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Centre for Marketing Analytics

  1. 2022
  2. Published

    The practicality of Malaysia dengue outbreak forecasting model as an early warning system

    Ismail, S., Fildes, R., Ahmad, R., Wan Mohamad Ali, W. N. & Omar, T., 30/09/2022, In: Infectious Disease Modelling. 7, 3, p. 510-525 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  3. Published

    Wavelet Spectra for Multivariate Point Processes

    Cohen, E. & Gibberd, A., 30/09/2022, In: Biometrika. 109, 3, p. 837–851 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  4. Forthcoming

    Dynamic Linear Models with Adaptive Discounting

    Yusupova, A., Pavlidis, N. & Pavlidis, E., 29/09/2022, (Accepted/In press) In: International Journal of Forecasting.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  5. E-pub ahead of print

    Shrinkage Estimator for Exponential Smoothing Models

    Pritularga, K., Svetunkov, I. & Kourentzes, N., 12/08/2022, (E-pub ahead of print) In: International Journal of Forecasting. p. 1-15 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  6. E-pub ahead of print

    Estimating the cumulative distribution function of lead-time demand using bootstrapping with and without replacement

    Boylan, J. E. & Babai, M. Z., 31/10/2022, In: International Journal of Production Economics. 252, 13 p., 108586.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  7. Published

    Approximations for the Lead Time Variance: a Forecasting and Inventory Evaluation

    Saoud, P., Kourentzes, N. & Boylan, J. E., 31/07/2022, In: Omega. 110, 12 p., 102614.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  8. Published

    Newsvendor problems: An integrated method for estimation and optimisation

    Liu, C., Letchford, A. & Svetunkov, I., 16/07/2022, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 300, 2, p. 590-601 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  9. Published

    Forecasting: theory and practice

    Petropoulos, F., Apiletti, D., Assimakopoulos, V., Babai, M. Z., Barrow, D. K., Ben Taieb, S., Bergmeir, C., Bessa, R. J., Bijak, J., Boylan, J. E., Browell, J., Carnevale, C., Castle, J. L., Cirillo, P., Clements, M. P., Cordeiro, C., Cyrino Oliveira, F. L., De Baets, S., Dokumentov, A., Ellison, J. & 60 others, Fiszeder, P., Franses, P. H., Frazier, D. T., Gilliland, M., Gönül, M. S., Goodwin, P., Grossi, L., Grushka-Cockayne, Y., Guidolin, M., Guidolin, M., Gunter, U., Guo, X., Guseo, R., Harvey, N., Hendry, D. F., Hollyman, R., Januschowski, T., Jeon, J., Jose, V. R. R., Kang, Y., Koehler, A. B., Kolassa, S., Kourentzes, N., Leva, S., Li, F., Litsiou, K., Makridakis, S., Martin, G. M., Martinez, A. B., Meeran, S., Modis, T., Nikolopoulos, K., Önkal, D., Paccagnini, A., Panagiotelis, A., Panapakidis, I., Pavía, J. M., Pedio, M., Pedregal, D. J., Pinson, P., Ramos, P., Rapach, D. E., Reade, J. J., Rostami-Tabar, B., Rubaszek, M., Sermpinis, G., Shang, H. L., Spiliotis, E., Syntetos, A. A., Talagala, P. D., Talagala, T. S., Tashman, L., Thomakos, D., Thorarinsdottir, T., Todini, E., Trapero Arenas, J. R., Wang, X., Winkler, R. L., Yusupova, A. & Ziel, F., 1/07/2022, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 38, 3, p. 705-871 167 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  10. Published

    Weighted Sparse Simplex Representation: A Unified Framework for Subspace Clustering, Constrained Clustering, and Active Learning

    Peng, H. & Pavlidis, N., 31/05/2022, In: Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery. 36, 3, p. 958–986 29 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  11. In Press/Forthcoming
  12. E-pub ahead of print

    A New Taxonomy for Vector Exponential Smoothing and Its Application to Seasonal Time Series

    Svetunkov, I., Chen, H. & Boylan, J. E., expected on 1/02/2023, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 304, 3, p. 964-980 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  13. 2022
  14. Published

    A New Bootstrapped Hybrid Artificial Neural Network Approach for Time Series Forecasting

    Eğrioğlu, E. & Fildes, R., 30/04/2022, In: Computational Economics. 59, 4, p. 1355-1383 29 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  15. Published

    Empirical newsvendor biases: Are target service levels achieved effectively and efficiently?

