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Asset Pricing and Financial Econometrics

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  1. 2025
  2. Forthcoming

    Realized Candlestick Wicks

    Li, Y., Nolte, I., Nolte, S. & Yu, S., 29/04/2025, (Accepted/In press) In: Journal of Econometrics.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  3. 2024
  4. Published

    Parametric Risk-Neutral Density Estimation via Finite Lognormal-Weibull Mixtures

    Li, Y., Nolte, I. & Pham, M., 30/04/2024, In: Journal of Econometrics. 241, 2, 105748.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  5. Published

    Factor Timing with Portfolio Characteristics

    Kagkadis, A., Nolte, I., Nolte, S. & Vasilas, N., 31/03/2024, In: Review of Asset Pricing Studies. 14, 1, p. 84-118 35 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  6. Published

    The Value of Growth: Changes in Profitability and Future Stock Returns

    Wang, G., Yao, C., Sotes-Paladino, J. & Lim, B., 1/01/2024, In: Journal of Banking and Finance. 158, 52 p., 107036.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  7. 2023
  8. Published

    Volatility Estimation and Forecasts Based on Price Durations

    Hong, S. Y., Nolte, I., Taylor, S. & Zhao, V., 19/01/2023, In: Journal of Financial Econometrics. 21, 1, p. 106-144 39 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  9. 2021
  10. Published

    High-frequency volatility modelling: a Markov-switching autoregressive conditional intensity model

    Li, Y., Nolte, I. & Nolte, S., 31/03/2021, In: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control. 124, 21 p., 104077.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  11. Published

    A descriptive study of high-frequency trade and quote option data

    Andersen, T., Archakov, I., Grund, L., Hautsch, N., Li, Y., Nasekin, S., Nolte, I., Pham, M., Taylor, S. & Todorov, V., 31/01/2021, In: Journal of Financial Econometrics. 19, 1, p. 128-177 50 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  12. 2020
  13. E-pub ahead of print

    Estimating Portfolio Risk for Tail Risk Protection Strategies

    Happersberger, D., Lohre, H. & Nolte, I., 3/02/2020, (E-pub ahead of print) In: European Financial Management. 26, 4, p. 1107-1146 40 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  14. 2019
  15. Published

    A Least Squares Regression Realised Covariation Estimation

    Nolte, I., Vasios, M., Voev, V. & Xu, Q., 3/10/2019, SSRN Working Paper, 87 p.

    Research output: Working paper

  16. Unpublished

    Renewal Based Volatility Estimation

    Li, Y., Nolte, I. & Nolte, S., 12/01/2019, (Unpublished) SSRN Working Paper.

    Research output: Working paper

  17. Published

    What determines forecasters’ forecasting errors?

    Nolte, I., Nolte, S. & Pohlmeier, W., 01/2019, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 35, 1, p. 11-24 14 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  18. 2018
  19. Published

    Information about price and volatility jumps inferred from options prices

    Taylor, S. J., Tzeng, J. & Widdicks, M., 10/2018, In: Journal of Futures Markets. 38, 10, p. 1206-1226 21 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  20. Published

    Density forecast comparisons for stock prices, obtained from high-frequency returns and daily option prices

    Fan, R., Taylor, S. J. & Sandri, M., 01/2018, In: Journal of Futures Markets. 38, 1, p. 83-103 21 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  21. Published

    High-frequency Covariance Matrix Estimation Using Price Durations

    Nolte, I., Taylor, S. J. & Zhao, X., 2018.

    Research output: Working paper

  22. 2017
  23. Published

    Foreign Monetary Policy and Firms' Default Risk

    Groba, J. & Serrano, P., 10/10/2017, Lancaster: Lancaster University, Department of Accounting and Finance, 86 p.

    Research output: Working paper

  24. Published

    Diversifying away the risk of war and cross-border political crisis

    Omar, A., Wisniewski, T. & Nolte, S., 05/2017, In: Energy Economics. 64, p. 494-510 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  25. Unpublished

    The value of growth: changes in profitability and future stock returns

    Sotes-Paladino, J., Wang, J. & Yao, Y., 2017, (Unpublished).

    Research output: Working paper

  26. 2016
  27. Published

    Asymmetric effects of volatility risk on stock returns: evidence from VIX and VIX futures

    Fu, X., Sandri, M. & Shackleton, M. B., 11/2016, In: Journal of Futures Markets. 36, 11, p. 1029-1056 28 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  28. Published

    Disagreement versus uncertainty: evidence from distribution forecasts

    Krueger, F. & Nolte, I., 11/2016, In: Journal of Banking and Finance. 72, Suppl., p. 172-186 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  29. Published

    Reducing the impact of real estate foreclosures with Amortizing Participation Mortgages

    Wojakowski, R., Ebrahim, S. & Shackleton, M. B., 10/2016, In: Journal of Banking and Finance. 71, p. 62-74 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  30. Published

