Final published version
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Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
}
TY - JOUR
T1 - Development programs, security, and violence reduction
T2 - Evidence from an insurgency in India
AU - Kaila, Heidi
AU - Singhal, Saurabh
AU - Tuteja, Divya
PY - 2020/6/30
Y1 - 2020/6/30
N2 - India has employed a variety of military, political and economic measures to combat the long running insurgency in Kashmir with little evidence on what contributes to stability in the region. This paper uses a variety of tests to detect structural breaks in the time series for violence over the period 1998–2017. Weidentify a transition from a high violence regime to a low violence regime that coincides with (i) the fencing of the border with Pakistan (ii) the implementation of a large-scale development program, and (iii) the phasing in of the Indian National Rural Employment Guarantee Scheme (NREGS). Panel data analysis using district-level data further corroborate these findings. Our results highlight the complementary roles of development programs and security in reducing violence.
AB - India has employed a variety of military, political and economic measures to combat the long running insurgency in Kashmir with little evidence on what contributes to stability in the region. This paper uses a variety of tests to detect structural breaks in the time series for violence over the period 1998–2017. Weidentify a transition from a high violence regime to a low violence regime that coincides with (i) the fencing of the border with Pakistan (ii) the implementation of a large-scale development program, and (iii) the phasing in of the Indian National Rural Employment Guarantee Scheme (NREGS). Panel data analysis using district-level data further corroborate these findings. Our results highlight the complementary roles of development programs and security in reducing violence.
KW - Conflict
KW - security
KW - India
KW - Development programs
KW - Jammu and Kashmir
KW - Multiple structural breaks
U2 - 10.1016/j.worlddev.2020.104911
DO - 10.1016/j.worlddev.2020.104911
M3 - Journal article
VL - 130
JO - World Development
JF - World Development
SN - 0305-750X
M1 - 104911
ER -