Home > Research > Publications & Outputs > Producing long-term forecasts of the developmen...
View graph of relations

Producing long-term forecasts of the development of arctic shelf

Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

Published
Close
Publication date16/10/2018
Host publicationInnovation-Based Development of the Mineral Resources Sector: Challenges and Prospects: Proceedings of the 11th Russian-German Raw Materials Conference, November 7-8, 2018, Potsdam, Germany
EditorsVladimir Litvinenko
PublisherCRC Press
Pages539-553
Number of pages15
ISBN (Print)9780367077266
<mark>Original language</mark>English
Event11th Russian-German Raw Materials Conference - Potsdam, Germany
Duration: 7/11/20188/11/2018

Conference

Conference11th Russian-German Raw Materials Conference
Country/TerritoryGermany
CityPotsdam
Period7/11/188/11/18

Conference

Conference11th Russian-German Raw Materials Conference
Country/TerritoryGermany
CityPotsdam
Period7/11/188/11/18

Abstract

Russia is a key player in the Arctic zone due to significant natural resources. Merely the presence of significant oil and gas reserves on the Arctic shelf does not guarantee the success of Russia’s oil and gas offshore projects, since a whole group of contradictory factors influence their implementation. In this article, we offer an approach and conduct an analysis of the prospects of such projects. This is done through the systematization of key factors that have positive or negative impacts on possibilities the oil and gas companies to launch Arctic projects, and the classification of key indicators for assessing their prospects. Finally, we discuss the main methods of long-term forecasting which can be applied to development of such projects. We argue that based on the factors discussed in the paper, it is possible to produce useful long-term forecasts, which can help in making decisions about the development of Arctic shelf.

Bibliographic note

Export Date: 23 January 2019 Funding details: Russian Foundation for Basic Research, RFBR Funding details: Russian Foundation for Basic Research, RFBR, 18-010-00734 Funding text 1: The research was carried out with the financial support of the Russian Foundation for Basic Research (RFBR), the project “Evolution of methodology of technological forecasting of development of the interconnected industrial and social and economic systems at hydrocarbon resources development in the Arctic” No. 18-010-00734.