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Extreme Value Theory

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  1. 2025
  2. Published

    Modelling and inference for the body and tail regions of multivariate data

    André, L., 2025, Lancaster University. 342 p.

    Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis

  3. 2024
  4. Published

    Improving estimation for asymptotically independent bivariate extremes via global estimators for the angular dependence function

    Murphy-Barltrop, C., Wadsworth, J. & Eastoe, E., 31/12/2024, In: Extremes. 27, 4, p. 643-671 29 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  5. Published

    Degree distributions in networks: beyond the power law

    Lee, C., Eastoe, E. & Farrell, A., 30/11/2024, In: Statistica Neerlandica. 78, 4, p. 702-718 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  6. Published

    Modelling non-stationarity in asymptotically independent extremes

    Murphy-Barltrop, C. J. R. & Wadsworth, J. L., 30/11/2024, In: Computational Statistics and Data Analysis. 199, 108025.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  7. Unpublished

    Conditional Extremes with Graphical Models

    Farrell, A., Eastoe, E. & Lee, C., 26/11/2024, (Unpublished) In: arXiv.org.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article

  8. E-pub ahead of print

    Extreme value methods for estimating rare events in Utopia: EVA (2023) Conference Data Challenge: Team Lancopula Utopiversity

    André, L., Campbell, R., Farrell, A., D’Arcy, E., Healy, D., Kakampakou, L., Murphy, C., Murphy-Barltrop, C. J. R. & Speers, M., 22/11/2024, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Extremes.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  9. Published

    Statistical inference for multivariate extremes via a geometric approach

    Wadsworth, J. & Campbell, R., 13/11/2024, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B: Statistical Methodology. 86, 5, p. 1243-1265 23 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  10. Forthcoming

    Spatial extremal modelling: A case study on the interplay between margins and dependence

    Kakampakou, L., Simpson, E. & Wadsworth, J., 29/09/2024, (Accepted/In press) In: Stat.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  11. Published

    covXtreme: MATLAB software for non-stationary penalised piecewise constant marginal and conditional extreme value models

    Towe, R., Ross, E., Randell, D. & Jonathan, P., 06/2024, In: Environmental Modelling and Software. 177, 106035.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  12. Published

    Statistical modelling of space weather extremes and process monitoring of rates and proportions

    Rauber Oliveira, C., 18/03/2024, Lancaster University. 94 p.

    Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis

  13. Published

    Joint modelling of the body and tail of bivariate data

    André, L., Wadsworth, J. & O'Hagan, A., 31/01/2024, In: Computational Statistics and Data Analysis. 189, p. 107841 1 p., 107841.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  14. Published

    How to cope with uncertainty monsters in flood risk management?

    Knotters, M., Bokhove, O., Lamb, R. & Poortvliet, P. M., 24/01/2024, In: Cambridge Prisms: Water. 2, 20 p., e6.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  15. Published

    Extreme value modelling for protecting and maintaining critical infrastructure from natural hazards

    D'Arcy, E., 2024, Lancaster University. 392 p.

    Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis

  16. 2023
  17. Published

    High-dimensional modeling of spatial and spatio-temporal conditional extremes using INLA and Gaussian Markov random fields

    Simpson, E., Opitz, T. & Wadsworth, J., 31/12/2023, In: Extremes. 26, p. 669–713 45 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  18. E-pub ahead of print

    Temporal evolution of the extreme excursions of multivariate k $$ k $$ th order Markov processes with application to oceanographic data

    Tendijck, S., Tawn, J., Randell, D. & Jonathan, P., 3/12/2023, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Environmetrics.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  19. Published

    Modeling Intransitivity in Pairwise Comparisons with Application to Baseball Data

    Spearing, J., Tawn, J., Irons, D. & Paulden, T., 2/10/2023, In: Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics. 32, 4, p. 1383-1392 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  20. Published

    The importance of context in extreme value analysis with application to extreme temperatures in the U.S. and Greenland

    Clarkson, D., Eastoe, E. & Leeson, A., 2/09/2023, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics). 72, 4, p. 829-843 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  21. Published

    New estimation methods for extremal bivariate return curves

    Murphy-Barltrop, C., Wadsworth, J. & Eastoe, E., 31/08/2023, In: Environmetrics. 34, 5, e2797.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  22. Published

    Modeling the Extremes of Bivariate Mixture Distributions With Application to Oceanographic Data

    Tendijck, S., Eastoe, E., Tawn, J., Randell, D. & Jonathan, P., 30/06/2023, In: Journal of the American Statistical Association. 118, 542, p. 1373-1384 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  23. Published

    Spatio-temporal modelling of extreme temperature events on the Greenland ice sheet

    Clarkson, D., 30/05/2023, Lancaster University. 157 p.

    Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis

  24. Forthcoming

    Accouting for seasonality in extreme sea level estimation

    D'Arcy, E., Tawn, J., Joly, A. & Sifnioti, D., 22/04/2023, (Accepted/In press) In: Annals of Applied Statistics.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  25. Published

    Extremal characteristics of conditional models

    Tendijck, S., Tawn, J. & Jonathan, P., 31/03/2023, In: Extremes. 26, 1, p. 139-156 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  26. Published

    Joint Estimation of Extreme Spatially Aggregated Precipitation at Different Scales through Mixture Modelling

    Richards, J., Tawn, J. & Brown, S., 31/03/2023, In: Spatial Statistics. 53, 21 p., 100725.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  27. Published

    A marginal modelling approach for predicting wildfire extremes across the contiguous United States.

    D'Arcy, E., Murphy-Barltrop, C., Simpson, E. S. & Shooter, R., 20/03/2023, In: Extremes. p. 1 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  28. Published

    Multivariate Oceanographic Extremes in Time and Space

    Tendijck, S., 7/02/2023, Lancaster University. 215 p.

    Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis

  29. Published

    A penalised piecewise-linear model for non-stationary extreme value analysis of peaks over threshold

    Barlow, A. M., Mackay, E., Eastoe, E. & Jonathan, P., 1/01/2023, In: Ocean Engineering. 267, 14 p., 113265.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  30. Published

    A Ubiquitous Framework for Statistical Ranking Systems

    Spearing, J., 2023, Lancaster University. 278 p.

    Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis

  31. Published

    Novel methodology for the estimation of extremal bivariate return curves

    Murphy-Barltrop, C., 2023, Lancaster University. 209 p.

    Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis

  32. Published

    Volatility Modelling with High-Frequency Financial Data on a Continuous Time Scale

    Sofronis, G., 2023, Lancaster University. 315 p.

    Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis

  33. 2022
  34. Published

    MODELLING EXTREMES OF SPATIAL AGGREGATES OF PRECIPITATION USING CONDITIONAL METHODS

    Richards, J., Tawn, J. & Brown, S., 31/12/2022, In: Annals of Applied Statistics. 16, 4, p. 2693-2713 21 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  35. Published

    On the Tail Behaviour of Aggregated Random Variables

    Richards, J. & Tawn, J., 30/11/2022, In: Journal of Multivariate Analysis. 192, 16 p., 105065.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  36. Published

    Linking representations for multivariate extremes via a limit set

    Nolde, N. & Wadsworth, J., 30/09/2022, In: Advances in Applied Probability. 54, 3, p. 688-717 30 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  37. Published

    Accounting for Climate Change in Extreme Sea Level Estimation

    D'Arcy, E., Tawn, J. & Sifnioti, D., 21/09/2022, In: Water.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  38. Published

    Hierarchical Transformed Scale Mixtures for Flexible Modeling of Spatial Extremes on Datasets with Many Locations

    Zhang, L., Shaby, B. & Wadsworth, J., 3/07/2022, In: Journal of the American Statistical Association. 117, 539, p. 1357-1369 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  39. E-pub ahead of print

    Higher-dimensional spatial extremes via single-site conditioning

    Wadsworth, J. & Tawn, J., 30/06/2022, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Spatial Statistics. 51, 31 p., 100677.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  40. Published

    Modeling spatial extremes using normal mean-variance mixtures

    Zhang, Z., Huser, R., Opitz, T. & Wadsworth, J., 30/06/2022, In: Extremes. 25, 2, p. 175-197 23 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  41. Published

    Stochastic smoothing of point processes for wildlife-vehicle collisions on road networks

    Borrajo, M. I., Comas, C., Costafreda-Aumedes, S. & Mateu, J., 30/06/2022, In: Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment. 36, 6, p. 1563-1577 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  42. Published