    Sachs, A-L., Becker-Peth, M., Minner, S. & Thonemann, U. W., 30/04/2022, In: Production and Operations Management. 31, 4, p. 1839-1855 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  16. Published

    Business Transformation in an Age of Turbulence-Lessons Learned from COVID-19

    Li, X., Voorneveld, M. & de Koster, R., 31/03/2022, In: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 176, 12 p., 121452.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  17. Published

    Indolence is fatal: Research Opportunities in Designing Digital Shadows and Twins for Decision Support

    Marquardt, T., Cleophas, C. & Morgan, L., 28/02/2022, WSC '21: Proceedings of the Winter Simulation Conference. IEEE, 11 p. 239. (Proceedings of the Winter Simulation Conference).

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  18. 2021
  19. E-pub ahead of print

    Post-script - Retail forecasting: Research and Practice

    Fildes, R., Kolassa, S. & Ma, S., 17/11/2021, (E-pub ahead of print) In: International Journal of Forecasting.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  20. Published

    Apenas uma postagem? Previsões de vendas diárias de empresas varejistas de beleza e cosmético a partir da influência de mídias sociais

    Pessanha, G. R. G. & Soares, E. A., 31/10/2021, In: Revista Brasileira de Marketing. 20, 4, 55 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  21. Published

    Cloud & fog computing: intelligent applications

    Chen, M-Y., Lughofer, E. D. & Egrioglu, E., 31/10/2021, In: Enterprise Information Systems. 15, 9, p. 1197-1199 3 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  22. Published

    Robust compound Poisson parameter estimation for inventory control

    Prak, D., Teunter, R., Babai, M. Z., Boylan, J. E. & Syntetos, A., 31/10/2021, In: Omega. 104, 16 p., 102481.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  23. Published

    Stochastic coherency in forecast reconciliation

    Pritularga, K., Svetunkov, I. & Kourentzes, N., 31/10/2021, In: International Journal of Production Economics. 240, 14 p., 108221.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  24. E-pub ahead of print

    Using forecasting to evaluate the impact of COVID-19 on passenger air transport demand

    Li, X., de Groot, M. & Bäck, T., 17/10/2021, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Decision Sciences.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  25. Published

    Lifecycle Forecast for Consumer Technology Products with Limited Sales Data

    Li, X., Yin, Y., Manrique, D. V. & Bäck, T., 30/09/2021, In: International Journal of Production Economics. 239, 10 p., 108206.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  26. Published

    Identifying and Responding to Outlier Demand in Revenue Management

    Rennie, N., Cleophas, C., Sykulski, A. & Dost, F., 16/09/2021, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 293, 3, p. 1015-1030 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  27. Published

    When to Allocate Capacity for Upward Line Extensions Under Competition and Consumer Taste Uncertainty?

    Li, X., Zuidwijk, R., de Koster, MBM. & Sethi, S., 28/08/2021, SSRN Working Paper.

    Research output: Working paper

  28. Published

    Intermittent Demand Forecasting: Context, Methods and Applications

    Boylan, J. & Syntetos, A. A., 30/06/2021, Oxford: Wiley. 400 p.

    Research output: Book/Report/ProceedingsBook

  29. Published

    Probabilistic forecasting, linearity and nonlinearity hypothesis tests with bootstrapped linear and nonlinear artificial neural network

    Yolcu, U., Egrioglu, E., Bas, E., Yolcu, O. C. & Dalar, A. Z., 30/06/2021, In: Journal of Experimental and Theoretical Artificial Intelligence. 33, 3, p. 383-404 22 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  30. Published

    Detecting outlying demand in multi-leg bookings for transportation networks

    Rennie, N., Cleophas, C., Sykulski, A. M. & Dost, F., 9/04/2021, In: arXiv.org.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal article

  31. Published

    Stability in the inefficient use of forecasting systems: a case study in a supply-chain company

    Fildes, R. & Goodwin, P., 1/04/2021, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 37, 2, p. 1031-1046 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  32. Published

    Editorial

    Boylan, J., Kunc, M. H., Salhi, S. & Zhang, Z. G., 31/01/2021, In: Journal of the Operational Research Society. 72, 1, p. 1-3 3 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineEditorialpeer-review

  33. Published

    Elucidate structure in intermittent demand series

    Kourentzes, N. & Athanasopoulos, G., 1/01/2021, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 288, 1, p. 141-152 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  34. Published

    Retail sales forecasting with meta-learning

    Ma, S. & Fildes, R., 1/01/2021, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 288, 1, p. 111-128 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  35. Published

    Detecting demand outliers in transport systems

    Rennie, N., 2021, Lancaster University. 272 p.