    Option implied volatility measures and stock return predictability

    Fu, X., Arisoy, Y. E., Shackleton, M. B. & Umutlu, M., 1/08/2016, In: Journal of Derivatives. 24, 1, p. 58-78 21 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  31. Published

    The interaction of volatility, volume and skewness: empirical evidence from REITs

    Akimov, A., Hutson, E. & Stevenson, S., 1/06/2016, In: Journal of Real Estate Portfolio Management. 22, 1, p. 1-17 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  32. Published

    The information content of retail investors' order flow

    Nolte, I. & Nolte, S., 2016, In: European Journal of Finance. 22, 2, p. 80-104 25 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  33. 2015
  34. Published

    Parameter uncertainty in multiperiod portfolio optimization with transaction costs

    DeMiguel, V., Martin Utrera, A. & Nogales, F. J., 12/2015, In: Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis. 50, 6, p. 1443-1471 29 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  35. Published

    The economic value of volatility timing with realized jumps

    Nolte, I. & Xu, Q., 12/2015, In: Journal of Empirical Finance. 34, p. 45-59 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  36. Published

    Public real estate and the term structure of interest rates: a cross-country study

    Akimov, A., Stevenson, S. & Zagonov, M., 11/2015, In: Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics. 51, 4, p. 503-540 38 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  37. Published

    Synchronisation and commonalities in metropolitan housing market cycles

    Akimov, A., Stevenson, S. & Young, J., 07/2015, In: Urban Studies. 52, 9, p. 1665-1682 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  38. Published

    Dimensions and location of high-involvement management: fresh evidence from the UK Commission's 2011 Employer Skills Survey

    Wood, S., Nolte, S., Burridge, M., Rudloff, D. & Green, W., 04/2015, In: Human Resource Management Journal. 25, 2, p. 166-183 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  39. Unpublished

    Microstructure noise components of the SandP 500 index: variation, persistence and distributions

    Taylor, S. J., 2015, (Unpublished).

    Research output: Working paper

  40. 2014
  41. Published

    Sell-side analysts' career concerns during banking stresses

    Nolte, I., Nolte, S. & Vasios, M., 12/2014, In: Journal of Banking and Finance. 49, p. 424-441 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  42. Published

    Cautiousness, skewness preference, and demand for options

    Huang, J. & Stapleton, R., 10/2014, In: Review of Finance. 18, 6, p. 2375-2395 21 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  43. Published

    Bankruptcy probabilities inferred from option prices

    Taylor, S. J., Tzeng, C.-F. & Widdicks, M., 2014, In: Journal of Derivatives. 22, 2, p. 8-31 24 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  44. Published

    Cojumps in stock prices: empirical evidence

    Gilder, D., Shackleton, M. & Taylor, S. J., 2014, In: Journal of Banking and Finance. 40, p. 443-459 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  45. Published

    Concordance in global office market cycles

    Stevenson, S., Akimov, A., Hutson, E. & Krystalogianni, A., 2014, In: Regional Studies. 48, 3, p. 456-470 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  46. Published

    The option and decision to repurchase stock

    Sonika, R., Carline, N. & Shackleton, M., 2014, In: Financial Management. 43, 4, p. 833-855 21 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  47. 2013
  48. Published

    What drives corporate default risk premia? evidence from the CDS market

    Diaz, A., Groba, J. & Serrano, P., 10/2013, In: Journal of International Money and Finance. 37, p. 529-563 35 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  49. Published

    Size matters: optimal calibration of shrinkage estimators for portfolio selection

    DeMiguel, V., Martin Utrera, A. & Nogales, F. J., 08/2013, In: Journal of Banking and Finance. 37, 8, p. 3018-3034 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  50. Published

    The impact of distressed economies on the EU sovereign market

    Groba, J., Lafuente, J. A. & Serrano, P., 07/2013, In: Journal of Banking and Finance. 37, 7, p. 2520-2532 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  51. Published

    Mitigating financial fragility with Continuous Workout Mortgages

    Shiller, R. J., Wojakowski, R., Ebrahim, S. & Shackleton, M., 01/2013, In: Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization. 85, p. 269-285 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  52. Published

    Some new results on when extra risk strictly increases an option's value

    Huang, J. & Zhang, D., 01/2013, In: Journal of Futures Markets. 33, 1, p. 44-54 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  53. 2012
  54. Published

    Momentum, contrarian, and the January seasonality

    Yao, Y., 10/2012, In: Journal of Banking and Finance. 36, 10, p. 2757-2769 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  55. Published

    How do individual investors trade?

