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Producing long-term forecasts of the development of arctic shelf

Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

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Producing long-term forecasts of the development of arctic shelf. / Ilinova, A.; Chanysheva, A.; Kourentzes, N.; Svetunkov, I.

Innovation-Based Development of the Mineral Resources Sector: Challenges and Prospects: Proceedings of the 11th Russian-German Raw Materials Conference, November 7-8, 2018, Potsdam, Germany. ed. / Vladimir Litvinenko . CRC Press, 2018. p. 539-553.

Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

Harvard

Ilinova, A, Chanysheva, A, Kourentzes, N & Svetunkov, I 2018, Producing long-term forecasts of the development of arctic shelf. in V Litvinenko (ed.), Innovation-Based Development of the Mineral Resources Sector: Challenges and Prospects: Proceedings of the 11th Russian-German Raw Materials Conference, November 7-8, 2018, Potsdam, Germany. CRC Press, pp. 539-553, 11th Russian-German Raw Materials Conference, Potsdam, Germany, 7/11/18.

APA

Ilinova, A., Chanysheva, A., Kourentzes, N., & Svetunkov, I. (2018). Producing long-term forecasts of the development of arctic shelf. In V. Litvinenko (Ed.), Innovation-Based Development of the Mineral Resources Sector: Challenges and Prospects: Proceedings of the 11th Russian-German Raw Materials Conference, November 7-8, 2018, Potsdam, Germany (pp. 539-553). CRC Press.

Vancouver

Ilinova A, Chanysheva A, Kourentzes N, Svetunkov I. Producing long-term forecasts of the development of arctic shelf. In Litvinenko V, editor, Innovation-Based Development of the Mineral Resources Sector: Challenges and Prospects: Proceedings of the 11th Russian-German Raw Materials Conference, November 7-8, 2018, Potsdam, Germany. CRC Press. 2018. p. 539-553

Author

Ilinova, A. ; Chanysheva, A. ; Kourentzes, N. ; Svetunkov, I. / Producing long-term forecasts of the development of arctic shelf. Innovation-Based Development of the Mineral Resources Sector: Challenges and Prospects: Proceedings of the 11th Russian-German Raw Materials Conference, November 7-8, 2018, Potsdam, Germany. editor / Vladimir Litvinenko . CRC Press, 2018. pp. 539-553

Bibtex

@inproceedings{90131676b0c14656879aeb0f89b000ab,
title = "Producing long-term forecasts of the development of arctic shelf",
abstract = "Russia is a key player in the Arctic zone due to significant natural resources. Merely the presence of significant oil and gas reserves on the Arctic shelf does not guarantee the success of Russia{\textquoteright}s oil and gas offshore projects, since a whole group of contradictory factors influence their implementation. In this article, we offer an approach and conduct an analysis of the prospects of such projects. This is done through the systematization of key factors that have positive or negative impacts on possibilities the oil and gas companies to launch Arctic projects, and the classification of key indicators for assessing their prospects. Finally, we discuss the main methods of long-term forecasting which can be applied to development of such projects. We argue that based on the factors discussed in the paper, it is possible to produce useful long-term forecasts, which can help in making decisions about the development of Arctic shelf.",
keywords = "Forecasting, Gas industry, Offshore gas fields, Offshore oil well production, Proven reserves, Public utilities, Arctic shelf, Key indicator, Long-term forecast, Long-term forecasting, Making decision, Offshore project, Oil and gas companies, Oil and gas reserves, Offshore petroleum prospecting",
author = "A. Ilinova and A. Chanysheva and N. Kourentzes and I. Svetunkov",
note = "Export Date: 23 January 2019 Funding details: Russian Foundation for Basic Research, RFBR Funding details: Russian Foundation for Basic Research, RFBR, 18-010-00734 Funding text 1: The research was carried out with the financial support of the Russian Foundation for Basic Research (RFBR), the project “Evolution of methodology of technological forecasting of development of the interconnected industrial and social and economic systems at hydrocarbon resources development in the Arctic” No. 18-010-00734.; 11th Russian-German Raw Materials Conference ; Conference date: 07-11-2018 Through 08-11-2018",
year = "2018",
month = oct,
day = "16",
language = "English",
isbn = "9780367077266",
pages = "539--553",
editor = "{Litvinenko }, Vladimir",
booktitle = "Innovation-Based Development of the Mineral Resources Sector: Challenges and Prospects",
publisher = "CRC Press",

}

RIS

TY - GEN

T1 - Producing long-term forecasts of the development of arctic shelf

AU - Ilinova, A.

AU - Chanysheva, A.

AU - Kourentzes, N.

AU - Svetunkov, I.

N1 - Export Date: 23 January 2019 Funding details: Russian Foundation for Basic Research, RFBR Funding details: Russian Foundation for Basic Research, RFBR, 18-010-00734 Funding text 1: The research was carried out with the financial support of the Russian Foundation for Basic Research (RFBR), the project “Evolution of methodology of technological forecasting of development of the interconnected industrial and social and economic systems at hydrocarbon resources development in the Arctic” No. 18-010-00734.

PY - 2018/10/16

Y1 - 2018/10/16

N2 - Russia is a key player in the Arctic zone due to significant natural resources. Merely the presence of significant oil and gas reserves on the Arctic shelf does not guarantee the success of Russia’s oil and gas offshore projects, since a whole group of contradictory factors influence their implementation. In this article, we offer an approach and conduct an analysis of the prospects of such projects. This is done through the systematization of key factors that have positive or negative impacts on possibilities the oil and gas companies to launch Arctic projects, and the classification of key indicators for assessing their prospects. Finally, we discuss the main methods of long-term forecasting which can be applied to development of such projects. We argue that based on the factors discussed in the paper, it is possible to produce useful long-term forecasts, which can help in making decisions about the development of Arctic shelf.

AB - Russia is a key player in the Arctic zone due to significant natural resources. Merely the presence of significant oil and gas reserves on the Arctic shelf does not guarantee the success of Russia’s oil and gas offshore projects, since a whole group of contradictory factors influence their implementation. In this article, we offer an approach and conduct an analysis of the prospects of such projects. This is done through the systematization of key factors that have positive or negative impacts on possibilities the oil and gas companies to launch Arctic projects, and the classification of key indicators for assessing their prospects. Finally, we discuss the main methods of long-term forecasting which can be applied to development of such projects. We argue that based on the factors discussed in the paper, it is possible to produce useful long-term forecasts, which can help in making decisions about the development of Arctic shelf.

KW - Forecasting

KW - Gas industry

KW - Offshore gas fields

KW - Offshore oil well production

KW - Proven reserves

KW - Public utilities

KW - Arctic shelf

KW - Key indicator

KW - Long-term forecast

KW - Long-term forecasting

KW - Making decision

KW - Offshore project

KW - Oil and gas companies

KW - Oil and gas reserves

KW - Offshore petroleum prospecting

M3 - Conference contribution/Paper

SN - 9780367077266

SP - 539

EP - 553

BT - Innovation-Based Development of the Mineral Resources Sector: Challenges and Prospects

A2 - Litvinenko , Vladimir

PB - CRC Press

T2 - 11th Russian-German Raw Materials Conference

Y2 - 7 November 2018 through 8 November 2018

ER -