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  • Neal_Kypraios_2014

    Rights statement: © The Author(s) 2013. This article is published with open access at Springerlink.com

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Exact Bayesian inference via data augmentation

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<mark>Journal publication date</mark>03/2015
<mark>Journal</mark>Statistics and Computing
Issue number2
Volume25
Number of pages15
Pages (from-to)333-347
Publication StatusPublished
Early online date3/12/13
<mark>Original language</mark>English

Abstract

Data augmentation is a common tool in Bayesian statistics, especially in the application of MCMC. Data augmentation is used where direct computation of the posterior density, π(θ|x), of the parameters θ, given the observed data x, is not possible. We show that for a range of problems, it is possible to augment the data by y, such that, π(θ|x,y) is known, and π(y|x) can easily be computed. In particular, π(y|x) is obtained by collapsing π(y,θ|x) through integrating out θ. This allows the exact computation of π(θ|x) as a mixture distribution without recourse to approximating methods such as MCMC. Useful byproducts of the exact posterior distribution are the marginal likelihood of the model and the exact predictive distribution.

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© The Author(s) 2013. This article is published with open access at Springerlink.com