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Fiscal Financing and Investment Irreversibility: The Role of Dividend Taxation

Research output: Working paper

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Publication date2/05/2025
PublisherInternational Monetary Fund (IMF)
Volume2025/083
<mark>Original language</mark>English

Publication series

NameInternational Monetary Fund (IMF) Working Paper
PublisherInternational Monetary Fund (IMF)
No.2025/083
ISSN (electronic)1018-5941

Abstract

We examine the macroeconomic, asset pricing, and public debt consequences of deficit-financing dividend taxation in a dynamic general equilibrium model featuring partial investment irreversibility. Dividend taxes interact directly with the occasionally-binding irreversibility constraint, generating tax-augmented user-cost and hangover channels that both shape investment and debt-to-output fluctuations and account for a sizeable share of their long-run volatilities. Our analysis further reveals that debt-offsetting dividend tax hikes initially trigger investment inactivity through higher user-costs, followed by a surge driven by intertemporal tax arbitrage and hangover effects. Finally, debt-driven dividend tax rules amplify asset price fluctuations while delivering only modest fiscal revenue changes.