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A Manifesto for the Equifinality Thesis.

Research output: Contribution to journalJournal article


<mark>Journal publication date</mark>30/03/2006
<mark>Journal</mark>Journal of Hydrology
Issue number1-2
Number of pages19
Pages (from-to)18-36
<mark>Original language</mark>English


This essay discusses some of the issues involved in the identification and predictions of hydrological models given some calibration data. The reasons for the incompleteness of traditional calibration methods are discussed. The argument is made that the potential for multiple acceptable models as representations of hydrological and other environmental systems (the equifinality thesis) should be given more serious consideration than hitherto. It proposes some techniques for an extended GLUE methodology to make it more rigorous and outlines some of the research issues still to be resolved.

Bibliographic note

The final, definitive version of this article has been published in the Journal of Hydrology, 320 (1-2), 2006, © ELSEVIER.