Final published version
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
}
TY - JOUR
T1 - Systematic sampling of nonlinear models: evidence on speed of adjustment in index futures markets
AU - Paya, Ivan
AU - Peel, David
PY - 2011/2
Y1 - 2011/2
N2 - Based on the cost-of-carry model of future prices, a number of studies have estimated nonlinear autoregressive models for the basis at different frequencies (see, e.g., Dwyer GP, Locke, P, & Yu, W, 1996; Monoyios M and Sarno L, 2002; Taylor N, van Dijk D, Franses PH, & Lucas A, 2000). The structure of the models and the speed of adjustment to shocks reported are radically different. In this paper we examine the implications of systematic sampling. The results obtained show that regular sampling of the process seems important in attempting to explain the apparently contradictory results reported on the speed of adjustment to shocks in the cost-of-carry model.
AB - Based on the cost-of-carry model of future prices, a number of studies have estimated nonlinear autoregressive models for the basis at different frequencies (see, e.g., Dwyer GP, Locke, P, & Yu, W, 1996; Monoyios M and Sarno L, 2002; Taylor N, van Dijk D, Franses PH, & Lucas A, 2000). The structure of the models and the speed of adjustment to shocks reported are radically different. In this paper we examine the implications of systematic sampling. The results obtained show that regular sampling of the process seems important in attempting to explain the apparently contradictory results reported on the speed of adjustment to shocks in the cost-of-carry model.
U2 - 10.1002/fut.20464
DO - 10.1002/fut.20464
M3 - Journal article
VL - 31
SP - 192
EP - 203
JO - Journal of Futures Markets
JF - Journal of Futures Markets
SN - 0270-7314
IS - 2
ER -