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Research

Professor Ivan Paya

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  1. 2023
  2. Published

    On the predictions of cumulative prospect theory for third and fourth order risk preferences

    Paya, I., Peel, D. A. & Georgalos, K., 31/08/2023, In: Theory and Decision. 95, 2, p. 337-359 23 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  3. Published

    Higher order risk attitudes: new model insights and heterogeneity of preferences

    Georgalos, K., Paya, I. & Peel, D., 31/03/2023, In: Experimental Economics. 26, 1, p. 145-192 48 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  4. 2021
  5. Published

    House Prices, (Un)Affordability and Systemic Risk

    Pavlidis, E., Paya, I. & Skouralis, A., 31/03/2021, In: New Zealand Economic Papers. 55, 1, p. 105-123 19 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  6. Published

    On the Contribution of the Markowitz Model of Utility to Explain Risky Choice in Experimental Research

    Georgalos, K., Paya, I. & Peel, D. A., 1/02/2021, In: Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization. 182, p. 527-543 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  7. 2020
  8. Published

    Macroprudential Policy in the Euro Area

    Fernandez-Gallardo, A. & Paya, I., 7/10/2020, Lancaster: Lancaster University, Department of Economics, (Economics Working Papers Series).

    Research output: Working paper

  9. Published

    On the Predictions of Cumulative Prospect Theory for Third and Fourth Order Preferences

    Paya, I., Peel, D. & Georgalos, K., 3/04/2020, Lancaster: Lancaster University, Department of Economics, (Economics Working Papers Series).

    Research output: Working paper

  10. Published

    Temporal aggregation of random walk processes and implications for economic analysis

    Ahmad, Y. S. & Paya, I., 1/04/2020, In: Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics. 24, 2, 20 p., 2017-0102.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  11. 2019
  12. Published

    House Prices, (Un)Affordability and Systemic Risk

    Pavlidis, E., Paya, I. & Skouralis, A., 1/06/2019, Lancaster: Lancaster University, Department of Economics, (Economics Working Papers Series).

    Research output: Working paper

  13. Published

    Flexible distribution functions, higher-order preferences and optimal portfolio allocation

    Niguez, T-M., Paya, I., Peel, D. A. & Perote, J., 1/04/2019, In: Quantitative Finance. 19, 4, p. 699-703 5 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  14. 2018
  15. Published

    A nonlinear analysis of the real exchange rate-consumption relationship

    Pavlidis, E., Paya, I. & Peel, D. A., 10/2018, In: Macroeconomic Dynamics. 22, 7, p. 1825-1843 19 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  16. Published

    Using Market Expectations to Test for Speculative Bubbles in the Crude Oil Market

    Pavlidis, E., Paya, I. & Peel, D. A., 1/08/2018, In: Journal of Money, Credit and Banking. 50, 5, p. 833-856 24 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  17. 2017
  18. Published

    Testing for speculative bubbles using spot and forward prices

    Pavlidis, E., Paya, I. & Peel, D. A., 11/2017, In: International Economic Review. 58, 4, p. 1191-1226 36 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  19. Published

    Exuberance in the U.K. Regional Housing Markets

    Pavlidis, E., Paya, I., Peel, D. A. & Yusupova, A. Y., 05/2017, Lancaster: Lancaster University, Department of Economics, (Economics Working Paper Series).

    Research output: Working paper

  20. 2016
  21. Published

    Episodes of exuberance in housing markets: in search of the smoking gun

    Pavlidis, E., Yusupova, A., Paya, I., Peel, D., Martínez-García, E., Mack, A. & Grossman, V., 11/2016, In: Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics. 53, 4, p. 419-449 31 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  22. Published

    Pure higher-order effects in the portfolio choice model

    Niguez, T-M., Paya, I. & Peel, D. A., 11/2016, In: Finance Research Letters. 19, p. 255-260 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  23. Published

    Wealth fluctuations and investment in risky assets: the UK micro evidence on households asset allocation

    Paya, I. & Wang, P., 09/2016, In: Journal of Empirical Finance. 38, Part A, p. 221-235 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  24. 2015
  25. Published

    Testing for linear and nonlinear Granger Causality in the real exchange rate-consumption relation

    Pavlidis, E., Paya, I. & Peel, D., 07/2015, In: Economics Letters. 132, p. 13-17 5 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  26. 2014
  27. Published

    Episodes of exuberance in housing markets: in search of the smoking gun

    Pavlidis, E., Yusupova, A., Paya, I., Peel, D., Martinez-Garcia, E., Mack, A. & Crossman, V., 2014, Lancaster: Lancaster University, Department of Economics, (Economics Working Paper Series; vol. 2014, no. 9).

    Research output: Working paper

  28. 2013
  29. Published

    Nonlinear causality tests and multivariate conditional heteroskedasticity: a simulation study

    Pavlidis, E., Paya, I. & Peel, D., 02/2013, In: Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics. 17, 3, p. 297-312 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  30. Published

    Higher-order moments in the theory of diversification and portfolio composition

    Niguez, T-M., Paya, I., Peel, D. & Perote, J., 2013, Lancaster: Lancaster University, Department of Economics, 26 p. (Economics Working Paper Series; vol. 2013, no. 3).

    Research output: Working paper

  31. Published

    Nonlinear dynamics in economics and finance and unit root testing

    Pavlidis, E., Paya, I., Peel, D. & Siriopoulos, C., 2013, In: European Journal of Finance. 19, 6, p. 572-588 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article

  32. 2012
  33. Published

    On the stability of the constant relative risk aversion (CRRA) under high degrees of uncertainty

    Niguez, T-M., Paya, I., Peel, D. & Perote, J., 05/2012, In: Economics Letters. 115, 2, p. 244-248 5 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  34. Published

    Forecasting Monetary Policy Rules in South Africa

    Naraidoo, R. & Paya, I., 04/2012, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 28, 2, p. 446-455 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  35. Published

    Forecast evaluation of nonlinear models: the case of long-span real exchange rates

    Pavlidis, E., Paya, I. & Peel, D., 2012, In: Journal of Forecasting. 31, 7, p. 580-595 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  36. 2011
  37. Published

    Systematic sampling of nonlinear models: evidence on speed of adjustment in index futures markets

    Paya, I. & Peel, D., 02/2011, In: Journal of Futures Markets. 31, 2, p. 192-203 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

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