A. C., Srikantiah, S., Subramanian, S., Jambulingam, P., Bracher, J., Cameron, M. M. & Medley, G. F., 9/07/2020, In: PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  92. Published

    Estimating the burden of antimicrobial resistance in Malawi: protocol for a prospective observational study of the morbidity, mortality and economic cost of third-generation cephalosporin resistant bloodstream infection

    Lester, R., Maheswaran, H., Jewell, C. P., Lalloo, D. G. & Feasey, N. A., 1/06/2020, In: Wellcome Open Research. 5, 29.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  93. Published

    Estimating the burden of antimicrobial resistance in Malawi: protocol for a prospective observational study of the morbidity, mortality and economic cost of third-generation cephalosporin resistant bloodstream infection [version 2; peer review: 2 approved]

    Lester, R., Maheswaran, H., Jewell, C. P., Lalloo, D. G. & Feasey, N. A., 1/06/2020, In: Wellcome Open Research. 5, 29

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  94. Published

    Motor unit number estimation via sequential Monte Carlo

    Taylor, S., Sherlock, C., Ridall, G. & Fearnhead, P., 1/04/2020, In: Computational Statistics and Data Analysis. 144, 16 p., 106845.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  95. Published

    Constrained Dynamic Programming and Supervised Penalty Learning Algorithms for Peak Detection in Genomic Data

    Hocking, T. D., Rigaill, G., Fearnhead, P. & Bourque, G., 31/03/2020, In: Journal of Machine Learning Research. 21, p. 1-40 40 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  96. Published

    Air pollution interventions and respiratory health: a systematic review

    Saleh, S., Shepherd, W., Jewell, C., Lam, N. L., Balmes, J., Bates, M. N., Lai, P. S., Ochieng, C. A., Chinouya, M. & Mortimer, K., 1/02/2020, In: The International Journal of Tuberculosis and Lung Disease . 24, 2, p. 150-164 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  97. Published

    Sequential Monte Carlo methods for epidemic data

    Welding, J., 2020, Lancaster University. 262 p.

    Research output: ThesisDoctoral Thesis

  98. 2019
  99. Published

    Lung health and exposure to air pollution in Malawian children (CAPS): a cross-sectional study

    Rylance, S., Nightingale, R., Naunje, A., Mbalume, F., Jewell, C., Balmes, J. R., Grigg, J. & Mortimer, K., 1/11/2019, In: Thorax. 74, 11, p. 1070-1077 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  100. Published

    sgmcmc: An R Package for Stochastic Gradient Markov Chain Monte Carlo

    Baker, J., Fearnhead, P., Fox, E. B. & Nemeth, C. J., 31/10/2019, In: Journal of Statistical Software. 91, 3, p. 1-27 27 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  101. Published

    Small animal disease surveillance 2019: Pruritus, pharmacosurveillance, skin tumours and flea infestations

    Singleton, D. A., McGarry, J., Torres, J. R., Killick, D., Jewell, C., Smyth, S., Brant, B., Sánchez-Vizcaíno, F., Dawson, S., Pinchbeck, G. L., Noble, P. J. M. & Radford, A. D., 19/10/2019, In: Veterinary Record. 185, 15, p. 470-475 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  102. Published

    Modelling and mathematical analysis of quantum systems

    Alanazy, A., 9/10/2019, Lancaster University. 104 p.

    Research output: ThesisDoctoral Thesis

  103. Published

    Detecting changes in slope with an L0 penalty

    Fearnhead, P., Maidstone, R. & Letchford, A., 1/06/2019, In: Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics. 28, 2, p. 265-275 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  104. Published

    Small animal disease surveillance 2019: Respiratory disease, antibiotic prescription and canine infectious respiratory disease complex

    Singleton, D. A., Stavisky, J., Jewell, C., Smyth, S., Brant, B., Sánchez-Vizcaíno, F., Dawson, S., Pinchbeck, G. L., Noble, P. J. M. & Radford, A. D., 23/05/2019, In: Veterinary Record. 184, 21, p. 640-645 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  105. Published

    Weaving the Topics of CHI: Using Citation Network Analysis to Explore Emerging Trends

    Lee, T. M. C., Garbett, A., Wang, J., Hu, B. & Jackson, D., 4/05/2019, Extended Abstracts of the 2019 CHI Conference on Human Factors in Computing Systems.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  106. Published

    Control variates for stochastic gradient MCMC

    Baker, J., Fearnhead, P., Fox, E. B. & Nemeth, C., 1/05/2019, In: Statistics and Computing. 29, 3, p. 599-615 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

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