    Nolte, I. & Nolte, S., 2012, In: European Journal of Finance. 18, 10, p. 921-947 27 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  56. Published

    Least Squares inference on integrated volatility and the relationship between efficient Prices and noise

    Nolte, I. & Voev, V., 2012, In: Journal of Business and Economic Statistics. 30, 1, p. 94-108 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  57. 2011
  58. Published

    An inflated multivariate integer count hurdle model: an application to bid and ask quote dynamics

    Bien, K., Nolte, I. & Pohlmeier, W., 06/2011, In: Journal of Applied Econometrics. 26, 4, p. 669-707 39 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  59. Published

    Effects of background risks on cautiousness with an application to a portfolio choice problem

    Hara, C., Huang, J. & Kuzmics, C., 01/2011, In: Journal of Economic Theory. 146, 1, p. 346-358 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  60. Published

    Omitted debt risk, financial distress and the cross-section of expected equity returns

    Aretz, K. & Shackleton, M. B., 2011, In: Journal of Banking and Finance. 35, 5, p. 1213-1227 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  61. Published

    Trading dynamics in the foreign exchange market: a latent factor panel intensity approach

    Nolte, I. & Voev, V., 2011, In: Journal of Financial Econometrics. 9, 4, p. 685-716 32 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  62. 2010
  63. Published

    A multi-horizon comparison of density forecasts for the S&P 500 using index returns and option prices

    Shackleton, M. B., Taylor, S. J. & Yu, P., 11/2010, In: Journal of Banking and Finance. 34, 11, p. 2678-2693 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  64. Published

    Option prices and risk-neutral densities for currency cross-rates

    Taylor, S. J. & Wang, Y., 2010, In: Journal of Futures Markets. 30, p. 324-360 37 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  65. Published

    The information content of implied volatilities and model-free volatility expectations: evidence from options written on individual stocks

    Taylor, S. J., Yadav, P. K. & Zhang, Y., 2010, In: Journal of Banking and Finance. 34, p. 871-881 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  66. 2009
  67. Published

    Cross-sectional analysis of risk-neutral skewness

    Taylor, S. J., Yadav, P. K. & Zhang, Y., 2009, In: Journal of Derivatives. 16, 4, p. 38-52 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  68. Published

    Empirical pricing kernels obtained from the UK index options market

    Shackleton, M., Liu, H., Taylor, S. & Xu, G., 2009, Applied Economics Letters, 16, 10, p. 989-993 5 p.

    Research output: Contribution to specialist publication › Letter

  69. 2008
  70. Published

    Distinguishing short and long memory volatility specifications

    Pong, S., Shackleton, M. B. & Taylor, S. J., 2008, In: The Econometrics Journal. 11, 3, p. 617-637 21 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  71. Published

    Modeling a multivariate transaction process

    Nolte, I., 2008, In: Journal of Financial Econometrics. 6, 1, p. 143-170 28 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  72. Published

    Modelling Financial Time Series (Second Edition)

    Taylor, S. J., 2008, 2nd ed. Singapore: World Scientific Publishing. 296 p.

    Research output: Book/Report/Proceedings › Book

  73. 2007
  74. Published

    Bicameral Conflict Resolution in the European Union: An Empirical Analysis of Conciliation Committee Bargains

    Koenig, T., Lindberg, B., Nolte (Lechner), S. & Pohlmeier, W., 04/2007, In: British Journal of Political Science. 37, 2, p. 281–312 31 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  75. Published

    Closed-form transformations from risk-neutral to real-world distributions

    Liu, X., Shackleton, M. B., Taylor, S. J. & Xu, X., 2007, In: Journal of Banking and Finance. 31, 5, p. 1501-1520 20 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  76. Published

    Finite maturity caps and floors on continuous flows

    Shackleton, M. B. & Wojakowski, R. M., 2007, In: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control. 31, 12, p. 3843-3859 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  77. Published

    Representative consumer’s risk aversion and efficient risk-sharing rules

    Hara, C., Huang, J. & Kuzmics, C., 2007, In: Journal of Economic Theory. 137, 1, p. 652-672 21 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  78. Published

    The Euro and European financial market dependence

    Bartram, S., Taylor, S. J. & Wang, Y., 2007, In: Journal of Banking and Finance. 51, 5, p. 1461-1481 21 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  79. Published

    Two-dimensional risk neutral valuation relationships for the pricing of options

    Huang, J., Franke, G. & Stapleton, R. C., 2007, In: Review of Derivatives Research. 9, p. 213-237 25 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  80. 2006
  81. Published

    The relationships between sentiment, returns and volatility

    Wang, Y., Keswani, A. & Taylor, S. J., 2006, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 22, p. 109-123 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  82. 2005
  83. Published

    Data Masking by Noise Addition and the Estimation of Nonlinear Regression Models

    Nolte (Lechner), S. & Pohlmeier, W., 1/10/2005, In: Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik. 225, 5, p. 517-528 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  84. Published

    Asset Price Dynamics, Volatility and Prediction

    Taylor, S. J., 2005, Princeton: Princeton University Press. 552 p.

    Research output: Book/Report/Proceedings › Book

  85. 1994
  86. Published

    Modelling stochastic volatility: a review and comparative study

    Taylor, S. J., 04/1994, In: Mathematical Finance. 4, 2, p. 183-204 22 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

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