    Melt probabilities and surface temperature trends on the Greenland ice sheet using a Gaussian mixture model

    Clarkson, D., Eastoe, E. & Leeson, A., 4/05/2022, In: The Cryosphere. 16, 5, p. 1597-1607 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  43. Published

    A multivariate pseudo-likelihood approach to estimating directional ocean wave models

    Grainger, J. P., Sykulski, A. M., Ewans, K., Hansen, H. F. & Jonathan, P., 8/02/2022, In: arXiv.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article

  44. Published

    Advances in Statistical Modeling of Spatial Extremes

    Huser, R. & Wadsworth, J., 31/01/2022, In: WIREs Computational Statistics. 14, 1, e1537.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  45. Published

    Statistical Methods for Modelling Complex Longitudinal Data with Applications in Cancer Pharmacogenetics and Ageing

    Koukouli, E., 2022, Lancaster University. 214 p.

    Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis

  46. 2021
  47. Published

    Climatological Statistics of Extreme Geomagnetic Fluctuations with Periods from 1 s to 60 min

    Rogers, N., Wild, J., Eastoe, E. & Huebert, J., 11/11/2021, In: Space Weather. 19, 11, e2021SW002824.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  48. Published

    Statistics of extreme geomagnetic field fluctuations: Directionality, timescale dependence, and spatial correlations

    Rogers, N., Wild, J. & Eastoe, E., 25/10/2021.

    Research output: Contribution to conference - Without ISBN/ISSN › Poster

  49. Published

    Spatial deformation for non-stationary extremal dependence

    Richards, J. & Wadsworth, J., 31/08/2021, In: Environmetrics. 32, 5, 22 p., e2671.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  50. Published

    A geometric investigation into the tail dependence of vine copulas

    Simpson, E., Wadsworth, J. & Tawn, J., 1/07/2021, In: Journal of Multivariate Analysis. 184, 21 p., 104736.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  51. Published

    Basin-wide spatial conditional extremes for severe ocean storms

    Shooter, R., Tawn, J., Ross, E. & Jonathan, P., 30/06/2021, In: Extremes. 24, 2, p. 241-265 25 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  52. Published

    Spatial dependence of extreme seas in the North East Atlantic from satellite altimeter measurements

    Shooter, R., Ross, E., Ribal, A., Young, I. R. & Jonathan, P., 30/06/2021, In: Environmetrics. 32, 4, 15 p., e2674.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  53. Published

    Estimating the parameters of ocean wave spectra

    Grainger, J., Sykulski, A., Jonathan, P. & Ewans, K., 1/06/2021, In: Ocean Engineering. 229, 20 p., 108934.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  54. Published

    Swimming meets statistics

    Spearing, J., 1/04/2021, In: Significance. 18, 2, p. 8-9 2 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  55. Published

    Global Changes in 20-Year, 50-Year, and 100-Year River Floods

    Slater, L., Villarini, G., Archfield, S., Faulkner, D., Lamb, R., Khouakhi, A. & Yin, J., 28/03/2021, In: Geophysical Research Letters. 48, 6, 10 p., e2020GL091824.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  56. Published

    A spatio-temporal model for Red Sea surface temperature anomalies

    Rohrbeck, C., Simpson, E. & Towe, R., 1/03/2021, In: Extremes. 24, p. 129–144 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  57. Published

    Conditional modelling of spatio-temporal extremes for Red Sea surface temperatures

    Simpson, E. & Wadsworth, J., 1/03/2021, In: Spatial Statistics. 41, 17 p., 100482.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  58. Published

    Reconstructing spatiotemporal dynamics in hydrological state along intermittent rivers

    Eastman, M., Parry, S., Sefton, C., Park, J. & England, J., 14/02/2021, In: Water. 13, 4, 22 p., 493.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  59. Published

    A regularized functional regression model enabling transcriptome-wide dosage-dependent association study of cancer drug response

    Koukouli, E., Wang, D., Dondelinger, F. & Park, J., 25/01/2021, In: PLoS Computational Biology. 17, 1, 25 p., e1008066.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  60. Published

    Uncertainties in return values from extreme value analysis of peaks over threshold using the generalised Pareto distribution

    Jonathan, P., Randell, D., Wadsworth, J. & Tawn, J., 15/01/2021, In: Ocean Engineering. 220, 17 p., 107725.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  61. Published

