Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - A Manifesto for the Equifinality Thesis.
AU - Beven, K. J.
N1 - The final, definitive version of this article has been published in the Journal of Hydrology, 320 (1-2), 2006, © ELSEVIER.
PY - 2006/3/30
Y1 - 2006/3/30
N2 - This essay discusses some of the issues involved in the identification and predictions of hydrological models given some calibration data. The reasons for the incompleteness of traditional calibration methods are discussed. The argument is made that the potential for multiple acceptable models as representations of hydrological and other environmental systems (the equifinality thesis) should be given more serious consideration than hitherto. It proposes some techniques for an extended GLUE methodology to make it more rigorous and outlines some of the research issues still to be resolved.
AB - This essay discusses some of the issues involved in the identification and predictions of hydrological models given some calibration data. The reasons for the incompleteness of traditional calibration methods are discussed. The argument is made that the potential for multiple acceptable models as representations of hydrological and other environmental systems (the equifinality thesis) should be given more serious consideration than hitherto. It proposes some techniques for an extended GLUE methodology to make it more rigorous and outlines some of the research issues still to be resolved.
KW - environmental modelling
KW - uncertainty
KW - hydrological models Equifinality
KW - GLUE
KW - Hydrological models
KW - Observation error
KW - Fuzzy measures
KW - Uncertainty
U2 - 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2005.07.007
DO - 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2005.07.007
M3 - Journal article
VL - 320
SP - 18
EP - 36
JO - Journal of Hydrology
JF - Journal of Hydrology
IS - 1-2
ER -