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Professor Robert Fildes

Professor Emeritus

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  1. 2013
  2. Published

    An evaluation of simple forecasting model selection rules

    Fildes, R. & Petropoulos, F., 04/2013, Lancaster: The Department of Management Science, p. 1-32, 32 p.

    Research output: Working paper

  3. Published

    Analysis of judgmental adjustments in the presence of promotions

    Trapero Arenas, J., Pedregal, D. J., Fildes, R. & Kourentzes, N., 04/2013, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 29, 2, p. 234-243 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  4. Published

    The value of competitive information in forecasting FMCG retail product sales and the variable selection problem: Working paper 2013:1

    Huang, T., Fildes, R. & Soopramanien, D., 03/2013, Lancaster, UK: Department of Management Science, Lancaster University, 32 p. (Department of Management Science, Lancaster University).

    Research output: Working paper

  5. Published

    Principles of Business Forecasting

    Ord, J. K. & Fildes, R., 2013, Mason, Ohio: South-Western Cengage Learning. 528 p.

    Research output: Book/Report/Proceedings › Book

  6. 2012
  7. Published

    Impact of Information Exchange on Supplier Forecasting Performance

    Trapero Arenas, J., Kourentzes, N. & Fildes, R., 12/2012, In: Omega: The International Journal of Management Science. 40, 6, p. 738-747 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  8. Published

    A joint Bayesian forecasting model of judgment and observed data: Working paper 2012: 4

    Davydenko, A. & Fildes, R., 10/2012, Lancaster: Department of Management Science, Lancaster University.

    Research output: Working paper

  9. 2011
  10. Published

    Validation and forecasting accuracy in models of climate change

    Fildes, R. & Kourentzes, N., 10/2011, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 27, 4, p. 968-995 28 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  11. Published

    Validation and forecasting accuracy in models of climate change: Postscript

    Fildes, R. & Kourentzes, N., 10/2011, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 27, 4, p. 1004-1005 2 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Editorial › peer-review

  12. Published

    Evaluating the forecasting performance of econometric models of air passenger traffic flows using multiple error measures

    Fildes, R., Wei, Y. & Ismael, S., 07/2011, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 27, 3, p. 902-922 21 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  13. Published

    Forecasting: 5 volume set

    Fildes, R. (Editor) & Allen, P. G., 2011, London: Sage. 2104 p. (SAGE Benchmarks in Social Research Methods )

    Research output: Book/Report/Proceedings › Book

  14. Published

    Incorporating demand uncertainty and forecasting in supply chain planning models

    Fildes, R. A. & Kingsman, B. G., 2011, In: Journal of the Operational Research Society. 62, p. 483-500 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  15. Published

    Non-linear identification of judgmental forecasts effects at SKU-level

    Trapero Arenas, J. R., Fildes, R. A. & Davydenko, A., 2011, In: Journal of Forecasting. 30, 5, p. 490–508 19 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  16. Published

    Restrictiveness and guidance in support systems

    Goodwin, P., Fildes, R. A., Lawrence, M. & Stephens, G., 2011, In: Omega: The International Journal of Management Science. 39, 3, p. 242-253 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  17. Published

    Using hierarchical task decompositions as a grammar to map actions in context: Application to forecasting systems in supply chain planning

    Asimakopoulos, S., Dix, A. & Fildes, R. A., 2011, In: International Journal of Human-Computer Studies. 69, 4, p. 234-250 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  18. 2010
  19. Published

    Impact of Information Exchange on Supplier Forecasting Performance

    Trapero Arenas, J. R., Kourentzes, N. & Fildes, R. A., 2010, Lancaster University: The Department of Management Science, (Management Science Working Paper Series).

    Research output: Working paper

  20. Published

    Judgmental Adjustments to Demand Forecasts: Accuracy Evaluation and Bias Correction

    Davydenko, A., Fildes, R. A. & Trapero Arenas, J. R., 2010, Lancaster University: The Department of Management Science, (Management Science Working Paper Series).