    The Role of Digital Technologies in Responding to the Grand Challenges of the Natural Environment: The Windermere Accord

    Blair, G., Bassett, R., Bastin, L., Beevers, L., Borrajo Garcia, M., Brown, M., Dance, S., Dionescu, A., Edwards, L., Ferrario, M. A., Fraser, R., Fraser, H., Gardner, S., Henrys, P. A., Hey, T., Homann, S., Huijbers, C., Hutchison, J., Jonathan, P. & Lamb, R. & 21 others, Laurie, S., Leeson, A., Leslie, D., McMillan, M., Nundloll, V., Oyebamiji, O., Phillipson, J., Pope, V., Prudden, R., Reis, S., Salama, M., Samreen, F., Sejdinovic, D., Simm, W., Street, R., Thornton, L., Towe, R., Vande Hey, J. D., Vieno, M., Waller, J. & Watkins, J., 8/01/2021, In: Patterns. 2, 1, 8 p., 100156.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  62. Published

    Ranking, and other properties, of elite swimmers using extreme value theory

    Spearing, J., Tawn, J., Paulden, T., Irons, D. & Bennett, G., 1/01/2021, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A Statistics in Society. 184, 1, p. 368-395 28 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  63. Published

    Extremes of Aggregated Random Variables and Spatial Processes

    Richards, J., 2021, Lancaster University. 355 p.

    Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis

  64. Published

    Statistical Modelling of Induced Earthquakes

    Varty, Z., 2021, Lancaster University. 275 p.

    Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis

  65. 2020
  66. Published

    Improved testing inferences for beta regressions with parametric mean link function

    Rauber, C., Cribari-Neto, F. & Bayer, F. M., 1/12/2020, In: AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis. 104, p. 687–717 31 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  67. Published

    Kumaraswamy regression model with Aranda-Ordaz link function

    Pumi, G., Rauber, C. & Bayer, F. M., 1/12/2020, In: Test. 29, p. 1051–1071 21 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  68. Published

    Rethinking data-driven decision support in flood risk management for a big data age

    Towe, R., Dean, G., Edwards, E., Nundloll, V., Blair, G., Lamb, R., Hankin, B. & Manson, S., 1/12/2020, In: Journal of Flood Risk Management. 13, 4, 19 p., e12652.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  69. Published

    The distribution and direction of extreme geomagnetic fluctuations over 1-60 minute periods

    Rogers, N., Wild, J. & Eastoe, E., 20/10/2020, 2020 XXXIIIrd General Assembly and Scientific Symposium of the International Union of Radio Science. IEEE, p. 1-4 4 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Conference contribution/Paper › peer-review

  70. Published

    Temporal, directional, and spatial statistics of extreme dB/dt

    Rogers, N., Wild, J. & Eastoe, E., 19/10/2020.

    Research output: Contribution to conference - Without ISBN/ISSN › Other › peer-review

  71. Published

    Determining the dependence structure of multivariate extremes

    Simpson, E., Wadsworth, J. & Tawn, J., 1/09/2020, In: Biometrika. 107, 3, p. 513-532 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  72. Published

    Efficient Bayesian model choice for partially observed processes: with application to an experimental transmission study of an infectious disease

    McKinley, T., Neal, P., Spencer, S., Conlan, A. & Tiley, L., 1/08/2020, In: Bayesian Analysis. 15, 3, p. 839-870 32 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  73. Published

    Inference for extreme values under threshold-based stopping rules

    Barlow, A., Sherlock, C. & Tawn, J., 1/08/2020, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics). 69, 4, p. 765-789 25 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  74. E-pub ahead of print

    Bayesian Spatial Clustering of Extremal Behavior for Hydrological Variables

    Rohrbeck, C. & Tawn, J. A., 9/07/2020, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  75. Published

    Third UK Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA3): Future flood risk: Final Report prepared for the Committee on Climate Change, UK

    Sayers, P., Horritt, M., Carr, S., Kay, A. L., Mauz, J., Lamb, R. & Penning-Rowsell, E., 1/07/2020, London: Committee on Climate Change. 121 p.

