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Home > Research > Publications & Outputs > A Manifesto for the Equifinality Thesis.
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A Manifesto for the Equifinality Thesis.

Research output: Contribution to journalJournal article

Published

Journal publication date30/03/2006
JournalJournal of Hydrology
Journal number1-2
Volume320
Number of pages19
Pages18-36
Original languageEnglish

Abstract

This essay discusses some of the issues involved in the identification and predictions of hydrological models given some calibration data. The reasons for the incompleteness of traditional calibration methods are discussed. The argument is made that the potential for multiple acceptable models as representations of hydrological and other environmental systems (the equifinality thesis) should be given more serious consideration than hitherto. It proposes some techniques for an extended GLUE methodology to make it more rigorous and outlines some of the research issues still to be resolved.

Bibliographic note

The final, definitive version of this article has been published in the Journal of Hydrology, 320 (1-2), 2006, © ELSEVIER.