    Research output: Working paper

  21. Published

    Measuring the Accuracy of Judgmental Adjustments to SKU-level Demand Forecasts

    Davydenko, A., Fildes, R. A. & Trapero Arenas, J. R., 2010, Lancaster University: The Department of Management Science, (Management Science Working Paper Series).

    Research output: Working paper

  22. Published

    Validation in models of climate change and forecasting accuracy

    Fildes, R. A. & Kourentzes, N., 2010, Lancaster University: The Department of Management Science, (Management Science Working Paper Series).

    Research output: Working paper

  23. 2009
  24. Published

    Effective forecasting and judgmental adjustments: an empirical evaluation and strategies for improvement in supply-chain planning

    Fildes, R. A., Goodwin, P., Lawrence, M. & Nikolopoulos, K., 2009, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 25, 1, p. 3-23 21 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  25. Published

    Forecasting software visualizations: an explorative study

    Asimakopoulos, S., Fildes, R. A. & Dix, A., 2009, 23rd British HCI Conference (Cambridge) - 2009. N/A: unknown

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Conference contribution/Paper › peer-review

  26. Published

    Non-Linear Identification of Judgmental Forecasts Effects at SKU-Level

    Trapero Arenas, J. R., Fildes, R. A. & Davydenko, A., 2009, Lancaster University: The Department of Management Science, (Management Science Working Paper Series).

    Research output: Working paper

  27. Published

    The effects of integrating management judgement into intermittent demand forecasts

    Syntetos, A. A., Nikolopoulos, K., Boylan, J., Fildes, R. & Goodwin, P., 2009, In: International Journal of Production Economics. 118, 1, p. 72-81 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  28. 2008
  29. Published

    Forecasting and Operational Research: A Review

    Fildes, R. A., Nikolopoulos, K., Crone, S. & Syntetos, A., 09/2008, In: Journal of the Operational Research Society. 59, 9, p. 1150-1172 23 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  30. Published

    Aggregate selection, data characteristics and choice of optimal model

    Fildes, R. A. & Madden, G., 2008, In: Telektronikk. 104, 3/4, p. 155-167 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  31. Published

    Forecasting and OR

    Fildes, R. A., Nikolopoulos, K., Crone, S. & Syntetos, A., 2008, In: Journal of the Operational Research Society. 59, p. 1150-1172 23 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  32. 2007
  33. Published

    Against your better judgment? How organizations can improve their use of management judgment in forecasting

    Fildes, R. A. & Goodwin, P., 2007, N/A: unknown, 7 p. (Interfaces).

    Research output: Working paper

  34. Published

    Consumer decision making, e-commerce and perceived risks

    Soopramanien, D. G. R., Fildes, R. A. & Robertson, A., 2007, In: Applied Economics. 39, p. 2159-2166 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  35. Published

    Good and bad judgment in forecasting: lessons from four companies

    Fildes, R. A. & Goodwin, P., 2007, In: Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting. 8, p. 5-10 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  36. Published

    Household technology acceptance heterogeneity in computer adoption

    Robertson, A., Soopramanien, D. G. R. & Fildes, R. A., 2007, Lancaster University: The Department of Management Science, (Management Science Working Paper Series).

    Research output: Working paper

  37. Published

    Optimal forecasting model selection and data characteristics

    Fildes, R. A., Tan, J. & Madden, G., 2007, In: Applied Financial Economics. 17, p. 1251-1264 14 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  38. Published

    Providing support for the use of analogies in demand forecasting tasks

    Fildes, R. A., Lee, W. Y., Goodwin, P. & Nikolopoulos, K., 2007, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 23, p. 377-390 14 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  39. Published

    Segmental new-product diffusion of residential broadband services

    Robertson, A., Soopramanien, D. G. R. & Fildes, R. A., 2007, In: Telecommunications Policy. 31, 5, p. 265-275 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  40. Published

    Segmentation based analysis of internet service adoption of UK households

    Robertson, A., Soopramanien, D. G. R. & Fildes, R. A., 2007, In: Technology in Society. 29, p. 339-350 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  41. Published

    The process of using a forecasting support system

    Goodwin, P., Fildes, R. A., Lawrence, M. & Nikolopoulos, K., 2007, N/A: unknown, 14 p. (International Journal of Forecasting).