    Research output: ThesisDoctoral Thesis

  36. 2020
  37. Published

    Metric learning for simulation analytics

    Laidler, G., Morgan, L., Nelson, B. & Pavlidis, N., 18/12/2020, Proceedings of the 2020 Winter Simulation Conference. IEEE, p. 349-360 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  38. Published

    Automatic robust estimation for exponential smoothing: Perspectives from statistics and machine learning

    Barrow, D., Kourentzes, N., Sandberg, R. & Niklewski, J., 1/12/2020, In: Expert Systems with Applications. 160, 14 p., 113637.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  39. Published

    Survey: What’s new in forecasting software?

    Fildes, R., Schaer, O., Svetunkov, I. & Yusupova, A., 4/08/2020, In: Operations Research Management Science Today. 47, 4

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal article

  40. Published

    Electrical Waste - challenges and opportunities: An Independent study on Waste Electrical and Electronic Equipment (WEEE) flows in the UK

    Sayers, M., Silva, C., Schaer, O., Stowell, A., Yumashev, D., Downes, S., Grantham, L., Laundon, C. & McCoach, H., 16/07/2020

    Research output: Book/Report/ProceedingsCommissioned report

  41. Published

    Forecasting third-party mobile payments with implications for customer flow prediction

    Ma, S. & Fildes, R., 1/07/2020, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 36, 3, p. 739-760 22 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  42. Published

    Optimising forecasting models for inventory planning

    Kourentzes, N., Trapero, J. R. & Barrow, D., 1/07/2020, In: International Journal of Production Economics. 225, 9 p., 107597.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  43. Published

    Interpretable brain age prediction using linear latent variable models of functional connectivity

    Monti, R. P., Gibberd, A., Roy, S., Nunes, M., Lorenz, R., Leech, R., Ogawa, T., Kawanabe, M. & Hyvärinen, A., 10/06/2020, In: PLoS ONE. 15, 6, 25 p., e0232296.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  44. Published

    The impact of demand parameter uncertainty on the bullwhip effect

    Pastore, E., Alfieri, A., Zotteri, G. & Boylan, J. E., 16/05/2020, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 283, 1, p. 94-107 14 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  45. Published

    Spillover effects of investment in big data analytics in B2B relationships: What is the role of human capital?

    Sena, V. & Ozdemir, S., 1/04/2020, In: Industrial Marketing Management. 86, p. 77-89 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  46. E-pub ahead of print

    Consistent multiple changepoint estimation with fused Gaussian graphical models

    Gibberd, A. & Roy, S., 17/03/2020, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics. 27 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  47. Published

    Cross-temporal aggregation: Improving the forecast accuracy of hierarchical electricity consumption

    Spiliotis, E., Petropoulos, F., Kourentzes, N. & Assimakopoulos, V., 1/03/2020, In: Applied Energy. 261, 12 p., 114339.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  48. Published

    Intuitionistic fuzzy ridge regression functions

    Kizilaslan, B., Egrioglu, E. & Evren, A. A., 1/03/2020, In: Communications in Statistics: Simulation and Computation. 49, 3, p. 699-708 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  49. Published

    Picture fuzzy time series: Defining, modeling and creating a new forecasting method

    Egrioglu, E., Bas, E., Yolcu, U. & Chen, M. Y., 28/02/2020, In: Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence. 88, 13 p., 103367.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  50. Published

    Subspace Clustering with Active Learning

    Peng, H. & Pavlidis, N., 24/02/2020, Proceedings of 2019 IEEE International Conference on Big Data. IEEE, 10 p. 9006361

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  51. Published

    AR–ARCH Type Artificial Neural Network for Forecasting

    Corba, B. S., Egrioglu, E. & Dalar, A. Z., 1/02/2020, In: Neural Processing Letters. 51, p. 819–836 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  52. Published

    State-space ARIMA for supply-chain forecasting

    Svetunkov, I. & Boylan, J. E., 1/02/2020, In: International Journal of Production Research. 58, 3, p. 818-827 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  53. Published

    A Simple Combination of Univariate Models

    Petropoulos, F. & Svetunkov, I., 1/01/2020, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 36, 1, p. 110-115 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  54. Published

    Modelling and managing Supply Chain forecast uncertainty in the presence of the Bullwhip Effect

    Saoud, P., 2020, Lancaster University. 152 p.

    Research output: ThesisDoctoral Thesis

  55. 2019
  56. Published

    A Fuzzy Data-Driven Paradigmatic Predictor

    Amirjavid, F., Nemati, H. & Barak, S., 31/12/2019, In: IFAC-PapersOnLine. 52, 13, p. 2366-2371 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

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