    Research output: Book/Report/Proceedings › Commissioned report

  76. Published

    Modelling the clustering of extreme events for short-term risk assessment

    Towe, R., Tawn, J., Eastoe, E. & Lamb, R., 31/03/2020, In: Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics. 25, 1, p. 32-53 22 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  77. Published

    A Global Climatological Model of Extreme Geomagnetic Field Fluctuations

    Rogers, N., Wild, J., Eastoe, E., Gjerloev, J. W. & Thomson, A. W. P., 18/02/2020, In: Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate. 10, p. 5 1 p., 10.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  78. Published

    Estimation of functional sparsity in nonparametric varying coefficient models for longitudinal data analysis

    Tu, C. Y., Park, J. & Wang, H., 1/02/2020, In: Statistica Sinica. 29, p. 439-465 27 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  79. Published

    Developing observational methods to drive future hydrological science: Can we make a start as a community?

    Beven, K., Asadullah, A., Bates, P., Blyth, E., Chappell, N., Child, S., Cloke, H., Dadson, S., Everard, N., Fowler, H. J., Freer, J., Hannah, D. M., Heppell, K., Holden, J., Lamb, R., Lewis, H., Morgan, G., Parry, L. & Wagener, T., 30/01/2020, In: Hydrological Processes. 34, 3, p. 868-873 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  80. Published

    Conditional models for spatial extremes

    Shooter, R., 2020, Lancaster University. 259 p.

    Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis

  81. 2019
  82. Published

    Extremal dependence of random scale constructions

    Engelke, S., Opitz, T. & Wadsworth, J. L., 1/12/2019, In: Extremes. 22, 4, p. 623–666 44 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  83. Published

    Model-based inference of conditional extreme value distributions with hydrological applications

    Towe, R. P., Tawn, J. A., Lamb, R. & Sherlock, C. G., 1/12/2019, In: Environmetrics. 30, 8, 20 p., e2575.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  84. Published

    Models of Everywhere Revisited: A Technological Perspective

    Blair, G., Beven, K., Lamb, R., Bassett, R., Cauwenberghs, K., Hankin, B., Dean, G., Hunter, N., Edwards, L., Nundloll, V., Samreen, F., Simm, W. & Towe, R., 1/12/2019, In: Environmental Modelling and Software. 122, 20 p., 104521.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  85. Published

    Modelling directionality, seasonality, and local time dependences in extreme geomagnetic field fluctuations

    Rogers, N., Wild, J. & Eastoe, E., 22/11/2019, p. 1. 1 p.

    Research output: Contribution to conference - Without ISBN/ISSN › Poster

  86. Published

    A probabilistic model of the economic risk to Britain’s railway network from bridge scour during floods

    Lamb, R., Garside, P., Pant, R. & Hall, J., 1/11/2019, In: Risk Analysis. 39, 11, p. 2457-2478 22 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  87. Published

    Forecasting the Search Trend of Muslim Clothing in Indonesia on Google Trends Data Using ARIMAX and Neural Network

    Suhermi, N., Suhartono, [., Permata, R. P. & Rahayu, S. P., 30/09/2019, Soft Computing in Data Science: 5th International Conference, SCDS 2019, Iizuka, Japan, August 28–29, 2019, Proceedings. Berry, M. W., Yap, B. W., Mohamed, A. & Koppen, M. (eds.). Singapore: Springer, p. 272-286 15 p. (Communications in Computer and Information Science; vol. 1100).

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Conference contribution/Paper › peer-review

  88. Published

    Search for diboson resonances in hadronic final states in 139 fb −1 of pp collisions at s = 13 TeV with the ATLAS detector

    The ATLAS collaboration, 12/09/2019, In: Journal of High Energy Physics. 2019, 9, 91.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  89. Published

    On spatial conditional extremes for ocean storm severity

    Shooter, R., Tawn, J. A., Jonathan, P. & Ross, E., 1/09/2019, In: Environmetrics. 30, 6, 18 p., e2562.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  90. Published

    The basic reproduction number, R_0, in structured populations

    Neal, P. & Theparod, T., 1/09/2019, In: Mathematical Biosciences. 315, 12 p., 108224.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  91. Published

    Approximate Bayesian Computation Methods for Epidemic Models

    Neal, P., 19/08/2019, Handbook of Infectious Disease Data Analysis. Held, L. (ed.). CRC PRESS-TAYLOR & FRANCIS GROUP

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Chapter (peer-reviewed) › peer-review

  92. Published

    A Global Statistical Model of Extreme Geomagnetic Field Fluctuations

    Rogers, N. C., Wild, J. A. & Eastoe, E. F., 1/02/2019, Geophysical Research Abstracts. Munich, Germany: Copernicus GmbH (Copernicus Publications) on behalf of the European Geosciences Union (EGU), Vol. 21. 1 p. EGU2019-1929. (Geophysical Research Abstracts; vol. 21).

