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Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Modelling future changes to the stratospheric source gas injection of biogenic bromocarbons
AU - Hossaini, R.
AU - Chipperfield, M. P.
AU - Dhomse, S.
AU - Ordonez, C.
AU - Saiz-Lopez, A.
AU - Abraham, N. L.
AU - Archibald, A.
AU - Braesicke, P.
AU - Telford, P.
AU - Warwick, N.
AU - Yang, X.
AU - Pyle, J.
PY - 2012/10/28
Y1 - 2012/10/28
N2 - Simulations with a chemistry-climate model (CCM) show a future increase in the stratospheric source gas injection (SGI) of biogenic very short-lived substances (VSLS). For 2000, the modelled SGI of bromine from VSLS is similar to 1.7 parts per trillion (pptv) and largest over the tropical West Pacific. For 2100, this increases to similar to 2.0 and similar to 2.7 pptv when the model is forced with Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) representative concentration pathways (RCPs) 4.5 and 8.5. The increase is largely due to stronger tropical deep convection transporting more CHBr3 to the lower stratosphere. For CH2Br2, CHBr2Cl, CH2BrCl and CHBrCl2, changes to primary oxidant OH determines their SGI contribution. Under RCP 4.5 (moderate warming), OH increases in a warmer, more humid troposphere. Under RCP 8.5 (extreme warming) OH decreases significantly due to a large methane increase, allowing greater SGI of bromine from these VSLS. Potentially enhanced VSLS emissions in the future would further increase these estimates. Citation: Hossaini, R., et al. (2012), Modelling future changes to the stratospheric source gas injection of biogenic bromocarbons, Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L20813, doi:10.1029/2012GL053401.
AB - Simulations with a chemistry-climate model (CCM) show a future increase in the stratospheric source gas injection (SGI) of biogenic very short-lived substances (VSLS). For 2000, the modelled SGI of bromine from VSLS is similar to 1.7 parts per trillion (pptv) and largest over the tropical West Pacific. For 2100, this increases to similar to 2.0 and similar to 2.7 pptv when the model is forced with Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) representative concentration pathways (RCPs) 4.5 and 8.5. The increase is largely due to stronger tropical deep convection transporting more CHBr3 to the lower stratosphere. For CH2Br2, CHBr2Cl, CH2BrCl and CHBrCl2, changes to primary oxidant OH determines their SGI contribution. Under RCP 4.5 (moderate warming), OH increases in a warmer, more humid troposphere. Under RCP 8.5 (extreme warming) OH decreases significantly due to a large methane increase, allowing greater SGI of bromine from these VSLS. Potentially enhanced VSLS emissions in the future would further increase these estimates. Citation: Hossaini, R., et al. (2012), Modelling future changes to the stratospheric source gas injection of biogenic bromocarbons, Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L20813, doi:10.1029/2012GL053401.
KW - CLIMATE-CHANGE
KW - TROPOSPHERIC OZONE
KW - BROMINE
KW - CHEMISTRY
KW - TRANSPORT
KW - BROMOFORM
KW - IMPACT
U2 - 10.1029/2012GL053401
DO - 10.1029/2012GL053401
M3 - Journal article
VL - 39
JO - Geophysical Research Letters
JF - Geophysical Research Letters
SN - 0094-8276
IS - 20
M1 - 20813
ER -