    Research output: Working paper

  42. 2006
  43. Published

    Effective forecasting for supply-chain planning: an empirical evaluation and strategies for improvement

    Fildes, R. A., Goodwin, P., Lawrence, M. & Nikolopoulos, K., 2006, Lancaster University: The Department of Management Science, (Management Science Working Paper Series).

    Research output: Working paper

  44. Published

    Segmental new-product diffusion of residential broadband services

    Robertson, A., Soopramanien, D. G. R. & Fildes, R. A., 2006, Lancaster University: The Department of Management Science, (Management Science Working Paper Series).

    Research output: Working paper

  45. Published

    The design features of forecasting support systems and their effectiveness

    Fildes, R. A., Goodwin, P. & Lawrence, M., 2006, In: Decision Support Systems. 42, 1, p. 351-361 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  46. Published

    The impact of forecasting on the bullwhip effect

    Stamatopoulos, I., Teunter, R. H. & Fildes, R. A., 2006, Lancaster University: The Department of Management Science, (Management Science Working Paper Series).

    Research output: Working paper

  47. Published

    Understanding the use of forecasting software: an interpretive study in a supply-chain company

    Goodwin, P., Lee, W. Y., Fildes, R. A., Nikolopoulos, K. & Lawrence, M., 2006, Lancaster University: The Department of Management Science, (Management Science Working Paper Series).

    Research output: Working paper

  48. 2005
  49. Published

    Demand uncertainty and lot sizing in manufacturing systems: the effects of forecasting errors and mis-specification

    Kingsman, B. G. & Fildes, R. A., 2005, Lancaster University: The Department of Management Science, (Management Science Working Paper Series).

    Research output: Working paper

  50. Published

    Levels, difference and ECMs: principles for improved econometric forecasting

    Allen, P. G. & Fildes, R. A., 2005, In: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics. 67, p. 881-904 24 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  51. Published

    Measuring residential internet service adoption patterns

    Robertson, A., Soopramanien, D. G. R. & Fildes, R. A., 2005, Lancaster University: The Department of Management Science, (Management Science Working Paper Series).

    Research output: Working paper

  52. Published

    On the accuracy of judgmental interventions on forecasting support systems

    Nikolopoulos, K., Lawrence, M., Goodwin, P. & Fildes, R. A., 2005, Lancaster University: The Department of Management Science, (Management Science Working Paper Series).

    Research output: Working paper

  53. Published

    The accuracy of a procedural approach to specifying feedforward neural networks for forecasting

    Liao, K. P. & Fildes, R. A., 2005, In: Computers and Operations Research. 32, 8, p. 2151-2169 19 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  54. 2004
  55. Published

    Analysis of company sales data

    Goodwin, P., Fildes, R. A. & Nikolopoulos, K., 2004, International Symposium on Forecasting ISF (Sydney ) - 2004. N/A: unknown

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Conference contribution/Paper › peer-review

  56. Published

    Forecasting and prediction

    Amstrong, J. S. & Fildes, R. A., 2004, The Social Science Encyclopedia. London and New York: Routledge

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Chapter

  57. Published

    Levels, differences and ECMs - principles for improved econometric forecasting

    Fildes, R. A. & Allen, P. G., 2004, Lancaster University: The Department of Management Science, (Management Science Working Paper Series).

    Research output: Working paper

  58. Published

    Preparation for crisis management: a proposed model and empirical evidence

    Rose, M. B., Fildes, R. A. & Elsubbaugh, S., 2004, In: Journal of Contingencies and Crisis Management. 12, 3, p. 112-127 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  59. Published

    Sales forecasting support systems (FSS) for the supply chain

    Fildes, R. A. & Nikolopoulos, K., 2004, Operational Research 46th Annual Conference (York ) - 2004. N/A: unknown

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Conference contribution/Paper › peer-review

  60. Published

    Understanding residential internet adoption patterns in the UK

    Robertson, A., Soopramanien, D. G. R. & Fildes, R. A., 2004, In: Telektronikk. 100, 4, p. 84-93 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

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