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Abstract

  93. Published

    Modeling spatial processes with unknown extremal dependence class

    Huser, R. & Wadsworth, J. L., 1/02/2019, In: Journal of the American Statistical Association. 114, 525, p. 434-444 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  94. Published

    Geomorphological effectiveness of floods to rework gravel bars: insight from hyperscale topography and hydraulic modelling

    Reid, H. E., Williams, R. D., Brierley, G. J., Coleman, S. E., Lamb, R., Rennie, C. D. & Tancock, M. J., 02/2019, In: Earth Surface Processes and Landforms. 44, 2, p. 595-613 19 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  95. Published

    Peaks over thresholds modelling with multivariate generalized Pareto distributions

    Kiriliouk, A., Rootzén, H., Segers, J. & Wadsworth, J. L., 2/01/2019, In: Technometrics. 61, 1, p. 123-135 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  96. Published

    Statistical Analysis of Recurrent events by Point process

    Hong, G., 2019, Lancaster University. 145 p.

    Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis

  97. Unpublished

    The Directional Statistics of Extreme Geomagnetic Field Variations

    Rogers, N., Wild, J. & Eastoe, E., 2019, (Unpublished). 1 p.

    Research output: Contribution to conference - Without ISBN/ISSN › Abstract

  98. 2018
  99. Published

    Modelling spatial extreme events with environmental applications

    Tawn, J. A., Shooter, R., Towe, R. P. & Lamb, R., 12/2018, In: Spatial Statistics. 28, p. 39-58 20 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  100. Published

    Why extreme floods are more common than you might think

    Towe, R. P., Tawn, J. A. & Lamb, R., 12/2018, In: Significance. 15, 6, p. 16-21 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  101. Published

    Flood event attribution and damage estimation using national-scale grid-based modelling: Winter 2013/2014 in Great Britain

    Kay, A. L., Booth, N., Lamb, R., Raven, E., Schaller, N. & Sparrow, S., 30/11/2018, In: International Journal of Climatology. 38, 14, p. 5205-5219 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  102. Published

    Dynamic stochastic block models: Parameter estimation and detection of changes in community structure

    Ludkin, M., Neal, P. J. & Eckley, I. A., 11/2018, In: Statistics and Computing. 28, 6, p. 1201-1213 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  103. Published

    Uncertainty quantification in estimation of extreme environments

    Jones, M., Hansen, H. F., Zeeberg, A. R., Randell, D. & Jonathan, P., 11/2018, In: Coastal Engineering. 141, p. 36-51 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  104. Published

    Bayesian spatial monotonic multiple regression

    Rohrbeck, C., Costain, D. A. & Frigessi, A., 1/09/2018, In: Biometrika. 105, 3, p. 691-707 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  105. Published

    A Bayesian spatio-temporal model for precipitation extremes - STOR team contribution to the EVA2017 challenge

    Barlow, A., Rohrbeck, C., Sharkey, P., Shooter, R. & Simpson, E., 09/2018, In: Extremes. 21, 3, p. 431-439 9 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  106. Published

    High-order Tensor Regularization with Application to Attribute Ranking

    Kim, K. I., Park, J. & Tompkin, J., 18/06/2018, 2018 IEEE/CVF Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition. IEEE, p. 4349-4357 9 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Conference contribution/Paper › peer-review

  107. Published

    Model selection for time series of count data

    Alzahrani, N., Neal, P. J., Spencer, S., McKinley, T. & Touloupou, P., 06/2018, In: Computational Statistics and Data Analysis. 122, p. 33-44 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  108. Published

    Multivariate generalized Pareto distributions: Parametrizations, representations, and properties

    Rootzen, H., Segers, J. & Wadsworth, J. L., 05/2018, In: Journal of Multivariate Analysis. 165, p. 117-131 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

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